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PL

PLB

0xd5d8…e9a1polymarket ↗last active 37m ago
All-time PnL
-$4.87k
Win rate
37.5%
38 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$87.02
30d PnL
$2.08k
30d trades
5
30d wins
2
40.0%
30d volume
$10.4k
Category edge
Sports
31.9%
-7.7pp
n=94

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
30.9% (30 wins / 67 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 8 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 22-day series
$0.00
-$9.38k
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 97%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 97% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.78 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.39Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $450Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.12 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 39¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $449.72 · p90 $1.25k
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sun 12:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·37m ago·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
on Commanders vs. Cowboys: O/U 50.5 AND Browns vs. Buccaneers: O/U 41.5
4664.504695 @ 0.269
BUY·38m ago·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
on Commanders vs. Cowboys: O/U 50.5 AND Browns vs. Buccaneers: O/U 41.5 AND Spread: KC (-5.5)
3998.899707 @ 0.144
BUY·1d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
Over on Houston vs. Texas Tech: O/U 51.5
+$3.24k · 6900 @ 0.530
BUY·1d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
Over on Lions vs. Bills: O/U 54.5
+$1.84k · 3748.72 @ 0.510
BUY·3d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
Yes on Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?
-$3.00k · 25000 @ 0.120
BUY·43d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
Yes on Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
-$20.00 · 1000 @ 0.020
BUY·43d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
Yes on Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?
-$1.88k · 97288.2035 @ 0.019
BUY·53d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
Cincinnati Reds on Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Reds
-$980.95 · 1634.91 @ 0.600
BUY·62d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
Yes on Argentina to score first vs. Spain?
-$2.66 · 7 @ 0.380
BUY·62d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
Yes on Argentina to score first vs. Spain?
-$1.78k · 4693 @ 0.380
BUY·62d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
Yes on Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?
+$2.15 · 3.149605 @ 0.317
BUY·62d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
Yes on Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?
+$10.75 · 15.74803 @ 0.317
BUY·62d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
Yes on Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?
+$2.06k · 3011.307085 @ 0.317
BUY·62d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
Under on France vs. England: O/U 3.5
-$504.00 · 900 @ 0.560
BUY·65d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
Yes on Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
-$265.34 · 722.7 @ 0.367
BUY·65d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
Under on France vs. England: O/U 3.5
-$1.96k · 3500 @ 0.560
BUY·66d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
Yes on Anthony Gordon: 1+ assists
-$165.00 · 1025.972351 @ 0.161
SELL·66d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
Yes on England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
-$576.00 · 1200 @ 0.520
SELL·66d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
Yes on England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
-$71.54 · 146 @ 0.510
BUY·66d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
Yes on England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
+$1.85k · 3846.153845 @ 0.520
BUY·67d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
Over on France vs. Spain: O/U 2.5
-$999.00 · 1998 @ 0.500
BUY·67d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
No on Will France win on 2026-07-14?
+$639.96 · 1589.958156 @ 0.597
BUY·67d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
Yes on Will Mike Maignan win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
-$940.00 · 2620.965944 @ 0.359
SELL·67d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
Yes on Will Jordan Walker win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?
-$3.95 · 3947.77 @ 0.999
BUY·67d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
Yes on Will Jordan Walker win the 2026 MLB Home Run Derby?
+$3.38k · 3947.777776 @ 0.144
SELL·67d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
Yes on Will Mike Maignan win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
+$607.79 · 1923.95 @ 0.316
BUY·68d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
No on France vs. Spain: Both Teams to Score
+$1.44k · 2439.024389 @ 0.410
SELL·68d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
Yes on Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
+$1.06k · 6443.91 @ 0.164
BUY·71d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
Yes on Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
-$1.92k · 6443.919062 @ 0.297
BUY·71d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
Yes on Will Mike Maignan win the Golden Glove at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
-$490.00 · 1923.954614 @ 0.255
BUY·71d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
Under on Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 1.5
-$126.00 · 300 @ 0.420
BUY·71d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
Under on Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 1.5
-$420.00 · 1000 @ 0.420
BUY·73d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
Under on Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 1.5
-$22.50 · 50 @ 0.450
BUY·73d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
Under on Spain vs. Belgium: Spain O/U 1.5
-$967.50 · 2150 @ 0.450
BUY·75d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
Mexico on Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
-$175.00 · 500 @ 0.350
BUY·75d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
No on Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score
-$255.00 · 500 @ 0.510
BUY·75d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
Mexico on Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
-$245.00 · 500 @ 0.490
BUY·76d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
Chicago White Sox on Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians
+$660.00 · 1200 @ 0.450
BUY·76d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
No on Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score
-$260.00 · 500 @ 0.520
BUY·76d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
Mexico on Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance
-$235.00 · 500 @ 0.470
BUY·76d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
Over on Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5
+$840.00 · 2000 @ 0.580
BUY·77d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
Yes on Kylian Mbappé: 2+ goals
-$280.00 · 999.99 @ 0.280
BUY·77d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
Yes on Ismael Saibari: 1+ goals
-$170.00 · 499.99 @ 0.340
BUY·77d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
Yes on Will Colombia vs. Ghana end in a draw?
-$230.00 · 1000 @ 0.230
BUY·77d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
Cabo Verde on Spread: Argentina (-2.5)
+$410.00 · 1000 @ 0.590
BUY·78d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
Yes on Lionel Messi: 2+ goals
-$280.00 · 999.99 @ 0.280
BUY·79d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
Under on Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5
+$635.50 · 1550 @ 0.590
BUY·79d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
Under on Colombia vs. Ghana: Colombia O/U 1.5
+$572.00 · 1100 @ 0.480
BUY·79d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
Yes on United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score
-$155.26 · 388.14 @ 0.400
SELL·79d agostale·0xd5d8…e9a1why? →
Yes on Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score
-$2.00 · 1999.99 @ 0.999
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.