No on US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?
— 34.36 @ 0.982
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GO
GoingGangrene
All-time PnL
$758.74
Win rate
100.0%
100 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$10.84
30d PnL
$755.25
30d trades
92
30d wins
63
68.5%
30d volume
$46.0k
Category edge
Sports
100.0%
+50.0pp
n=18
Other
100.0%
avg
n=53
World
100.0%
avg
n=17
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
99.0% (95 wins / 1 misses)Cumulative PnL · 18-day series
$752.33
-$2.92
Trading pattern
Other-Leaningbuy-heavysmall-sizefavorite-backerBuy-leaning · Other 53%
Why Other-Leaninghigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Other 53% of categorized trades — a lean toward Other without full specialization.
Directional bias: +0.98 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.99 — Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $115 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.76 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 99¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $114.89 · p90 $1.44k
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Mon 20:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
Yes on Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?
— 571 @ 0.979
Yes on Will Xi Jinping visit US by October 31?
— 60 @ 0.978
No on Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 on September 19?
— +$4.00 · 400 @ 0.990
No on Will Bitcoin dip to $79,000 on September 19?
— +$0.80 · 400 @ 0.998
No on WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on September 18?
— +$0.04 · 37.62 @ 0.999
No on WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on September 18?
— +$0.05 · 53.89 @ 0.999
No on WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on September 17?
— +$4.80 · 480 @ 0.990
No on WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on September 17?
— +$0.01 · 5.99 @ 0.998
No on WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on September 17?
— +$4.30 · 430 @ 0.990
No on WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on September 17?
— +$5.00 · 500 @ 0.990
Yes on WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on September 17?
— +$0.58 · 575 @ 0.999
Yes on WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $95 on September 17?
— +$0.01 · 5.99 @ 0.998
Yes on WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on September 17?
— +$0.55 · 549.85 @ 0.999
Yes on WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on September 17?
— +$0.58 · 575 @ 0.999
No on WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on September 16?
— +$4.10 · 410 @ 0.990
Yes on WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on September 16?
— +$0.52 · 515 @ 0.999
Yes on WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on September 16?
— +$0.01 · 6 @ 0.998
Yes on WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on September 16?
— +$0.58 · 575 @ 0.999
Yes on WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on September 16?
— +$0.03 · 3 @ 0.990
Yes on WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on September 16?
— +$6.04 · 603.68 @ 0.990
No on U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
— 191.41 @ 0.830
No on Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15?
— +$14.40 · 2057 @ 0.993
No on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
— +$18.00 · 2000 @ 0.991
No on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
— +$7.19 · 799 @ 0.991
No on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?
— +$4.49 · 498.99 @ 0.991
No on Will “The Daily Show” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?
— +$2.99 · 230 @ 0.987
No on Will “The Daily Show” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding variety series?
— +$0.62 · 44.42 @ 0.986
No on Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15?
— +$4.59 · 170.1 @ 0.973
No on Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15?
— +$0.67 · 23.04 @ 0.971
No on US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?
— +$2.23 · 1116 @ 0.998
No on WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on September 14?
— +$0.01 · 6 @ 0.998
No on WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on September 14?
— +$0.01 · 6 @ 0.998
Yes on WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on September 14?
— +$0.50 · 500 @ 0.999
Yes on WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on September 14?
— +$0.01 · 5 @ 0.999
Yes on WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on September 14?
— +$0.01 · 10 @ 0.999
Yes on WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on September 14?
— +$0.01 · 5.99 @ 0.998
Yes on WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on September 14?
— +$0.01 · 10 @ 0.999
Yes on WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $98 on September 14?
— +$0.01 · 10 @ 0.999
No on Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?
— +$0.30 · 43.41 @ 0.993
No on Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15?
— +$4.06 · 98.95 @ 0.959
No on Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15?
— +$0.59 · 12.2 @ 0.952
No on Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 15?
— +$0.56 · 11.4 @ 0.951
No on US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?
— +$8.80 · 400 @ 0.978
Opetaia on Zuffa Boxing: Opetaia vs. Mikaelian (Cruiserweight, Main)
— +$0.40 · 5 @ 0.920
Brandon Moreno on Noche UFC: Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales (Flyweight, Main Card)
— +$105.00 · 2100 @ 0.950
Brandon Moreno on Noche UFC: Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales (Flyweight, Main Card)
— +$15.96 · 265.95 @ 0.940
No on US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?
— +$1.00 · 41.67 @ 0.976
No on US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?
— +$3.33 · 138.73 @ 0.976
No on US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?
— +$1.20 · 47.94 @ 0.975
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.