No on Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on September 20?
— 40 @ 0.999
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OraculumNobius
All-time PnL
$82.18
Win rate
100.0%
100 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$2.11
30d PnL
$82.18
30d trades
100
30d wins
39
39.0%
30d volume
$79.8k
Category edge
Sports
100.0%
+49.4pp
n=7
Politics
100.0%
+45.5pp
n=9
Weather
100.0%
avg
n=20
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
100.0% (45 wins / 0 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 1 market — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 7-day series
$68.48
$0.00
Trading pattern
Weather Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Weather 64%
Why Weather Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Weather 64% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Weather specialist.
Directional bias: +0.94 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.99 — Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $100 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 2.76 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 99¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $99.90 · p90 $1.90k
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Sun 10:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on September 20?
— 829.72 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 20?
— 160 @ 0.998
No on Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 20?
— 500 @ 0.998
No on Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 20?
— 40 @ 0.998
No on Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 66-67°F on September 20?
— 40 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 20?
— 40 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on September 20?
— 27.77 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 32°C on September 20?
— 40 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 31°C on September 20?
— 30 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on September 20?
— 20.6 @ 0.998
No on Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 20?
— 1000 @ 0.998
No on Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 20?
— 666.66 @ 0.997
No on Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 20?
— 264.49 @ 0.990
No on Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 20?
— 5 @ 0.998
No on Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 22°C or below on September 20?
— 100 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 20?
— 693.5 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 20?
— 105 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 22°C or below on September 20?
— 948 @ 0.998
No on Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 20?
— 97.33 @ 0.998
No on Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on September 20?
— 545.73 @ 0.990
No on Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 22°C or below on September 20?
— 15 @ 0.989
No on Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 22°C or below on September 20?
— 166.66 @ 0.988
No on Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 20?
— 174.87 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 22°C or below on September 20?
— 62.5 @ 0.984
No on Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 22°C or below on September 20?
— 58.82 @ 0.983
No on Will the announcers say "Nurmagomedov" or "Khabib" during Tsarukyan vs Ruffy?
— +$0.05 · 50 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 20?
— 10 @ 0.920
No on Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 22°C or below on September 20?
— 145.5 @ 0.976
No on Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 22°C or below on September 20?
— 31.74 @ 0.937
No on Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 22°C or below on September 20?
— 27.77 @ 0.947
No on Will the highest temperature in Zhengzhou be 22°C or below on September 20?
— 132.64 @ 0.964
No on Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 20?
— 1000 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 20?
— 1000 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on September 20?
— 42.07 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on September 20?
— 4000 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 32°C on September 20?
— 2.84 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C on September 20?
— 824.66 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 20?
— 638.2 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C or below on September 20?
— 0.96 @ 0.999
No on Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 13°C on September 19?
— +$0.01 · 6 @ 0.999
No on Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be 51°F or below on September 19?
— +$0.01 · 6 @ 0.999
No on Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 54-55°F on September 19?
— +$0.01 · 6 @ 0.999
No on Will the lowest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on September 19?
— +$0.01 · 6 @ 0.999
Over on North Dakota State vs. Sacramento State: 1H O/U 30.5
— +$0.05 · 50 @ 0.999
Over on Purdue Team Total: O/U 13.5
— +$0.04 · 40 @ 0.999
Delta State on Delta State vs. Mississippi Valley State
— +$0.04 · 40 @ 0.999
Under on Louisiana Team Total: O/U 26.5
— +$0.04 · 40 @ 0.999
Under on Texas A&M Team Total: O/U 27.5
— +$0.04 · 40 @ 0.999
Over on Toledo Team Total: O/U 33.5
— +$0.04 · 40 @ 0.999
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.