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SP

sport-intelligence

0xc289…ab37polymarket ↗last active 37m ago
All-time PnL
$1.19k
Win rate
44.0%
44 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$15.86
30d PnL
$7.71k
30d trades
71
30d wins
26
36.6%
30d volume
$290.7k
Category edge
Sports
43.7%
-6.3pp
n=87

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
41.8% (38 wins / 53 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 1 market — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 23-day series
$17.7k
-$6.52k
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavymid-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 95%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 95% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.98 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.45Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $4,131Mid-sized typical stake.
Sizing consistency: CV 0.76 (moderate)Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 45¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $4.13k · p90 $10.00k
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sun 18:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·37m ago·0xc289…ab37why? →
Yes on Will SS Lazio win on 2026-09-19?
9899.32 @ 0.431
BUY·37m ago·0xc289…ab37why? →
Yes on Will SS Lazio win on 2026-09-19?
10234.548432 @ 0.489
BUY·37m ago·0xc289…ab37why? →
Yes on Will SS Lazio win on 2026-09-19?
59 @ 0.468
BUY·37m ago·0xc289…ab37why? →
Yes on Will SS Lazio win on 2026-09-19?
2.380953 @ 0.420
BUY·7h agoageing·0xc289…ab37why? →
Yes on Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-19?
-$3.00k · 4918.032787 @ 0.610
BUY·7h agoageing·0xc289…ab37why? →
Yes on Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-09-19?
-$3.00k · 6707.757392 @ 0.447
BUY·1d agostale·0xc289…ab37why? →
Yes on Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-09-18?
-$3.00k · 5454.545455 @ 0.550
BUY·1d agostale·0xc289…ab37why? →
Yes on Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-09-18?
+$2.66k · 5660.377359 @ 0.530
BUY·1d agostale·0xc289…ab37why? →
Over on AC Monza vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5
+$4.01k · 9008.842679 @ 0.555
BUY·2d agostale·0xc289…ab37why? →
Yes on Will RU Saint-Gilloise win on 2026-09-17?
+$4.69k · 7692.307693 @ 0.390
BUY·2d agostale·0xc289…ab37why? →
Yes on Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-09-17?
-$3.00k · 14285.714286 @ 0.210
BUY·2d agostale·0xc289…ab37why? →
Yes on Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-17?
+$3.52k · 6521.739131 @ 0.460
BUY·3d agostale·0xc289…ab37why? →
Yes on Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-16?
-$3.00k · 14285.714286 @ 0.210
BUY·3d agostale·0xc289…ab37why? →
No on Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-09-16?
-$5.00k · 10416.666667 @ 0.480
BUY·3d agostale·0xc289…ab37why? →
Over on Ararat-Armenia FA vs. AC Sparta Praha: O/U 2.5
+$2.16k · 5156.635253 @ 0.582
BUY·3d agostale·0xc289…ab37why? →
Yes on Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-09-16?
+$1.55k · 4545.454544 @ 0.660
BUY·3d agostale·0xc289…ab37why? →
Yes on Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-16?
-$3.00k · 5555.555556 @ 0.540
BUY·3d agostale·0xc289…ab37why? →
Yes on Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-09-16?
-$3.00k · 5694.657736 @ 0.527
BUY·4d agostale·0xc289…ab37why? →
Yes on Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on September 15?
-$300.00 · 3296.703297 @ 0.091
BUY·4d agostale·0xc289…ab37why? →
Yes on Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 on September 15?
-$47.27 · 537 @ 0.088
BUY·4d agostale·0xc289…ab37why? →
Yes on Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
2640.789474 @ 0.189
