No on Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 21?
— 45.005 @ 0.987
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MU
mustbethewater
All-time PnL
$0.00
Win rate
0.0%
0 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$0.00
30d PnL
$0.00
30d trades
100
30d wins
0
0.0%
30d volume
$3.17k
Trading pattern
Weather-Leaningbuy-heavysmall-sizefavorite-backerBuy-leaning · Weather 51%
Why Weather-Leaninghigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Weather 51% of categorized trades — a lean toward Weather without full specialization.
Directional bias: +1.00 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.84 — Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $28 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.73 (moderate) — Stakes vary moderately across trades.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 84¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $28.14 · p90 $69.80
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Sun 22:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 21?
— 45 @ 0.960
No on Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 21?
— 45.005 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 20?
— 49.571429 @ 0.070
No on Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on September 20?
— 45 @ 0.040
No on Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 22?
— 29.16842 @ 0.950
No on Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 22?
— 29.173914 @ 0.460
No on Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 22?
— 29.1717 @ 0.990
No on Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 22?
— 29.1765 @ 0.996
No on Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on September 22?
— 29.168 @ 0.998
No on Will CZ post 40-59 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
— 16.020266 @ 0.985
No on Will CZ post 60-79 posts from September 15 to September 22, 2026?
— 16.022 @ 0.998
No on Will "The Gentlemen: Season 2" be the top global Netflix show this week?
— 20 @ 0.998
No on Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 20?
— 47.0625 @ 0.765
No on Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on September 20?
— 45 @ 0.960
No on Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 20?
— 45.005006 @ 0.999
No on Will Sandy Brondello win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award?
— 30 @ 0.999
No on Will Sydney Johnson win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award?
— 30 @ 0.998
No on Will Becky Hammon win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award?
— 30 @ 0.998
No on Will Sonia Raman win the 2026 WNBA Coach of the Year award?
— 30 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on September 21?
— 9.185566 @ 0.970
No on Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on September 21?
— 9.184775 @ 0.920
No on Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on September 21?
— 9.208718 @ 0.390
No on Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 22°C on September 22?
— 45.333325 @ 0.953
No on Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 22?
— 45 @ 0.750
No on Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 27°C on September 22?
— 45 @ 0.990
No on Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 25°C on September 22?
— 45 @ 0.780
No on Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 21?
— 2.72973 @ 0.370
No on Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 21?
— 2.711473 @ 0.981
No on Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 22?
— 13.037971 @ 0.790
No on Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 22?
— 10 @ 0.790
No on Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on September 22?
— 10 @ 0.510
No on Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on September 22?
— 10.0102 @ 0.980
No on Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on September 22?
— 13.039216 @ 0.510
No on Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 22?
— 10.0102 @ 0.980
No on Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on September 22?
— 13.0408 @ 0.980
No on Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 22?
— 13.0408 @ 0.980
No on Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on September 22?
— 27.15305 @ 0.980
No on Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on September 22?
— 27.450981 @ 0.505
No on Will the highest temperature in Munich be 18°C on September 22?
— 27.151895 @ 0.790
No on Will the highest temperature in Munich be 19°C on September 22?
— 27.15305 @ 0.980
No on Will Cash Cat be the first to hit a $1B FDV?
— 100 @ 0.970
No on Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV?
— 100 @ 0.150
No on Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-04 House election by 50%-55%?
— 50 @ 0.930
No on Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-04 House election by 55% or more?
— 50 @ 0.997
No on Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-04 House election by 35%-40%?
— 50.027174 @ 0.736
No on Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 OH-04 House election by 40%-45%?
— 50 @ 0.993
No on Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on September 20?
— 24.378948 @ 0.950
No on Will voter turnout be between 53% and 56% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
— 70.010011 @ 0.999
No on Will voter turnout be between 59% and 62% in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election?
— 70 @ 0.399
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.