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MU

muglishainer

0xc835…3911polymarket ↗last active 23m ago
All-time PnL
-$24.1k
Win rate
39.1%
38 of 97
Total trades
97
Avg PnL / trade
-$524.19
30d PnL
-$565.50
30d trades
63
30d wins
11
17.5%
30d volume
$49.5k
Category edge
Sports
56.5%
+0.5pp
n=92

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
56.4% (53 wins / 41 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 12 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 15-day series
$0.00
-$27.6k
Trading pattern
Sports Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 96%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 97 trades
Category focus: Sports 96% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.24 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.44Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $414Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.79 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 44¢ · 97 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $414.00 · p90 $5.16k
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Thu 01:00 · 97 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
SELL·23m ago·0xc835…3911why? →
Xtreme Gaming on Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
3901 @ 0.990
BUY·2h agoageing·0xc835…3911why? →
Conventus Stellarum on Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner
-$488.27 · 1533 @ 0.319
BUY·8h agoageing·0xc835…3911why? →
Miami Marlins on Miami Marlins vs. San Diego Padres
-$1.50k · 7500 @ 0.200
BUY·1d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
1win on Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner
-$163.90 · 504 @ 0.325
BUY·1d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
Colorado Rockies on Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies
-$1.51k · 2100 @ 0.720
BUY·1d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
Colorado Rockies on Seattle Mariners vs. Colorado Rockies
-$2.28k · 6000 @ 0.380
SELL·1d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
Milwaukee Brewers on Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles
-$2.22k · 6000 @ 0.630
BUY·1d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
Milwaukee Brewers on Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles
+$486.00 · 900 @ 0.460
BUY·1d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
Milwaukee Brewers on Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles
+$2.70k · 5100 @ 0.470
SELL·3d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
No on Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-16?
+$285.29 · 607 @ 0.470
BUY·3d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
Minnesota Twins on Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
+$23.05 · 50 @ 0.539
BUY·3d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
San Francisco Giants on San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals
+$1.05k · 4185 @ 0.750
BUY·3d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
Over on San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5
+$35.50 · 50 @ 0.290
BUY·3d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
Over on San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 7.5
+$745.50 · 1050 @ 0.290
BUY·4d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
Los Angeles Angels on Seattle Mariners vs. Los Angeles Angels
+$3.10k · 6450 @ 0.520
BUY·4d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
New York Mets on Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets
-$650.00 · 1000 @ 0.650
BUY·4d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
Washington Nationals on Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals
+$486.00 · 900 @ 0.460
BUY·4d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
Washington Nationals on Philadelphia Phillies vs. Washington Nationals
+$3.21k · 5100 @ 0.370
BUY·4d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
Yes on Ipswich Town FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score
+$448.90 · 1122.25 @ 0.600
BUY·7d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
Aryna Sabalenka on US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina
-$2.00 · 5.55 @ 0.360
BUY·8d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
Frances Tiafoe on US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Ben Shelton
-$1.12k · 4003.714286 @ 0.280
BUY·9d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
FURIA on Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 - Map 2 Winner
-$4.35k · 6800 @ 0.640
BUY·9d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
FURIA on Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 - Map 1 Winner
-$409.72 · 1893.82 @ 0.216
SELL·9d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
BetBoom Team on Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner
-$5.43 · 5425 @ 0.999
BUY·9d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
BetBoom Team on Counter-Strike: MIBR vs BetBoom Team - Map 2 Winner
+$3.18k · 5425 @ 0.413
BUY·10d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
Legacy on Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner
+$1.45k · 2343 @ 0.380
BUY·10d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
Astralis on Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 5star (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
-$286.70 · 400 @ 0.717
BUY·10d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
Astralis on Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 5star (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
-$939.33 · 1145.52 @ 0.820
SELL·10d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
Zandschulp on Game Spread: Zverev (-6.5) vs Zandschulp (+6.5)
+$14.67 · 200 @ 0.073
SELL·10d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
Zandschulp on Game Spread: Zverev (-6.5) vs Zandschulp (+6.5)
+$2.92 · 40 @ 0.073
SELL·10d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
Zandschulp on Game Spread: Zverev (-6.5) vs Zandschulp (+6.5)
+$56.33 · 800 @ 0.070
SELL·10d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
Zandschulp on Game Spread: Zverev (-6.5) vs Zandschulp (+6.5)
+$3.30 · 38.62 @ 0.085
SELL·10d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
Zandschulp on Game Spread: Zverev (-6.5) vs Zandschulp (+6.5)
+$4.80 · 40 @ 0.120
SELL·10d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
Zandschulp on Game Spread: Zverev (-6.5) vs Zandschulp (+6.5)
+$16.80 · 140 @ 0.120
SELL·10d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
Zandschulp on Game Spread: Zverev (-6.5) vs Zandschulp (+6.5)
+$5.00 · 40 @ 0.125
SELL·10d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
Zandschulp on Game Spread: Zverev (-6.5) vs Zandschulp (+6.5)
+$5.37 · 40 @ 0.134
SELL·10d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
Zandschulp on Game Spread: Zverev (-6.5) vs Zandschulp (+6.5)
+$5.68 · 40 @ 0.142
SELL·10d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
Zandschulp on Game Spread: Zverev (-6.5) vs Zandschulp (+6.5)
+$6.00 · 40 @ 0.150
SELL·10d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
Zandschulp on Game Spread: Zverev (-6.5) vs Zandschulp (+6.5)
+$6.00 · 40 @ 0.150
SELL·10d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
Zandschulp on Game Spread: Zverev (-6.5) vs Zandschulp (+6.5)
+$6.00 · 40 @ 0.150
SELL·10d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
Zandschulp on Game Spread: Zverev (-6.5) vs Zandschulp (+6.5)
+$5.47 · 40 @ 0.137
SELL·10d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
Zandschulp on Game Spread: Zverev (-6.5) vs Zandschulp (+6.5)
+$5.60 · 40 @ 0.140
SELL·10d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
Zandschulp on Game Spread: Zverev (-6.5) vs Zandschulp (+6.5)
+$5.59 · 40 @ 0.140
SELL·10d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
Zandschulp on Game Spread: Zverev (-6.5) vs Zandschulp (+6.5)
+$6.00 · 40 @ 0.150
SELL·10d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
Zandschulp on Game Spread: Zverev (-6.5) vs Zandschulp (+6.5)
+$6.00 · 40 @ 0.150
SELL·10d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
Zandschulp on Game Spread: Zverev (-6.5) vs Zandschulp (+6.5)
+$6.00 · 40 @ 0.150
SELL·10d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
Zandschulp on Game Spread: Zverev (-6.5) vs Zandschulp (+6.5)
+$3.66 · 29.89 @ 0.123
SELL·10d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
Zandschulp on Game Spread: Zverev (-6.5) vs Zandschulp (+6.5)
+$6.13 · 50 @ 0.123
SELL·10d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
Zandschulp on Game Spread: Zverev (-6.5) vs Zandschulp (+6.5)
+$6.41 · 50 @ 0.128
BUY·10d agostale·0xc835…3911why? →
HULIGANI on Dota 2: MOUZ vs HULIGANI (BO3) - EPL Masters Playoffs
-$300.00 · 1214.7436 @ 0.247
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.