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InAirdropWeTrust

0xd3e7…bf64polymarket ↗last active 16m ago
All-time PnL
-$640.43
Win rate
57.1%
57 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$30.50
30d PnL
-$640.43
30d trades
100
30d wins
12
12.0%
30d volume
$10.6k
Category edge
Sports
45.3%
-9.9pp
n=53

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
41.8% (28 wins / 39 misses)
Cumulative PnL · 1-day series
Not enough data to chart yet.
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.98 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.52Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $8Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 7.85 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 52¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $8.16 · p90 $15.12
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Fri 23:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·16m ago·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Philadelphia Phillies on Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
30.72 @ 0.090
BUY·16m ago·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Philadelphia Phillies on Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
13.02 @ 0.090
BUY·17m ago·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Boston Red Sox on Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays
215 @ 0.860
BUY·21m ago·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Chicago White Sox on Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox
11.36 @ 0.880
BUY·21m ago·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Over on New York City FC vs. New York Red Bulls: O/U 1.5
15.38 @ 0.620
BUY·21m ago·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Chicago White Sox on Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox
10.98 @ 0.880
BUY·21m ago·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Chicago White Sox on Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox
10.98 @ 0.880
BUY·38m ago·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Yes on Will Club Puebla win on 2026-09-18?
6.61 @ 0.390
BUY·38m ago·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
No on Will Atlante FC win on 2026-09-18?
5 @ 0.680
BUY·38m ago·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
No on Will Club Puebla vs. Atlante FC end in a draw?
5 @ 0.720
BUY·38m ago·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
No on Will Club Puebla win on 2026-09-18?
5 @ 0.620
BUY·38m ago·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
No on Will Club Puebla vs. Atlante FC end in a draw?
5 @ 0.720
BUY·38m ago·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Yes on Will Atlante FC win on 2026-09-18?
8.96 @ 0.330
BUY·52m ago·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Cincinnati Reds on Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds
20 @ 0.500
BUY·53m ago·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Cincinnati Reds on Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds
20 @ 0.500
BUY·58m ago·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Cincinnati Reds on Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds
20.39 @ 0.490
BUY·1h ago·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Detroit Tigers on Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox
13.9 @ 0.100
BUY·1h ago·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Chicago Cubs on Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds
12.98 @ 0.570
BUY·1h ago·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Seattle Mariners on Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies
5 @ 0.820
BUY·1h ago·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Seattle Mariners on Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5)
23.76 @ 0.736
BUY·1h ago·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Sentinels on LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
-$8.21 · 9.03 @ 0.909
BUY·1h ago·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Sentinels on LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
-$7.87 · 8.6 @ 0.915
BUY·1h ago·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Sentinels on LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
-$9.79 · 10.74 @ 0.912
BUY·1h ago·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Sentinels on LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
-$9.52 · 10.27 @ 0.927
BUY·1h ago·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Shopify Rebellion on LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
+$39.57 · 47.66 @ 0.170
BUY·1h ago·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Cleveland Guardians on Spread: Athletics (-1.5)
40.81 @ 0.490
BUY·1h ago·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Cleveland Guardians on Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians
27.77 @ 0.350
BUY·1h ago·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
No on Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-09-18?
5 @ 0.770
BUY·1h ago·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Yes on Will New York City FC win on 2026-09-18?
5.38 @ 0.520
BUY·1h ago·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Cleveland Guardians on Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians
27.77 @ 0.350
BUY·1h ago·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Philadelphia Phillies on Philadelphia Phillies vs. New York Mets
40 @ 0.210
BUY·1h ago·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Tampa Bay Rays on Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays
27.77 @ 0.350
BUY·1h ago·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Sentinels on LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
-$9.98 · 12.04 @ 0.829
BUY·1h ago·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Sentinels on LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
-$9.80 · 13.88 @ 0.706
BUY·1h ago·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Sentinels on LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
-$9.58 · 13.3 @ 0.720
BUY·1h ago·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Shopify Rebellion on LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
+$19.07 · 27.96 @ 0.318
BUY·1h ago·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Kansas City Royals on Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
15.15 @ 0.660
BUY·1h ago·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Shopify Rebellion on LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
+$9.34 · 12.66 @ 0.262
BUY·2h agoageing·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Cleveland Guardians on Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians
10 @ 0.470
BUY·2h agoageing·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Cincinnati Reds on Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds
17.85 @ 0.560
BUY·2h agoageing·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Sentinels on LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
-$10.44 · 16.13 @ 0.647
BUY·2h agoageing·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Chicago Cubs on Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds
18.86 @ 0.430
BUY·2h agoageing·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Chicago Cubs on Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds
44.5 @ 0.440
BUY·2h agoageing·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Nadia Podoroska on Sao Paulo Open: Nadia Podoroska vs Suzan Lamens
9.6 @ 0.510
BUY·2h agoageing·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Shopify Rebellion on LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner
+$3.75 · 11.36 @ 0.670
BUY·2h agoageing·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Shopify Rebellion on LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
+$5.60 · 7.37 @ 0.240
BUY·2h agoageing·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Shopify Rebellion on LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner
+$3.29 · 10.98 @ 0.700
BUY·2h agoageing·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Shopify Rebellion on LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Playoffs
+$7.38 · 10 @ 0.263
BUY·2h agoageing·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Shopify Rebellion on LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner
+$3.42 · 13.15 @ 0.740
BUY·2h agoageing·0xd3e7…bf64why? →
Sentinels on LoL: Shopify Rebellion vs Sentinels - Game 4 Winner
-$3.43 · 14.28 @ 0.240
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.