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Berniepaidoff

0xc506…e987polymarket ↗last active 20h ago
All-time PnL
-$20.5k
Win rate
51.9%
52 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$757.83
30d PnL
-$20.5k
30d trades
37
30d wins
12
32.4%
30d volume
$175.7k
Category edge
Crypto
25.4%
-16.0pp
n=63
Sports
44.4%
-6.3pp
n=27

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
31.1% (28 wins / 62 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 2 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 11-day series
$2.21k
-$39.4k
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedSell-leaning · Crypto 70%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 70% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: -0.22 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.63Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $5Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.90 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 63¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $4.75 · p90 $6.00k
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Tue 12:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·20h agoageing·0xc506…e987why? →
Atlanta Braves on Atlanta Braves vs. Houston Astros
+$5.53k · 11766.943397 @ 0.530
BUY·1d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
Houston Astros on Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros
+$7.61k · 18527.806509 @ 0.589
BUY·2d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
San Diego Padres on Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)
+$5.76k · 11994.994231 @ 0.520
BUY·3d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
New York Mets on Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets
-$10.00k · 17857.142856 @ 0.560
BUY·5d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
Under on Buccaneers vs. Bengals: O/U 50.5
-$3.00k · 5660.377359 @ 0.530
BUY·5d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
Bills on Spread: Bills (-1.5)
+$2.08k · 4081.632654 @ 0.490
BUY·5d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
Under on Ravens vs. Colts: O/U 48.5
-$2.00k · 3773.584906 @ 0.530
BUY·5d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
on Spread: Chargers (-4.5) AND Bears vs. Panthers AND Commanders vs. Eagles AND Spread: Steelers (-2.5)
9166.293432 @ 0.210
BUY·5d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
on Browns vs. Jaguars AND Falcons vs. Steelers AND Saints vs. Lions AND Bears vs. Panthers
10274.013215 @ 0.282
BUY·5d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
Under on Browns vs. Jaguars: O/U 40.5
-$4.00k · 7558.166038 @ 0.529
BUY·5d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
Under on Ravens vs. Colts: O/U 48.5
-$4.00k · 7560.889246 @ 0.529
BUY·5d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
on Buccaneers vs. Bengals AND Bears vs. Panthers
7114.938362 @ 0.410
BUY·5d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
Commanders on Spread: Eagles (-6.5)
+$3.55k · 7547.169812 @ 0.530
BUY·5d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
Steelers on Spread: Steelers (-6.5)
+$3.00k · 6000 @ 0.500
BUY·5d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
LAC on Spread: LAC (-9.5)
-$3.00k · 6122.44898 @ 0.490
BUY·5d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
Bills on Bills vs. Texans
+$6.65k · 14150.943397 @ 0.530
BUY·8d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
Rams on 49ers vs. Rams
-$4.56k · 7013.061537 @ 0.650
BUY·8d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
Rams on Spread: Rams (-3.5)
-$1.50k · 2941.176471 @ 0.510
BUY·8d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
Under on 49ers vs. Rams: O/U 47.5
+$1.50k · 3000 @ 0.500
BUY·9d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
on Spread: Seahawks (-3.5) AND Patriots vs. Seahawks: O/U 44.5
997.965664 @ 0.489
BUY·9d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
on Spread: Seahawks (-3.5) AND Patriots vs. Seahawks: O/U 44.5
2114.316154 @ 0.461
BUY·9d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
Seahawks on Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)
-$1.00k · 2127.659575 @ 0.470
BUY·9d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
Under on Patriots vs. Seahawks: O/U 44.5
+$2.31k · 4807.692308 @ 0.520
BUY·18d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
Tampa Bay Rays on Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
-$5.00k · 11161.036887 @ 0.448
BUY·18d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
Atlanta Braves on Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)
-$5.00k · 10587.972915 @ 0.472
BUY·18d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
Milwaukee Brewers on Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs
-$6.00k · 12000 @ 0.500
BUY·18d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
Over on Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5
+$1.37k · 2792.374508 @ 0.509
BUY·18d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
Chicago White Sox on Chicago White Sox vs. Houston Astros
-$3.00k · 6521.739129 @ 0.460
BUY·18d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
Tampa Bay Rays on Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)
-$10.00k · 22504.721554 @ 0.444
BUY·19d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
on Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Angels AND Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs AND Baltimore Orioles vs. Athletics AND Houston Astros vs. New York Mets
4534.330936 @ 0.127
BUY·19d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
Over on Houston Astros vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5
+$4.82k · 10815.238034 @ 0.555
BUY·19d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
Baltimore Orioles on Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)
+$5.42k · 10416.666665 @ 0.480
BUY·19d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
New York Mets on Houston Astros vs. New York Mets
-$8.00k · 14814.814813 @ 0.540
BUY·19d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
on Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Angels AND Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs
12624.075242 @ 0.384
BUY·19d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
on Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Angels AND Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs
37440.178316 @ 0.389
BUY·19d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
on Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Angels AND Cincinnati Reds vs. Chicago Cubs
50172.257858 @ 0.387
BUY·19d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
on Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5) AND Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
2754.066411 @ 0.280
SELL·73d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
Down on Solana Up or Down - July 7, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
+$2.95 · 5 @ 0.590
SELL·73d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
Up on Solana Up or Down - July 7, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
-$1.40 · 5 @ 0.720
SELL·73d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
Up on Solana Up or Down - July 7, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET
+$1.37 · 5.71 @ 0.240
SELL·74d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
Down on Solana Up or Down - July 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
+$1.55 · 5.16 @ 0.300
SELL·74d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
Down on Solana Up or Down - July 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
+$1.15 · 5 @ 0.230
SELL·74d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
Down on Solana Up or Down - July 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
+$2.15 · 5 @ 0.430
SELL·74d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
+$4.28 · 7.65 @ 0.560
SELL·74d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET
-$2.64 · 5.5 @ 0.520
SELL·74d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
-$9.06 · 13.13 @ 0.310
SELL·74d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
-$1.25 · 5 @ 0.750
SELL·74d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
-$1.00 · 5 @ 0.800
SELL·74d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET
-$1.30 · 5 @ 0.740
SELL·74d agostale·0xc506…e987why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET
+$4.10 · 5 @ 0.820
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.