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basileiarhomaion

0xc31e…63fapolymarket ↗last active 17m ago
All-time PnL
-$231.62
Win rate
80.0%
80 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$8.15
30d PnL
-$285.42
30d trades
100
30d wins
28
28.0%
30d volume
$90.4k
Category edge
Sports
69.0%
+17.5pp
n=29

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
77.8% (56 wins / 16 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 15 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 10-day series
$5.77k
-$283.69
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 94%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 94% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.64 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.76Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $47Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.78 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 76¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $46.90 · p90 $3.70k
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Mon 03:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
SELL·17m ago·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Yes on Will Elche CF win on 2026-09-18?
647.46 @ 0.999
BUY·35m ago·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Yes on Will Elche CF win on 2026-09-18?
647.467387 @ 0.916
SELL·36m ago·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Yes on Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18?
-$0.60 · 595.61 @ 0.999
BUY·1h ago·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Yes on Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18?
+$142.95 · 595.61842 @ 0.760
SELL·1h ago·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Yes on Will Panathinaikos Athens win on 2026-09-20?
655.9 @ 0.710
BUY·17h agoageing·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Minnesota Twins on Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels
-$3.36 · 6.064982 @ 0.554
BUY·17h agoageing·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Minnesota Twins on Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels
-$802.11 · 1457.454874 @ 0.550
SELL·17h agoageing·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Los Angeles Angels on Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels
-$847.47 · 1691.56 @ 0.499
BUY·18h agoageing·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Los Angeles Angels on Minnesota Twins vs. Los Angeles Angels
+$169.16 · 1691.56666 @ 0.900
SELL·18h agoageing·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Bills on Lions vs. Bills
-$1.53 · 1532.28 @ 0.999
BUY·18h agoageing·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Bills on Lions vs. Bills
+$0.06 · 1.888516 @ 0.969
BUY·18h agoageing·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Bills on Lions vs. Bills
+$1.92 · 61.98 @ 0.969
SELL·18h agoageing·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Yes on Will the Democratic Party win the OH-09 House seat?
85 @ 0.730
BUY·18h agoageing·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Bills on Lions vs. Bills
+$73.84 · 1468.41188 @ 0.950
BUY·18h agoageing·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Yes on Will Panathinaikos Athens win on 2026-09-20?
45 @ 0.740
SELL·18h agoageing·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Texas Rangers on Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers
+$231.43 · 1150.81 @ 0.201
SELL·18h agoageing·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Texas Rangers on Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers
+$881.27 · 4298.87 @ 0.205
SELL·18h agoageing·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Texas Rangers on Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers
+$379.01 · 1831.62 @ 0.207
BUY·19h agoageing·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Texas Rangers on Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers
-$6.74 · 7.48888 @ 0.900
BUY·19h agoageing·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Texas Rangers on Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers
-$6.54k · 7273.82 @ 0.899
SELL·19h agoageing·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Houston Astros on Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros
-$6.59 · 6585.75 @ 0.999
BUY·20h agoageing·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Houston Astros on Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros
+$0.12 · 4.454714 @ 0.972
BUY·20h agoageing·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Houston Astros on Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros
+$115.33 · 3815.329866 @ 0.970
BUY·20h agoageing·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Houston Astros on Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros
+$155.30 · 2389.21 @ 0.935
BUY·1d agostale·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Yes on Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-17?
+$45.03 · 500.31 @ 0.910
BUY·1d agostale·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Yes on Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-17?
+$522.00 · 5800 @ 0.910
SELL·1d agostale·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Los Angeles Dodgers on Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds
-$5.77 · 5765.54 @ 0.999
BUY·1d agostale·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Los Angeles Dodgers on Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds
+$0.48 · 5.3 @ 0.910
BUY·1d agostale·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Los Angeles Dodgers on Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds
+$518.42 · 5760.24 @ 0.910
BUY·1d agostale·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Yes on Will Panathinaikos Athens win on 2026-09-20?
60 @ 0.730
BUY·1d agostale·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Miami Marlins on Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
+$2.12 · 11.172836 @ 0.810
BUY·1d agostale·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Miami Marlins on Miami Marlins vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
+$1.07k · 5332.67 @ 0.800
SELL·1d agostale·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Kansas City Royals on Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros
-$4.32 · 4322.03 @ 0.999
BUY·1d agostale·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Kansas City Royals on Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros
+$302.54 · 4322.032259 @ 0.930
BUY·1d agostale·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Cincinnati Reds on Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds
+$0.77 · 22 @ 0.965
BUY·1d agostale·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Cincinnati Reds on Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds
+$125.72 · 3828 @ 0.967
BUY·1d agostale·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Cincinnati Reds on Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds
+$4.34 · 183.82 @ 0.976
BUY·1d agostale·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
-$5.00 · 9.433963 @ 0.530
BUY·2d agostale·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Toronto Blue Jays on Detroit Tigers vs. Toronto Blue Jays
+$22.46 · 3913.457 @ 0.994
SELL·2d agostale·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Yes on Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-16?
-$3.90 · 3896.37 @ 0.999
BUY·2d agostale·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Yes on Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-16?
+$0.11 · 1.252744 @ 0.910
BUY·2d agostale·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Yes on Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-16?
+$350.56 · 3895.120877 @ 0.910
BUY·2d agostale·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
+$1.49 · 6.493504 @ 0.770
BUY·2d agostale·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
+$141.57 · 341.574068 @ 0.586
SELL·2d agostale·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
+$0.82 · 13.69 @ 0.060
BUY·2d agostale·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET
-$5.34 · 13.692308 @ 0.390
BUY·2d agostale·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
+$88.65 · 1575.13 @ 0.944
BUY·2d agostale·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
+$4.58 · 229.0608 @ 0.980
BUY·2d agostale·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
+$38.88 · 1327.92 @ 0.971
BUY·2d agostale·0xc31e…63fawhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
+$14.23 · 19.23077 @ 0.260
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.