Yes on Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 20?
— 266.68 @ 0.990
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AN
AnalPrincess
All-time PnL
$97.53
Win rate
100.0%
100 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$1.81
30d PnL
$97.53
30d trades
100
30d wins
54
54.0%
30d volume
$9.05k
Category edge
Weather
96.8%
avg
n=95
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
96.8% (92 wins / 3 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 3 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 7-day series
$97.26
$0.00
Trading pattern
Weather Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Weather 100%
Why Weather Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Weather 100% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Weather specialist.
Directional bias: +0.94 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.99 — Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $46 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.10 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 99¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $45.54 · p90 $242.87
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Tue 13:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 20?
— 17.48 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on September 20?
— 26.7 @ 0.980
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 20?
— 127.5 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 76-77°F on September 19?
— +$1.06 · 105.97 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 19?
— +$0.31 · 31.11 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on September 19?
— +$3.73 · 372.71 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 19?
— +$0.16 · 8 @ 0.980
Yes on Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on September 19?
— +$4.76 · 238.23 @ 0.980
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 19?
— -$0.24 · 243.11 @ 0.999
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on September 19?
— 61 @ 0.990
No on Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on September 19?
— +$0.30 · 30.34 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 19?
— +$0.45 · 45 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 20°C on September 19?
— +$1.52 · 151.94 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 19?
— +$0.10 · 9.6 @ 0.990
No on Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 19?
— +$0.01 · 1 @ 0.990
No on Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 19?
— +$2.36 · 236.13 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 19?
— +$3.11 · 310.55 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 19?
— +$1.10 · 110.15 @ 0.990
No on Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 19?
— +$0.49 · 48.71 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 19?
— +$1.79 · 178.97 @ 0.990
No on Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 18?
— +$0.08 · 8.25 @ 0.990
No on Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 18?
— +$0.69 · 22.87 @ 0.970
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 18?
— +$0.62 · 61.97 @ 0.990
No on Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 18?
— +$0.60 · 60 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 21°C on September 18?
— +$1.32 · 131.52 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on September 18?
— +$4.57 · 228.61 @ 0.980
No on Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on September 18?
— +$0.45 · 22.5 @ 0.980
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 18?
— +$1.11 · 110.8 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on September 18?
— +$1.00 · 100 @ 0.990
No on Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 18?
— +$2.48 · 155.21 @ 0.984
No on Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 25°C on September 18?
— +$2.48 · 165.56 @ 0.985
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on September 18?
— +$0.40 · 39.97 @ 0.990
No on Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on September 18?
— +$1.55 · 154.9 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 18?
— +$0.15 · 7.36 @ 0.980
No on Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 18?
— +$0.45 · 45.38 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on September 17?
— +$2.67 · 266.94 @ 0.990
No on Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on September 17?
— +$2.42 · 242.03 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 17?
— +$2.77 · 302.768 @ 0.991
No on Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on September 17?
— +$1.57 · 51.56845 @ 0.970
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 17?
— +$0.70 · 10 @ 0.930
No on Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on September 17?
— +$0.15 · 15 @ 0.990
No on Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on September 17?
— +$0.94 · 85.81 @ 0.989
No on Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on September 17?
— +$0.07 · 5.9 @ 0.988
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 17?
— +$0.21 · 10.73 @ 0.980
No on Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 17?
— +$0.22 · 11.11 @ 0.980
No on Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 18°C on September 17?
— +$4.37 · 218.69 @ 0.980
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 17?
— +$0.15 · 7.32 @ 0.980
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 17?
— +$0.25 · 12 @ 0.979
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on September 17?
— +$0.29 · 14 @ 0.979
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.