Yes on Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
— 1470.58 @ 0.980
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TR
trulyalya1
All-time PnL
$11.3k
Win rate
60.0%
60 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$219.23
30d PnL
-$2.59k
30d trades
64
30d wins
13
20.3%
30d volume
$106.8k
Category edge
Crypto
40.4%
+1.2pp
n=89
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
40.4% (36 wins / 53 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 33 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 49-day series
$15.3k
$0.00
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialisttwo-sidedmid-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 90%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 90% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.34 (two-sided) — Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.65 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $1,377 — Mid-sized typical stake.
Sizing consistency: CV 1.10 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 65¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $1.38k · p90 $2.89k
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Sun 16:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
Yes on Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?
— 2380.952381 @ 0.840
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down on September 21?
— 2781.777778 @ 0.539
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20?
— -$750.00 · 1474.607844 @ 0.509
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down on September 19?
— -$1.46 · 1461.71 @ 0.999
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down on September 19?
— +$711.71 · 1461.711539 @ 0.513
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18?
— -$2.83 · 2830.18 @ 0.999
Yes on Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 3702.02 @ 0.206
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down on September 18?
— +$1.33k · 2830.18868 @ 0.530
Yes on Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
— 1470.588234 @ 0.680
Yes on Will Elif Eralp be the next Governing Mayor of Berlin?
— 1697.967834 @ 0.589
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17?
— -$750.00 · 1415.09434 @ 0.530
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16?
— -$5.60 · 5600.87 @ 0.999
Yes on Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 1505 @ 0.023
Yes on Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 1505.00079 @ 0.033
Yes on Will New People (NL) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 3702.02 @ 0.216
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 13146.05 @ 0.750
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 13146.052629 @ 0.760
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16?
— +$18.46 · 38.461539 @ 0.520
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16?
— +$2.73k · 5562.411765 @ 0.510
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down on September 15?
— -$1.50k · 2884.615385 @ 0.520
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down on September 14?
— -$750.00 · 1442.307693 @ 0.520
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down on September 13?
— -$5.54 · 5538.43 @ 0.999
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down on September 13?
— +$17.44 · 36.43868 @ 0.521
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down on September 13?
— +$2.61k · 5501.997925 @ 0.526
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down on September 12?
— -$1.50k · 2836.603774 @ 0.529
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down on September 11?
— -$750.00 · 1500 @ 0.500
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down on September 10?
— -$1.50 · 1500 @ 0.999
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down on September 9?
— -$1.50 · 1495.65 @ 0.999
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down on September 10?
— +$750.00 · 1500 @ 0.500
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down on September 9?
— +$745.65 · 1495.65 @ 0.501
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8?
— -$1.54 · 1536.66 @ 0.999
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8?
— +$59.57 · 121.568626 @ 0.510
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down on September 8?
— +$665.09 · 1415.094338 @ 0.530
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down on September 7?
— -$2.73 · 2725.84 @ 0.999
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down on September 7?
— +$1.28k · 2725.84698 @ 0.529
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down on September 6?
— -$5.00 · 9.433961 @ 0.530
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down on September 6?
— -$720.35 · 1359.150942 @ 0.530
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down on September 5?
— -$27.64 · 131.619046 @ 0.210
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down on September 5?
— -$2.93k · 5648.371922 @ 0.519
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down on September 4?
— -$1.40k · 3333.333332 @ 0.420
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down on September 3?
— -$750.00 · 1442.307691 @ 0.520
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2?
— -$1.39 · 1392.43 @ 0.999
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down on September 2?
— +$642.44 · 1392.439665 @ 0.539
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down on September 1?
— -$5.59 · 5593.85 @ 0.999
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down on September 1?
— +$19.77 · 40.35294 @ 0.510
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down on September 1?
— +$2.67k · 5553.5 @ 0.520
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down on August 31?
— -$1.48k · 2746.48296 @ 0.539
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down on August 30?
— -$10.00 · 14.285713 @ 0.700
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down on August 30?
— -$750.00 · 1389.198832 @ 0.540
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.