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LU

Lukeicd

0xd2cc…d361polymarket ↗last active 30m ago
All-time PnL
$666.52
Win rate
50.0%
11 of 22
Total trades
22
Avg PnL / trade
$55.54
30d PnL
$666.52
30d trades
22
30d wins
6
27.3%
30d volume
$14.7k
Category edge
Crypto
60.0%
-15.9pp
n=5
Sports
42.9%
-10.6pp
n=14

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
47.4% (9 wins / 10 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 6 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 6-day series
$930.16
-$509.48
Trading pattern
Sports Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 77%
Why Sports Specialistmedium confidence · 22 trades
Category focus: Sports 77% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.45 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.58Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $381Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.92 (moderate)Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Based on 22 trades — a moderate sample.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 58¢ · 22 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $381.18 · p90 $1.46k
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sat 23:00 · 22 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·30m ago·0xd2cc…d361why? →
Cincinnati Reds on Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds
672.818182 @ 0.440
BUY·54m ago·0xd2cc…d361why? →
JooSang Yoo on UFC 331: Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo (Featherweight, Prelims)
548.387097 @ 0.620
SELL·1h ago·0xd2cc…d361why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
+$198.70 · 401.88 @ 0.494
BUY·1h ago·0xd2cc…d361why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
-$250.00 · 401.882856 @ 0.622
BUY·1h ago·0xd2cc…d361why? →
Ole Miss on LSU vs. Ole Miss
1162.790698 @ 0.430
BUY·1h ago·0xd2cc…d361why? →
Over on O/U 1.5 Rounds
-$359.00 · 1031.574858 @ 0.348
BUY·1h ago·0xd2cc…d361why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
+$210.84 · 460.839106 @ 0.542
BUY·3h agoageing·0xd2cc…d361why? →
SMU on SMU vs. Louisville
-$1.00k · 2127.659575 @ 0.470
SELL·3h agoageing·0xd2cc…d361why? →
Vanderbilt on NC State vs. Vanderbilt
-$2.39 · 2387.22 @ 0.999
BUY·7h agoageing·0xd2cc…d361why? →
Vanderbilt on NC State vs. Vanderbilt
+$938.22 · 2387.220656 @ 0.607
SELL·2d agostale·0xd2cc…d361why? →
Miami Marlins on Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
-$1.65 · 1654.53 @ 0.999
BUY·2d agostale·0xd2cc…d361why? →
Miami Marlins on Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
+$198.54 · 1654.534091 @ 0.880
SELL·2d agostale·0xd2cc…d361why? →
Seattle Mariners on Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels
-$45.21 · 1509 @ 0.970
BUY·2d agostale·0xd2cc…d361why? →
Seattle Mariners on Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels
+$814.86 · 1509 @ 0.460
SELL·3d agostale·0xd2cc…d361why? →
Miami Marlins on Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
-$0.82 · 815.04 @ 0.999
BUY·3d agostale·0xd2cc…d361why? →
Miami Marlins on Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
+$473.91 · 815.04762 @ 0.419
BUY·11d agostale·0xd2cc…d361why? →
Florida State on SMU vs. Florida State
-$434.78 · 1402.51613 @ 0.310
SELL·21d agostale·0xd2cc…d361why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
+$18.69 · 81.25 @ 0.230
BUY·21d agostale·0xd2cc…d361why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET
-$39.00 · 81.25 @ 0.480
BUY·21d agostale·0xd2cc…d361why? →
Baltimore Orioles on Baltimore Orioles vs. Athletics
+$59.23 · 120 @ 0.506
BUY·21d agostale·0xd2cc…d361why? →
Baltimore Orioles on Baltimore Orioles vs. Athletics
+$289.75 · 591.33 @ 0.510
BUY·23d agostale·0xd2cc…d361why? →
Steelers on Steelers vs. Bills
-$403.37 · 983.82 @ 0.410
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.