No on Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?
— 205.02 @ 0.870
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D4
0xd42c…3611
All-time PnL
-$2.39k
Win rate
54.5%
39 of 71
Total trades
71
Avg PnL / trade
-$109.32
30d PnL
$334.43
30d trades
21
30d wins
7
33.3%
30d volume
$5.54k
Category edge
Politics
66.7%
-20.2pp
n=6
Sports
33.3%
-15.1pp
n=9
World
51.1%
-0.7pp
n=47
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
50.0% (33 wins / 33 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 13 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 17-day series
$179.29
-$3.64k
Trading pattern
World Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · World 70%
Why World Specialisthigh confidence · 71 trades
Category focus: World 70% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a World specialist.
Directional bias: +0.30 (two-sided) — Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.59 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $174 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.97 (moderate) — Stakes vary moderately across trades.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 59¢ · 71 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $174.28 · p90 $675.29
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Wed 11:00 · 71 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?
— 14.9 @ 0.870
No on Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 22?
— 994.82 @ 0.810
Yes on Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?
— -$2.77 · 173.1 @ 0.016
Yes on Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 4, 2026?
— +$20.19 · 545.732081 @ 0.963
Yes on Will Jeff Beattie win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?
— -$0.33 · 326.96 @ 0.999
Yes on Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?
— -$0.23 · 233.41 @ 0.999
Yes on Will Jeff Beattie win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?
— +$110.97 · 260.966665 @ 0.575
Yes on Will Jeff Beattie win the 2026 Hamilton East—Stoney Creek provincial by-election?
— +$6.75 · 15 @ 0.550
Yes on Will Fatima Shaban win the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?
— +$33.42 · 233.41965 @ 0.857
Yes on Will Ahsanul Hafiz get second place in the 2026 Scarborough Southwest provincial by-election?
— +$138.60 · 278.603772 @ 0.503
Yes on Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?
— +$9.00 · 300 @ 0.970
Yes on Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?
— +$6.00 · 200 @ 0.970
Yes on Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?
— +$15.50 · 500 @ 0.969
No on Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the song of the summer?
— -$0.51 · 505.28 @ 0.999
No on Will "hate that i made you love me - Ariana Grande" be the song of the summer?
— +$5.28 · 505.28225 @ 0.990
Yes on Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?
— +$23.20 · 290.01 @ 0.080
Yes on Will "Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look" get between 10 and 15 million views on day 1?
— -$8.10 · 10 @ 0.810
No on Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?
— 589.64 @ 0.769
No on Another GTA VI trailer released by September 30?
— 589.645605 @ 0.763
Yes on Houthis successfully target shipping by September 15, 2026?
— +$0.60 · 49.59514 @ 0.988
Yes on Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?
— -$0.12 · 17.59 @ 0.993
Yes on U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
— +$8.01 · 21.03 @ 0.381
Yes on U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
— -$137.25 · 457.625665 @ 0.300
No on US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?
— +$337.40 · 1088.376809 @ 0.690
Yes on Iran successfully targets shipping on July 17?
— -$0.18 · 18.26 @ 0.010
Yes on Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
— -$0.44 · 88.63 @ 0.995
Yes on Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
— -$3.02 · 756 @ 0.996
Yes on Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
— +$11.66 · 762.7106 @ 0.985
Yes on Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
— +$2.05 · 81.9282 @ 0.975
No on Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
— +$81.69 · 480.55 @ 0.170
No on Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
— -$50.00 · 122.908047 @ 0.407
No on Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
— -$50.00 · 92.592591 @ 0.540
No on Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
— -$50.00 · 88.067893 @ 0.568
No on Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
— -$100.00 · 176.986313 @ 0.565
No on Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?
— +$13.04 · 613.03919 @ 0.979
Yes on Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 15?
— +$141.40 · 600 @ 0.236
No on Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 13?
— +$3.55 · 32.24719 @ 0.890
Yes on Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
— +$153.12 · 1000 @ 0.153
Yes on Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
— -$100.00 · 1000 @ 0.100
No on Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
— +$81.07 · 2002.79 @ 0.040
No on Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
— -$100.00 · 871.652415 @ 0.115
No on Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
— -$100.00 · 590.5977 @ 0.169
No on Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?
— -$100.00 · 540.540539 @ 0.185
Yes on Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
— -$2.07 · 689.77 @ 0.997
Yes on Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
— +$103.67 · 471.205127 @ 0.780
Yes on Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?
— +$367.53 · 3046 @ 0.121
Yes on Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
— +$44.29 · 218.573875 @ 0.797
No on Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
— +$174.28 · 623.27 @ 0.280
No on Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
— -$486.94 · 623.275442 @ 0.781
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.