on Spread: Dallas Wings (-10.5) AND Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-19?
— 20.290656 @ 0.729
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AR
arzam2004
All-time PnL
$982.19
Win rate
85.7%
50 of 58
Total trades
58
Avg PnL / trade
$28.06
30d PnL
$615.10
30d trades
20
30d wins
3
15.0%
30d volume
$1.68k
Category edge
Sports
75.0%
+23.9pp
n=28
Politics
87.5%
+13.6pp
n=8
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
81.0% (34 wins / 8 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 3 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 25-day series
$777.84
-$21.56
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 65%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 58 trades
Category focus: Sports 65% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.90 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.71 — Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $39 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.71 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 71¢ · 58 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $38.67 · p90 $311.79
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Tue 23:00 · 58 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
on Spread: Dallas Wings (-10.5) AND Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-19?
— 27.272703 @ 0.723
on Nottingham Forest FC vs. Coventry City FC: O/U 0.5 AND Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-09-19?
— 19.844574 @ 0.746
on Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-19? AND Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-09-19?
— 187.467882 @ 0.847
on Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-19? AND Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-09-19?
— 12.146173 @ 0.816
on Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-19? AND Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-09-19?
— 14.231744 @ 0.692
on Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-09-19? AND Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-09-19?
— 14.231744 @ 0.692
on San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates AND Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox
— 148.764387 @ 0.661
on San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates AND Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox
— 453.817743 @ 0.212
on San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates AND Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians
— 240.250783 @ 0.404
on San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates AND Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians
— 237.450603 @ 0.409
on San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates AND Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox
— 262.715221 @ 0.369
on San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates AND Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox
— 305.820808 @ 0.316
on San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates AND Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox
— 58.467253 @ 0.331
on San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates AND Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox
— 62.165998 @ 0.311
Yes on Will FC Twente win on 2026-08-27?
— +$590.94 · 1206 @ 0.510
No on Will FC Twente win on 2026-08-27?
— -$57.00 · 100 @ 0.570
Under on Toronto Tempo vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 174.5
— +$50.00 · 100 @ 0.500
No on Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
— 100 @ 0.380
Yes on Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
— +$31.16 · 87.27 @ 0.643
Boston Red Sox on Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox
— +$0.48 · 476.12 @ 0.999
Boston Red Sox on Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox
— +$1.00 · 1000 @ 0.999
Boston Red Sox on Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox
— +$0.24 · 114.99 @ 0.998
Boston Red Sox on Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox
— +$0.20 · 100 @ 0.998
Boston Red Sox on Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Boston Red Sox
— +$0.38 · 187.89 @ 0.998
Pittsburgh Pirates on Boston Red Sox vs. Pittsburgh Pirates
— +$1.50 · 500 @ 0.997
Yes on Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?
— +$35.00 · 500 @ 0.930
Yes on Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?
— +$1.09 · 107.55 @ 0.990
No on Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?
— +$16.00 · 200 @ 0.920
Under on Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5
— -$10.40 · 20 @ 0.520
No on Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— +$18.44 · 98.61 @ 0.813
France on France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance
— +$4.78 · 43.45 @ 0.890
Yes on Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
— -$0.08 · 38.75 @ 0.998
Yes on Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
— +$28.88 · 75.99 @ 0.620
No on US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
— +$14.88 · 47.99 @ 0.690
No on US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
— +$3.97 · 33.11 @ 0.880
Los Angeles Galaxy on Spread: Portland Timbers (-2.5)
— +$0.06 · 56.74 @ 0.999
Portland Timbers on Spread: Los Angeles Galaxy (-2.5)
— +$0.03 · 28.99 @ 0.999
Los Angeles Galaxy on Spread: Portland Timbers (-1.5)
— +$0.01 · 11.65 @ 0.999
No on Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?
— -$48.60 · 90 @ 0.540
Yes on Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-21?
— -$229.31 · 293.99 @ 0.220
Under on RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5
— +$97.06 · 179 @ 0.542
Under on RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Getafe CF: O/U 1.5
— -$46.54 · 179 @ 0.260
Yes on Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-21?
— +$27.22 · 32 @ 0.149
No on Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?
— +$235.21 · 547 @ 0.570
Santa Clara Broncos on Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcats
— -$1.98 · 4.958 @ 0.400
FC Barcelona on Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)
— +$34.80 · 60 @ 0.420
No on Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
— -$28.37 · 42.99 @ 0.660
No on Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
— +$0.06 · 28.37 @ 0.998
Yes on Will Andrew Cuomo win second place in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
— +$1.84 · 28.32 @ 0.935
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.