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sergiuschz

0xcd0e…46e7polymarket ↗last active 21m ago
All-time PnL
$1.99k
Win rate
62.3%
60 of 96
Total trades
96
Avg PnL / trade
$37.65
30d PnL
$1.35k
30d trades
22
30d wins
13
59.1%
30d volume
$20.7k
Category edge
Sports
74.3%
+26.2pp
n=35
Politics
53.3%
-17.7pp
n=15
Crypto
63.6%
-7.9pp
n=11
Other
20.0%
+7.5pp
n=5
Economy
50.0%
-2.6pp
n=12
World
66.7%
+2.0pp
n=6

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
62.9% (56 wins / 33 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 27 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 49-day series
$1.87k
-$357.36
Trading pattern
Sports-Leaningtwo-sidedsmall-sizefavorite-backerBuy-leaning · Sports 42%
Why Sports-Leaninghigh confidence · 96 trades
Category focus: Sports 42% of categorized tradesa lean toward Sports without full specialization.
Directional bias: +0.33 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.79Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $117Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.61 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 79¢ · 96 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $117.37 · p90 $1.01k
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Tue 12:00 · 96 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·21m ago·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
Under on ACF Fiorentina vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5
1500 @ 0.860
BUY·21m ago·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
Under on ACF Fiorentina vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 4.5
1500 @ 0.860
BUY·23m ago·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
Over on Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig: Bayer 04 Leverkusen O/U 0.5
32 @ 0.920
BUY·55m ago·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
Over on Manchester City FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5
1450.85 @ 0.830
BUY·59m ago·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
Over on Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: Real Madrid CF O/U 0.5
1102.5 @ 0.860
BUY·20h agoageing·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
Under on Everton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 4.5
+$295.50 · 1970 @ 0.850
SELL·20h agoageing·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
Tottenham Hotspur FC on Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)
-$735.00 · 750 @ 0.020
BUY·21h agoageing·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
Under on Venezia FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 4.5
+$0.85 · 5 @ 0.830
BUY·21h agoageing·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
Under on Everton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 4.5
+$4.84 · 30.25 @ 0.840
BUY·21h agoageing·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
Under on Bologna FC 1909 vs. Torino FC: O/U 3.5
+$374.00 · 1700 @ 0.780
BUY·21h agoageing·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
Over on Sevilla FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 2.5
+$375.00 · 1500 @ 0.750
BUY·1d agostale·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
Under on Udinese Calcio vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 3.5
+$96.00 · 400 @ 0.760
BUY·1d agostale·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
FC Internazionale Milano on Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)
+$110.40 · 690 @ 0.840
BUY·1d agostale·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
Tottenham Hotspur FC on Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)
+$67.50 · 750 @ 0.910
BUY·1d agostale·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
Under on Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 3.5
+$170.25 · 415.254236 @ 0.590
BUY·1d agostale·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
Under on AS Monaco FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 3.5
+$112.24 · 267.24138 @ 0.580
BUY·3d agostale·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
No on Exact Score: Málaga CF 1 - 1 Villarreal CF?
+$53.15 · 483.146063 @ 0.890
BUY·3d agostale·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
No on Exact Score: Beşiktaş JK 1 - 1 Olympique de Marseille?
+$111.11 · 1111.11111 @ 0.900
BUY·3d agostale·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
No on Exact Score: Real Betis Balompié 1 - 1 Getafe CF?
+$105.06 · 955.056172 @ 0.890
BUY·3d agostale·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
No on Exact Score: Real Betis Balompié 1 - 1 Getafe CF?
+$2.22 · 18.5 @ 0.880
BUY·3d agostale·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
No on Exact Score: FC Barcelona 1 - 0 Real Racing Club?
+$102.65 · 4102.6458 @ 0.975
BUY·3d agostale·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
No on Exact Score: Club Atlético de Madrid 2 - 2 CA Osasuna?
+$101.85 · 3601.851821 @ 0.972
SELL·58d agostale·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
Yes on Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?
4.5 @ 0.270
BUY·193d agostale·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
Yes on Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch?
611.145453 @ 0.550
BUY·235d agostale·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
Yes on Will "Shelter" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 3.5m?
+$258.69 · 1088.839526 @ 0.762
SELL·235d agostale·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
No on Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?
-$2.50 · 832.65 @ 0.997
BUY·250d agostale·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
No on Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?
+$49.13 · 832.656745 @ 0.941
BUY·253d agostale·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
No on Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 4th Weekend Box Office be less than 21m?
+$50.99 · 169 @ 0.698
SELL·268d agostale·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 26?
+$38.19 · 1349.04 @ 0.028
SELL·268d agostale·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on December 26?
+$20.53 · 106.08 @ 0.194
BUY·268d agostale·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 26?
-$190.00 · 1900 @ 0.100
BUY·268d agostale·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 26?
-$10.67 · 118.61 @ 0.090
SELL·279d agostale·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 15?
+$49.27 · 1000 @ 0.049
BUY·280d agostale·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 15?
-$200.00 · 1000 @ 0.200
BUY·280d agostale·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
No on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on December 15?
+$820.00 · 1000 @ 0.180
BUY·287d agostale·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
Yes on Will Google (GOOGL) hit $285 before 2026??
-$61.55 · 410.68 @ 0.150
BUY·290d agostale·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
Yes on Will Google (GOOGL) hit $290 before 2026??
-$11.16 · 55.26 @ 0.202
BUY·290d agostale·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
Yes on Will Google (GOOGL) hit $355 before 2026??
-$140.00 · 700 @ 0.200
SELL·290d agostale·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
No on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 6?
+$10.83 · 1000 @ 0.011
BUY·291d agostale·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
No on Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,800 on December 6?
-$110.00 · 1000 @ 0.110
SELL·301d agostale·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
Yes on Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
-$359.92 · 999.79 @ 0.640
BUY·310d agostale·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
Yes on Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
+$281.90 · 599.792451 @ 0.530
SELL·314d agostale·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
Yes on Will Zohran Mamdani win by 5–10%?
-$3.90 · 150 @ 0.974
BUY·319d agostale·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
No on Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 31 to November 7, 2025?
+$0.95 · 189.5376 @ 0.995
BUY·329d agostale·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
No on Will Ethereum dip to $3000 in October?
+$15.30 · 588.583153 @ 0.974
SELL·329d agostale·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
Yes on Will None in 2025 occur?
-$4.80 · 20 @ 0.760
SELL·329d agostale·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
Yes on Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?
+$10.40 · 20 @ 0.520
SELL·349d agostale·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
No on Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
-$0.59 · 117.55 @ 0.995
BUY·349d agostale·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
No on Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
+$0.47 · 117.55 @ 0.996
BUY·356d agostale·0xcd0e…46e7why? →
No on Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together by September 30?
+$0.12 · 117.077 @ 0.999
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.