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0xd457c4bE9DB4a896E54882a9C8D31f8363D0e627-1773903794451

0xd457…e627polymarket ↗last active 14m ago
All-time PnL
-$189.15
Win rate
69.0%
69 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$3.26
30d PnL
-$189.15
30d trades
100
30d wins
40
40.0%
30d volume
$10.4k
Category edge
Crypto
50.5%
-16.7pp
n=99

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
50.5% (50 wins / 49 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 30 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 3-day series
$0.00
-$537.96
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.32 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.76Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $100Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.47 (consistent)Stakes are uniform — systematic, flat-sizing behaviour.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 76¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $100.00 · p90 $142.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Fri 14:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·14m ago·0xd457…e627why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
153.846154 @ 0.650
SELL·18m ago·0xd457…e627why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
-$60.45 · 439.76 @ 0.863
BUY·19m ago·0xd457…e627why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
+$69.49 · 169.491526 @ 0.590
SELL·19m ago·0xd457…e627why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
+$68.04 · 112.35 @ 0.606
BUY·19m ago·0xd457…e627why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
+$170.27 · 270.270271 @ 0.370
BUY·21m ago·0xd457…e627why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
-$100.00 · 112.359545 @ 0.890
BUY·31m ago·0xd457…e627why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
-$100.00 · 133.333332 @ 0.750
SELL·38m ago·0xd457…e627why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
-$1.27 · 127.48 @ 0.990
BUY·39m ago·0xd457…e627why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
+$27.48 · 127.482909 @ 0.784
BUY·51m ago·0xd457…e627why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
+$28.21 · 128.205127 @ 0.780
SELL·1h ago·0xd457…e627why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
-$1.35 · 135.13 @ 0.990
BUY·1h ago·0xd457…e627why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
+$35.14 · 135.135134 @ 0.740
BUY·1h ago·0xd457…e627why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
-$25.00 · 46.574073 @ 0.537
BUY·1h ago·0xd457…e627why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
+$13.64 · 113.636358 @ 0.880
BUY·1h ago·0xd457…e627why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
-$100.00 · 156.25 @ 0.640
SELL·2h agoageing·0xd457…e627why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
-$8.84 · 147.4 @ 0.940
BUY·2h agoageing·0xd457…e627why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
+$47.41 · 147.409412 @ 0.678
BUY·2h agoageing·0xd457…e627why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
+$31.58 · 131.578945 @ 0.760
BUY·3h agoageing·0xd457…e627why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
-$100.00 · 182.672728 @ 0.547
SELL·3h agoageing·0xd457…e627why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
-$1.69 · 169.49 @ 0.990
BUY·3h agoageing·0xd457…e627why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
+$69.49 · 169.491526 @ 0.590
SELL·3h agoageing·0xd457…e627why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
-$8.02 · 192.3 @ 0.958
BUY·3h agoageing·0xd457…e627why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
+$92.31 · 192.307693 @ 0.520
SELL·3h agoageing·0xd457…e627why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
-$9.09 · 227.27 @ 0.960
BUY·4h agoageing·0xd457…e627why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
+$127.27 · 227.272728 @ 0.440
SELL·4h agoageing·0xd457…e627why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
-$1.45 · 145.47 @ 0.990
BUY·4h agoageing·0xd457…e627why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
+$45.47 · 145.474925 @ 0.687
BUY·17h agoageing·0xd457…e627why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
+$14.44 · 114.443182 @ 0.874
SELL·17h agoageing·0xd457…e627why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
+$5.21 · 34.72 @ 0.150
BUY·17h agoageing·0xd457…e627why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET
-$25.00 · 34.722221 @ 0.720
BUY·18h agoageing·0xd457…e627why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
+$15.98 · 115.977007 @ 0.862
SELL·21h agoageing·0xd457…e627why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
-$1.05 · 105.26 @ 0.990
BUY·21h agoageing·0xd457…e627why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
+$5.26 · 105.26314 @ 0.950
BUY·23h agoageing·0xd457…e627why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
+$12.36 · 112.359545 @ 0.890
SELL·1d agostale·0xd457…e627why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
-$2.34 · 116.87 @ 0.980
BUY·1d agostale·0xd457…e627why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
+$16.87 · 116.872092 @ 0.856
SELL·1d agostale·0xd457…e627why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
-$6.03 · 150.79 @ 0.960
BUY·1d agostale·0xd457…e627why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
+$50.80 · 150.796118 @ 0.663
BUY·1d agostale·0xd457…e627why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
+$11.76 · 36.764706 @ 0.680
BUY·1d agostale·0xd457…e627why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
+$1.60 · 26.595733 @ 0.940
BUY·1d agostale·0xd457…e627why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
-$100.00 · 379.881482 @ 0.263
SELL·1d agostale·0xd457…e627why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
-$1.27 · 42.37 @ 0.970
BUY·1d agostale·0xd457…e627why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
+$17.37 · 42.372882 @ 0.590
BUY·1d agostale·0xd457…e627why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
+$17.65 · 117.647053 @ 0.850
SELL·1d agostale·0xd457…e627why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
-$2.70 · 135.13 @ 0.980
BUY·1d agostale·0xd457…e627why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
+$35.14 · 135.135134 @ 0.740
BUY·1d agostale·0xd457…e627why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
+$29.87 · 129.87013 @ 0.770
BUY·1d agostale·0xd457…e627why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
-$100.00 · 147.058821 @ 0.680
BUY·1d agostale·0xd457…e627why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET
-$100.00 · 138.888889 @ 0.720
BUY·1d agostale·0xd457…e627why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET
-$100.00 · 136.9863 @ 0.730
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.