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checkmate911

0xd41a…aa9fpolymarket ↗last active 32m ago
All-time PnL
-$3.77k
Win rate
16.4%
16 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$61.73
30d PnL
-$771.28
30d trades
43
30d wins
5
11.6%
30d volume
$6.53k
Category edge
Crypto
3.8%
-76.2pp
n=26
Sports
16.7%
-31.8pp
n=72

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
13.3% (13 wins / 85 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 8 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 25-day series
$0.00
-$3.77k
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 74%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 74% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.80 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.34Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $70Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.67 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 34¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $69.56 · p90 $462.61
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Thu 20:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·32m ago·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
Bounty Hunters Esports on Counter-Strike: Galorys vs Bounty Hunters Esports (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs
1369.73 @ 0.169
BUY·2h agoageing·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
FURIA on Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
902.906072 @ 0.274
BUY·3d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
Spirit Academy on Counter-Strike: BakS eSports vs Spirit Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #9 Group Stage
-$31.27 · 152.05 @ 0.206
BUY·7d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
Fluxo W7M on Counter-Strike: Fluxo W7M vs DENDELE CS (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest: South American Closed Qualifier Playoffs
-$79.72 · 216 @ 0.369
BUY·7d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
Winthrop University on LoL: Winthrop University vs Maryville University - Game 2 Winner
-$68.92 · 174 @ 0.396
BUY·8d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
Dominion Goblins on LoL: Bubliki vs Dominion Goblins (BO5) - LPLOL Playoffs
-$8.92 · 31.857143 @ 0.280
BUY·12d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
DYNASTY on Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B
-$4.74 · 18.423075 @ 0.257
BUY·12d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
DYNASTY on Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B
-$5.00 · 19.99 @ 0.250
BUY·12d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
DYNASTY on Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Zero Tenacity (BO3) - EPL Masters Group B
-$6.17 · 26.82 @ 0.230
BUY·14d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
G2 on Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Playoffs
-$125.21 · 795.375 @ 0.157
BUY·14d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
Namibia on South Africa and Zimbabwe Tour of Namibia T20s: Namibia vs South Africa
-$246.31 · 1632.94 @ 0.151
BUY·14d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
KT Rolster on LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
-$9.19 · 61.266665 @ 0.150
BUY·19d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
San Diego Padres on San Diego Padres vs. Tampa Bay Rays
-$64.95 · 360.833332 @ 0.180
BUY·20d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
Shopify Rebellion on LoL: Team Liquid vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season
-$308.59 · 2860.031817 @ 0.108
BUY·20d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
Colts on Lions vs. Colts
-$278.55 · 826.027646 @ 0.337
BUY·20d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
Legacy on Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B
-$95.14 · 731.83 @ 0.130
BUY·20d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
Legacy on Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B
-$26.92 · 300.222221 @ 0.090
BUY·21d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
Yes on Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-08-28?
-$344.00 · 2646.153845 @ 0.130
BUY·21d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
Yes on Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 3 - 3 Manchester City FC?
-$43.00 · 2866.666665 @ 0.015
BUY·21d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
Yes on Exact Score: Crystal Palace FC 3 - 2 Manchester City FC?
-$147.00 · 6638.905216 @ 0.022
SELL·21d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
FURIA on Counter-Strike: M80 vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner
-$0.85 · 847.16 @ 0.999
BUY·21d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
Team Vitality on LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
+$470.45 · 573.722221 @ 0.180
BUY·21d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
Team Vitality on LoL: Team Vitality vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
+$501.99 · 629.8 @ 0.203
BUY·21d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
FURIA on Counter-Strike: M80 vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner
+$592.16 · 847.160644 @ 0.301
SELL·21d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
DYNASTY on Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Inner Circle (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A
-$0.51 · 505.88 @ 0.999
BUY·21d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
DYNASTY on Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Inner Circle (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A
+$14.84 · 21.570511 @ 0.312
BUY·21d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
DYNASTY on Dota 2: DYNASTY vs Inner Circle (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A
+$16.53 · 29 @ 0.430
BUY·21d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
Team Heretics on LoL: Shifters vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
-$97.84 · 299.98 @ 0.326
BUY·21d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
paiN on Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
-$96.24 · 1069.333332 @ 0.090
BUY·21d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
paiN on Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
-$86.20 · 680.906922 @ 0.127
BUY·21d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
Chargers on Rams vs. Chargers
-$1.05 · 1052.57 @ 0.001
BUY·21d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
Rams on Rams vs. Chargers
+$471.00 · 785 @ 0.400
BUY·23d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
paiN on Counter-Strike: FURIA vs paiN (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group A
-$20.65 · 206.5 @ 0.100
BUY·24d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
Nemiga Gaming on Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A
-$19.25 · 33.947367 @ 0.567
BUY·24d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
Nemiga Gaming on Dota 2: PuckChamp vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters Play-In Group A
-$9.50 · 30.63 @ 0.310
BUY·27d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
Yes on Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-08-22?
-$0.19 · 193.69 @ 0.001
BUY·27d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
Shifters on LoL: Fnatic vs Shifters (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
-$102.40 · 1280 @ 0.080
BUY·27d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
FUT Esports on Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner
-$462.61 · 1666.857141 @ 0.278
BUY·27d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
FURIA on Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner
-$500.00 · 1547.339392 @ 0.323
BUY·27d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
Yes on Will the match end in a draw?
-$0.16 · 5 @ 0.032
BUY·28d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
FUT Esports on Valorant: BBL Esports vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT EMEA Playoffs
+$767.36 · 1046.278517 @ 0.267
BUY·28d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
Natus Vincere on LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - LEC Regular Season
-$190.43 · 544.085713 @ 0.350
BUY·28d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
Spirit on Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner
-$124.59 · 611.90476 @ 0.204
BUY·32d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
-$1.00 · 2.040815 @ 0.490
BUY·32d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
-$1.00 · 2.040815 @ 0.490
BUY·32d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
-$1.00 · 2.040815 @ 0.490
BUY·32d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
-$1.00 · 2.040815 @ 0.490
BUY·32d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
-$1.00 · 2.040815 @ 0.490
BUY·32d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET
-$1.00 · 1.923075 @ 0.520
BUY·33d agostale·0xd41a…aa9fwhy? →
T1 on LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Group
-$70.21 · 438.8125 @ 0.160
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.