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0xD026b76110bdB604FC4716c2E6732c0Be293ec2F-1777513658112

0xd026…ec2fpolymarket ↗last active 21m ago
All-time PnL
-$7.18k
Win rate
42.1%
42 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$125.97
30d PnL
-$7.03k
30d trades
74
30d wins
19
25.7%
30d volume
$49.3k
Category edge
Sports
34.0%
-18.5pp
n=47
Crypto
39.5%
-17.7pp
n=43

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
37.5% (36 wins / 60 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 24 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 14-day series
$2.82k
-$7.74k
Trading pattern
Sports-Leaningtwo-sidedsmall-sizeBuy-leaning · Sports 48%
Why Sports-Leaninghigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 48% of categorized tradesa lean toward Sports without full specialization.
Directional bias: +0.30 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.51Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $100Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 2.91 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 51¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $100.00 · p90 $871.54
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Fri 11:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·21m ago·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
-$100.00 · 526.31579 @ 0.190
SELL·28m ago·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
-$1.90 · 190.26 @ 0.990
BUY·32m ago·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
+$110.35 · 190.261905 @ 0.420
BUY·48m ago·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
-$5.00 · 500 @ 0.010
BUY·51m ago·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 21, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET
-$100.00 · 140.845068 @ 0.710
SELL·57m ago·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 26?
3476.42 @ 0.054
SELL·1h ago·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 26?
58.06 @ 0.080
BUY·1d agostale·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 26?
1200 @ 0.250
BUY·1d agostale·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 26?
1198.978462 @ 0.250
SELL·1d agostale·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
Yes on Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
-$11.40 · 20 @ 0.430
BUY·1d agostale·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
Yes on Exact Score: Tottenham Hotspur FC 0 - 2 Aston Villa FC?
-$300.00 · 808.625337 @ 0.371
BUY·1d agostale·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
Yes on Exact Score: Tottenham Hotspur FC 0 - 3 Aston Villa FC?
-$100.00 · 720.899281 @ 0.139
BUY·1d agostale·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
Yes on Exact Score: Tottenham Hotspur FC 1 - 2 Aston Villa FC?
-$100.00 · 769.23077 @ 0.130
BUY·1d agostale·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
Yes on Exact Score: Tottenham Hotspur FC 0 - 2 Aston Villa FC?
-$100.00 · 769.23077 @ 0.130
BUY·1d agostale·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
Yes on Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: Both Teams to Score
+$562.50 · 1562.5 @ 0.640
SELL·1d agostale·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
Invictus Gaming on LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner
-$0.84 · 84.3 @ 0.990
SELL·1d agostale·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
Invictus Gaming on LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 4 Winner
-$16.45 · 182.79 @ 0.910
BUY·2d agostale·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
Invictus Gaming on LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
+$1.10k · 2400 @ 0.540
SELL·3d agostale·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
Yes on Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?
-$4.94k · 8515.62 @ 0.420
SELL·3d agostale·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
Top Esports on LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner
-$0.30 · 299.97 @ 0.999
SELL·3d agostale·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
Yes on Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 September 14-20?
-$286.94 · 448.73 @ 0.361
SELL·3d agostale·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 17?
+$39.09 · 122.15 @ 0.320
SELL·3d agostale·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
Yes on Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?
-$32.32 · 57.72 @ 0.440
BUY·3d agostale·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
Invictus Gaming on LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner
-$192.00 · 400 @ 0.480
BUY·4d agostale·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
Over on Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5
-$80.00 · 500 @ 0.160
SELL·4d agostale·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
Yes on Will Bitcoin reach $77,000 on September 16?
+$64.00 · 3199.68 @ 0.020
BUY·4d agostale·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
Yes on Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in September?
+$4.09k · 7573.34 @ 0.460
BUY·4d agostale·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
Yes on Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 September 14-20?
+$206.42 · 448.73 @ 0.540
SELL·5d agostale·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
Miami Marlins on Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
-$6.66 · 6656.57 @ 0.999
BUY·5d agostale·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
Miami Marlins on Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
+$656.58 · 6656.576366 @ 0.901
SELL·5d agostale·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
Over on Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 11.5
-$3.62 · 500 @ 0.993
BUY·5d agostale·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET
-$100.00 · 1906.313334 @ 0.052
BUY·5d agostale·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET
-$50.00 · 5000 @ 0.010
BUY·5d agostale·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
-$100.00 · 212.765958 @ 0.470
BUY·5d agostale·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
+$13.73 · 213.728616 @ 0.936
BUY·5d agostale·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
+$78.57 · 178.571429 @ 0.560
SELL·5d agostale·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
-$1.32 · 132.35 @ 0.990
BUY·5d agostale·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
+$32.36 · 132.359604 @ 0.756
BUY·5d agostale·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on September 15?
-$5.08 · 13 @ 0.391
SELL·6d agostale·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
Over on Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 13.5
-$0.22 · 217.39 @ 0.999
BUY·6d agostale·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
Over on Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 13.5
+$117.39 · 217.391305 @ 0.460
BUY·6d agostale·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
-$5.00 · 250 @ 0.020
BUY·6d agostale·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
Yes on Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 8 to September 15, 2026?
-$310.00 · 1060.558667 @ 0.292
SELL·6d agostale·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
+$158.00 · 200 @ 0.790
BUY·6d agostale·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
-$100.00 · 200 @ 0.500
BUY·8d agostale·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
Bilibili Gaming on LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
-$9.81k · 14861.49 @ 0.660
SELL·8d agostale·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
Yes on Will Bilibili Gaming win the LPL 2026 season?
+$406.53 · 507.89 @ 0.800
SELL·8d agostale·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
Anyones Legend on LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner
+$871.54 · 872.41 @ 0.999
BUY·8d agostale·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
Anyones Legend on LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner
-$800.00 · 872.410033 @ 0.917
SELL·10d agostale·0xd026…ec2fwhy? →
T1 Academy on LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 4 Winner
-$1.23 · 1229.99 @ 0.999
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.