BUY·5d agostale·0xc289…ab37why? →
Yes on Will Sporting CP win on 2026-09-13?
-$2.00k · 5000 @ 0.400
BUY·6d agostale·0xc289…ab37why? →
Yes on Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-13?
+$2.50k · 12500 @ 0.800
BUY·6d agostale·0xc289…ab37why? →
Paris Saint-Germain FC on Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)
-$2.00k · 3278.688525 @ 0.610
BUY·6d agostale·0xc289…ab37why? →
Yes on Will Juventus FC win on 2026-09-13?
-$3.00k · 5172.413792 @ 0.580
BUY·6d agostale·0xc289…ab37why? →
Over on SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 1.5
-$2.00k · 4057.76 @ 0.493
BUY·6d agostale·0xc289…ab37why? →
Over on SSC Napoli vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 2.5
9971.063726 @ 0.501
BUY·6d agostale·0xc289…ab37why? →
Yes on Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-09-13?
9259.25926 @ 0.540
BUY·7d agostale·0xc289…ab37why? →
Over on SS Lazio vs. AC Milan: O/U 4.5
-$5.00k · 11026.901187 @ 0.453
BUY·7d agostale·0xc289…ab37why? →
Over on SS Lazio vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5
+$3.70k · 11609.43 @ 0.681
BUY·7d agostale·0xc289…ab37why? →
No on Will SS Lazio win on 2026-09-12?
+$6.66k · 14032.84 @ 0.526
BUY·7d agostale·0xc289…ab37why? →
Over on SS Lazio vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5
+$4.29k · 14285.714286 @ 0.700
BUY·7d agostale·0xc289…ab37why? →
Yes on Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-12?
-$10.0k · 21739.130435 @ 0.460
BUY·8d agostale·0xc289…ab37why? →
Yes on Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on September 11?
-$173.00 · 924.31579 @ 0.187
BUY·8d agostale·0xc289…ab37why? →
Over on SK Slavia Praha vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 2.5
+$3.44k · 6940.45 @ 0.504
BUY·9d agostale·0xc289…ab37why? →
Yes on Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-09-10?
+$2.77k · 4990.5 @ 0.445
BUY·9d agostale·0xc289…ab37why? →
Over on SK Slavia Praha vs. Racing Club de Lens: O/U 1.5
+$4.87k · 9866.452942 @ 0.507
BUY·9d agostale·0xc289…ab37why? →
Over on SK Slavia Praha vs. Racing Club de Lens: 1st Half O/U 0.5
-$4.00k · 8111.725097 @ 0.493
BUY·9d agostale·0xc289…ab37why? →
Over on Fenerbahçe SK vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5
-$5.00k · 10366.251837 @ 0.482
BUY·9d agostale·0xc289…ab37why? →
Yes on Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-09-10?
+$8.16k · 13157.894737 @ 0.380
BUY·9d agostale·0xc289…ab37why? →
Yes on Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-10?
+$3.77k · 8771.929825 @ 0.570
BUY·9d agostale·0xc289…ab37why? →
Yes on Will AS Roma win on 2026-09-10?
-$5.00k · 9803.921569 @ 0.510
BUY·10d agostale·0xc289…ab37why? →
Over on SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5
+$2.94k · 7938.095237 @ 0.630
BUY·10d agostale·0xc289…ab37why? →
Yes on Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-09?
+$3.93k · 8928.571429 @ 0.560
BUY·10d agostale·0xc289…ab37why? →
Over on SSC Napoli vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5
-$5.00k · 10053.9454 @ 0.497
BUY·10d agostale·0xc289…ab37why? →
Under on FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 4.5
-$2.00k · 4081.632654 @ 0.490
BUY·10d agostale·0xc289…ab37why? →
Over on Real Madrid CF vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 3.5
-$1.62k · 3919.69 @ 0.414
BUY·11d agostale·0xc289…ab37why? →
Yes on Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-08?
+$4.38k · 9377.887593 @ 0.533
BUY·11d agostale·0xc289…ab37why? →
Yes on Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-09-08?
+$3.77k · 8771.929825 @ 0.570
BUY·11d agostale·0xc289…ab37why? →
Yes on Will Lille OSC win on 2026-09-08?
-$5.00k · 11111.111112 @ 0.450
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.