No on Will Portugal be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
— 100 @ 0.570
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WF
wfsxfwetrdsf
All-time PnL
$0.00
Win rate
0.0%
0 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$0.00
30d PnL
$0.00
30d trades
100
30d wins
0
0.0%
30d volume
$2.50k
Trading pattern
Diversifiedsell-heavysmall-sizeSell-leaning · Politics 29%
Why Diversifiedhigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Politics 29% of categorized trades — spread across many categories (<35% in any one) → diversified.
Directional bias: -1.00 (sell-heavy) — Mostly sells outcomes — tends to fade/short rather than back them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.49 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $8 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.76 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 49¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $8.00 · p90 $57.00
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Sun 19:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on Will Germany be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
— 189.41 @ 0.910
No on Will Norway be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
— 400 @ 0.640
Yes on Will Canada be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
— 44.66 @ 0.140
Yes on Will Canada be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?
— 50 @ 0.160
Yes on Will Parker Messick win the 2026 AL Cy Young Award?
— 34 @ 0.010
Yes on Will Valérie Pécresse be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?
— 50 @ 0.072
No on Probable FDV above $800M one day after launch?
— 30 @ 0.966
Yes on Ventuals FDV above $100M one day after launch?
— 94 @ 0.035
Yes on Ventuals FDV above $100M one day after launch?
— 34 @ 0.035
Yes on Ventuals FDV above $100M one day after launch?
— 33 @ 0.036
Yes on Ventuals FDV above $100M one day after launch?
— 28 @ 0.037
Yes on Ventuals FDV above $100M one day after launch?
— 27 @ 0.038
Yes on Ventuals FDV above $100M one day after launch?
— 76 @ 0.039
Yes on Ventuals FDV above $100M one day after launch?
— 26 @ 0.040
Yes on Ventuals FDV above $100M one day after launch?
— 25 @ 0.041
Yes on Ventuals FDV above $100M one day after launch?
— 24 @ 0.042
Yes on Ventuals FDV above $100M one day after launch?
— 33 @ 0.044
Yes on Will STRC hit $100 by September 30?
— 20 @ 0.260
Yes on Will Jon Ossoff announce a Presidential run before 2027?
— 50 @ 0.030
No on Will Argentina be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?
— 11 @ 0.350
No on Will Mauro Garza win the 2026 Cameron County Judge election?
— 50 @ 0.870
Yes on Will 9+ matches be decided by penalty shootout during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— 50 @ 0.160
Yes on Will Morocco reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— 24.37 @ 0.080
No on Will Canada be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?
— 50 @ 0.870
Yes on Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PNL?
— 50 @ 0.260
No on Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in July 2026?
— 4.09 @ 0.931
No on Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in July 2026?
— 23.86 @ 0.932
No on Will Elon Musk post 960-999 tweets in July 2026?
— 22.05 @ 0.932
No on Will Trump’s approval rating be between 38.5 and 38.9 on July 3, 2026?
— 11.43 @ 0.860
No on Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026?
— 200 @ 0.600
No on Epic Games IPO before 2027?
— 38.01 @ 0.897
No on Epic Games IPO before 2027?
— 40.99 @ 0.898
Yes on Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?
— 20 @ 0.180
No on Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027?
— 40.31 @ 0.975
No on Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027?
— 9.69 @ 0.980
Yes on Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31?
— 19.99 @ 0.090
No on Will the Democratic Party win the AZ-08 House seat?
— 10 @ 0.760
No on Will Nneka Ogwumike have the highest three point percentage in the WNBA 2026 regular season?
— 20 @ 0.950
No on Will Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election?
— 70 @ 0.610
No on Will Hana Ghassan win the Governor of Pará election?
— 173 @ 0.602
No on Will Canada reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— 50 @ 0.959
Yes on Insurrection Act invoked by July 31?
— 50 @ 0.030
Yes on Will Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
— 20 @ 0.060
No on Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series?
— 20 @ 0.910
Yes on Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
— 17.37 @ 0.040
Yes on Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
— 27.63 @ 0.060
Yes on Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
— 5 @ 0.050
No on Will Austria be eliminated in the Round of 16 of the World Cup?
— 17.56 @ 0.890
Yes on Will Russia enter Krasnoiarske by September 30?
— 61 @ 0.340
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.