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Claybrook34

0xc4e2…fef6polymarket ↗last active 18m ago
All-time PnL
-$51.93
Win rate
60.0%
60 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$3.46
30d PnL
-$51.93
30d trades
100
30d wins
9
9.0%
30d volume
$2.34k
Category edge
Crypto
62.5%
+9.5pp
n=96

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
62.5% (60 wins / 36 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 1 market — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 2-day series
$137.80
-$51.93
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.98 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.72Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $18Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.09 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 72¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $18.36 · p90 $48.40
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sat 00:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·18m ago·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
9 @ 0.710
BUY·18m ago·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
9 @ 0.690
BUY·18m ago·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
9 @ 0.690
BUY·18m ago·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET
9 @ 0.690
BUY·22m ago·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
+$13.20 · 110 @ 0.880
BUY·22m ago·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
+$13.20 · 110 @ 0.880
BUY·22m ago·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
+$2.14 · 8.216217 @ 0.740
BUY·23m ago·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
+$2.31 · 8.547944 @ 0.730
BUY·23m ago·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
+$2.40 · 8 @ 0.700
BUY·23m ago·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
+$2.40 · 8 @ 0.700
BUY·23m ago·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
+$2.40 · 8 @ 0.700
BUY·23m ago·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
+$2.40 · 8 @ 0.700
BUY·23m ago·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
+$2.40 · 8 @ 0.700
BUY·23m ago·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
+$2.40 · 8 @ 0.700
BUY·23m ago·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
+$2.40 · 8 @ 0.700
BUY·23m ago·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
+$2.48 · 8 @ 0.690
BUY·23m ago·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
+$7.02 · 22.63768 @ 0.690
BUY·36m ago·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
-$37.95 · 64.322034 @ 0.590
BUY·37m ago·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
-$40.15 · 63.730159 @ 0.630
BUY·37m ago·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
-$11.68 · 18.539683 @ 0.630
BUY·43m ago·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
+$9.00 · 45 @ 0.800
BUY·43m ago·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
+$1.80 · 9 @ 0.800
BUY·43m ago·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
+$1.80 · 9 @ 0.800
BUY·43m ago·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
+$1.80 · 9 @ 0.800
BUY·43m ago·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
+$1.82 · 9.1125 @ 0.800
BUY·43m ago·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
+$1.82 · 9.1125 @ 0.800
BUY·47m ago·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
-$96.80 · 110 @ 0.880
BUY·47m ago·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
-$95.70 · 110 @ 0.870
BUY·47m ago·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
-$48.40 · 55 @ 0.880
BUY·47m ago·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
-$48.95 · 55.625 @ 0.880
BUY·47m ago·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
-$11.52 · 16 @ 0.720
BUY·47m ago·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
-$11.52 · 16 @ 0.720
BUY·47m ago·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
-$11.52 · 16 @ 0.720
BUY·50m ago·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
+$3.67 · 8.949153 @ 0.590
BUY·50m ago·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
+$3.52 · 8.8 @ 0.600
BUY·50m ago·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
+$3.63 · 9.066667 @ 0.600
BUY·50m ago·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
+$3.38 · 8.655738 @ 0.610
BUY·50m ago·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
+$3.38 · 8.655738 @ 0.610
BUY·50m ago·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
+$2.72 · 8 @ 0.660
BUY·50m ago·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
+$2.80 · 8.242423 @ 0.660
BUY·51m ago·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
+$3.06 · 8.498924 @ 0.640
BUY·51m ago·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
+$2.56 · 8 @ 0.680
BUY·8h agoageing·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
-$44.55 · 61.148646 @ 0.729
BUY·8h agoageing·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
-$22.41 · 27.666663 @ 0.810
BUY·8h agoageing·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
-$19.98 · 27 @ 0.740
BUY·8h agoageing·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
+$12.10 · 110 @ 0.890
BUY·8h agoageing·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
+$2.97 · 27 @ 0.890
BUY·8h agoageing·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
+$3.87 · 27.627907 @ 0.860
BUY·8h agoageing·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
+$4.59 · 27 @ 0.830
BUY·8h agoageing·0xc4e2…fef6why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
+$4.32 · 27 @ 0.840
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.