No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 20?
— 40 @ 0.980
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GR
graynotebook19
All-time PnL
$0.00
Win rate
0.0%
0 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$0.00
30d PnL
$0.00
30d trades
100
30d wins
0
0.0%
30d volume
$1.25k
Trading pattern
Weather-Leaningbuy-heavysmall-sizefavorite-backerBuy-leaning · Weather 41%
Why Weather-Leaninghigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Weather 41% of categorized trades — a lean toward Weather without full specialization.
Directional bias: +0.68 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.75 — Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $10 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.19 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 75¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $9.55 · p90 $39.20
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Sat 03:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 20?
— 30 @ 0.950
No on Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 20?
— 10 @ 0.950
No on Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on September 20?
— 10 @ 0.660
No on Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
— 40 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 20?
— 10 @ 0.990
No on Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 20?
— 8 @ 0.530
Yes on Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?
— 237.41 @ 0.001
No on Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 20?
— 32 @ 0.500
No on Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 20?
— 5 @ 0.760
No on Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on September 20?
— 16.43 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 20?
— 10 @ 0.684
No on Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 17°C on September 20?
— 31 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 20?
— 1.2 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 22°C on September 20?
— 40 @ 0.996
No on Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on September 20?
— 5 @ 0.580
No on Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 30, 2026?
— 7 @ 0.999
No on Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
— 10 @ 0.939
No on Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 20?
— 10 @ 0.630
No on Will MiniMax have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?
— 15 @ 0.998
Yes on Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m?
— 1.54 @ 0.020
Yes on Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 50m and 55m?
— 0.84 @ 0.003
Yes on Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 50m?
— 0.84 @ 0.001
No on Will there be no next Claude Opus model release by September 30, 2026?
— 135 @ 0.765
No on Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 18°C on September 20?
— 10 @ 0.998
No on Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 20?
— 40 @ 0.500
No on Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on September 20?
— 45 @ 0.995
No on Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 20?
— 5 @ 0.740
No on Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on September 20?
— 10 @ 0.998
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 19?
— 102.56 @ 0.001
No on Will Z.ai be the third-best AI lab at the end of November 2026?
— 10 @ 0.990
No on Will the next governing coalition of Sweden include S + MP + C + L?
— 10 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on September 20?
— 10 @ 0.770
No on Will Yash Patel win Big Brother season 28?
— 8 @ 0.999
No on Will Linke win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
— 10 @ 0.740
No on Will Linke win the second-most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
— 30 @ 0.740
No on Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in September?
— 30 @ 0.999
No on Will Core CPI MoM be 0.0% or less in September?
— 10 @ 0.999
Yes on Will A'ja Wilson win the 2026 WNBA Defensive Player of the Year award?
— 0.36 @ 0.130
No on Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 20?
— 10 @ 0.960
No on Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 20?
— 10 @ 0.960
No on Will Ewen Ferguson win the 2026 BMW PGA Championship?
— 5 @ 0.999
No on Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-03 House election by 25%-30%?
— 5 @ 0.990
No on Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 79°F or below on September 20?
— 10 @ 0.998
No on Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?
— 10 @ 0.124
No on Will 1150 to 1199 tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?
— 10 @ 0.969
No on Will Republicans sweep the Ohio Senate and Governor elections?
— 10 @ 0.730
No on Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 64-65°F on September 20?
— 5 @ 0.680
Yes on Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
— 0.84 @ 0.009
No on Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?
— 10 @ 0.120
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.