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SI

silentvector10

0xcb7f…824bpolymarket ↗last active 31m ago
All-time PnL
$658.61
Win rate
60.3%
60 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$10.45
30d PnL
$1.04k
30d trades
90
30d wins
35
38.9%
30d volume
$59.0k
Category edge
Sports
47.8%
+0.6pp
n=92

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
47.8% (44 wins / 48 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 20 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 25-day series
$3.23k
-$969.45
Trading pattern
Sports Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.42 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.49Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $350Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.22 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 49¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $349.91 · p90 $1.10k
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sat 01:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·31m ago·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Yes on Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-19?
1612.903226 @ 0.620
BUY·54m ago·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Over on Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
1851.851852 @ 0.540
SELL·56m ago·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Over on Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5
320.97 @ 0.520
SELL·56m ago·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Over on Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5
679.03 @ 0.522
BUY·2h agoageing·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Over on Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5
1000 @ 0.500
BUY·1d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Yes on Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-18?
-$920.00 · 2421.052632 @ 0.380
SELL·1d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Milwaukee Brewers on Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
+$415.95 · 2888.51 @ 0.144
SELL·1d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Milwaukee Brewers on Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
+$25.49 · 177 @ 0.144
BUY·1d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Milwaukee Brewers on Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
-$400.00 · 3065.512993 @ 0.130
SELL·2d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Milwaukee Brewers on Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
-$249.37 · 1187.5 @ 0.790
BUY·2d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Milwaukee Brewers on Milwaukee Brewers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
+$807.50 · 1187.5 @ 0.320
BUY·2d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
on Sunderland AFC vs. AZ: O/U 2.5 AND RSC Anderlecht vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 2.5 AND AC Milan vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5
466.159526 @ 0.144
BUY·5d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Yes on Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-14?
-$269.58 · 816.909091 @ 0.330
SELL·5d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Cowboys on Cowboys vs. Giants
+$285.68 · 4098.36 @ 0.070
BUY·5d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Chiefs on Broncos vs. Chiefs
+$1.47k · 3423.438597 @ 0.570
BUY·5d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Yes on Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-14?
-$820.00 · 2484.848485 @ 0.330
BUY·5d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Cowboys on Cowboys vs. Giants
-$2.50k · 4098.360656 @ 0.610
SELL·5d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Packers on Packers vs. Vikings
+$4.11k · 5555.55 @ 0.740
BUY·5d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Packers on Packers vs. Vikings
-$2.50k · 5555.555556 @ 0.450
SELL·5d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Bills on Bills vs. Texans
-$691.00 · 4609.79 @ 0.850
BUY·6d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Bills on Bills vs. Texans
+$2.17k · 4609.792453 @ 0.530
BUY·8d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Rams on 49ers vs. Rams
-$333.87 · 981.970589 @ 0.340
BUY·10d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Seattle Mariners on Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners
-$647.23 · 2397.148149 @ 0.270
SELL·10d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Over on Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5
+$582.65 · 1877.49 @ 0.310
SELL·10d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Over on Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5
+$109.01 · 337.27 @ 0.323
BUY·10d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Over on Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5
-$1.04k · 2214.765958 @ 0.470
BUY·10d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Over on Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5
+$332.45 · 1072.42029 @ 0.690
BUY·10d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Over on FC Porto vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5
-$750.00 · 1339.285715 @ 0.560
SELL·11d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Los Angeles Dodgers on Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
-$539.21 · 2073.87 @ 0.740
BUY·11d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Los Angeles Dodgers on Cincinnati Reds vs. Los Angeles Dodgers
+$955.78 · 2073.870371 @ 0.539
BUY·11d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Over on Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5
+$300.00 · 500 @ 0.400
BUY·18d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Over on Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5
+$391.35 · 850.831817 @ 0.540
BUY·18d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Yes on Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-09-05?
-$1000.00 · 2272.727271 @ 0.440
BUY·18d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Over on Aston Villa FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
-$500.00 · 1351.35135 @ 0.370
BUY·19d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Chicago Cubs on Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs
-$740.00 · 2740.740739 @ 0.270
BUY·19d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Milwaukee Brewers on Texas Rangers vs. Milwaukee Brewers
-$680.00 · 2125 @ 0.320
BUY·19d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Tampa Bay Rays on San Diego Padres vs. Tampa Bay Rays
+$531.25 · 781.25 @ 0.320
BUY·19d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Seattle Mariners on Seattle Mariners vs. Toronto Blue Jays
-$250.00 · 925.925924 @ 0.270
SELL·20d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Tampa Bay Rays on San Diego Padres vs. Tampa Bay Rays
-$148.65 · 675.67 @ 0.780
BUY·20d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Houston Astros on Houston Astros vs. New York Mets
-$200.00 · 2500 @ 0.080
BUY·20d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Cleveland Guardians on Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians
-$200.00 · 1818.181817 @ 0.110
BUY·20d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Tampa Bay Rays on San Diego Padres vs. Tampa Bay Rays
+$425.68 · 675.675674 @ 0.370
SELL·20d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Yes on Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-08-29?
-$290.30 · 3230 @ 0.910
BUY·21d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Over on Liverpool FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5
+$333.33 · 833.333332 @ 0.600
SELL·21d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Houston Astros on Houston Astros vs. New York Mets
-$62.63 · 626.28 @ 0.900
SELL·21d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Houston Astros on Houston Astros vs. New York Mets
-$12.52 · 88 @ 0.858
BUY·21d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Cleveland Guardians on Kansas City Royals vs. Cleveland Guardians
-$250.00 · 691.756755 @ 0.361
BUY·21d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Houston Astros on Houston Astros vs. New York Mets
+$464.29 · 714.285713 @ 0.350
BUY·22d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Over on Crystal Palace FC vs. Manchester City FC: O/U 2.5
+$378.40 · 880 @ 0.570
SELL·23d agostale·0xcb7f…824bwhy? →
Milwaukee Brewers on Milwaukee Brewers vs. New York Mets
-$31.90 · 1680.7 @ 0.981
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.