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MarkLi10-1000

0xbde7…faf3polymarket ↗last active 10m ago
All-time PnL
$247.04
Win rate
88.2%
88 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$4.84
30d PnL
$247.04
30d trades
100
30d wins
45
45.0%
30d volume
$6.25k
Category edge
Crypto
58.0%
-16.5pp
n=100

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
58.0% (58 wins / 42 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 33 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 5-day series
$246.68
-$66.63
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.32 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.90Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $43Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.78 (moderate)Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 90¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $42.69 · p90 $117.68
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sat 02:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
SELL·10m ago·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
-$1.03 · 103.09 @ 0.990
BUY·11m ago·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
+$3.09 · 103.092766 @ 0.970
SELL·1h ago·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
-$1.15 · 114.53 @ 0.990
BUY·1h ago·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
+$14.53 · 114.532127 @ 0.873
SELL·1h ago·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
-$2.32 · 232.37 @ 0.990
BUY·1h ago·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
+$4.17 · 104.16665 @ 0.960
BUY·1h ago·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
+$28.21 · 128.205127 @ 0.780
SELL·1h ago·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
-$1.37 · 136.87 @ 0.990
BUY·1h ago·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
+$6.38 · 106.382966 @ 0.940
BUY·1h ago·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
+$5.49 · 30.4878 @ 0.820
SELL·1h ago·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
-$1.19 · 118.87 @ 0.990
BUY·1h ago·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
+$18.91 · 118.87 @ 0.841
SELL·1h ago·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
-$1.22 · 122.32 @ 0.990
BUY·1h ago·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
+$22.33 · 122.329152 @ 0.817
SELL·1h ago·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
-$2.10 · 209.72 @ 0.990
BUY·1h ago·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
+$4.17 · 104.16665 @ 0.960
BUY·1h ago·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
+$5.56 · 105.55652 @ 0.947
SELL·1h ago·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
-$1.62 · 161.82 @ 0.990
BUY·1h ago·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET
+$61.82 · 161.820321 @ 0.618
SELL·13h agoageing·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
-$1.05 · 105.26 @ 0.990
BUY·13h agoageing·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET
+$5.26 · 105.26314 @ 0.950
SELL·13h agoageing·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
-$1.05 · 105.26 @ 0.990
BUY·13h agoageing·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET
+$5.26 · 105.26314 @ 0.950
SELL·13h agoageing·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
-$1.01 · 101.01 @ 0.990
BUY·13h agoageing·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET
+$1.01 · 101.0101 @ 0.990
SELL·14h agoageing·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
-$1.05 · 105.26 @ 0.990
BUY·14h agoageing·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
+$5.26 · 105.26314 @ 0.950
SELL·14h agoageing·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
-$1.10 · 110.4 @ 0.990
BUY·14h agoageing·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET
+$10.41 · 110.406922 @ 0.906
SELL·14h agoageing·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
-$0.93 · 46.47 @ 0.980
BUY·14h agoageing·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
+$6.64 · 46.47 @ 0.857
SELL·14h agoageing·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
-$1.23 · 122.73 @ 0.990
BUY·14h agoageing·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET
+$22.74 · 122.738166 @ 0.815
BUY·15h agoageing·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET
+$12.36 · 112.359549 @ 0.890
SELL·15h agoageing·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
-$1.22 · 122.43 @ 0.990
BUY·15h agoageing·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
+$22.44 · 122.436827 @ 0.817
SELL·15h agoageing·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
-$1.28 · 127.82 @ 0.990
BUY·15h agoageing·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
+$27.83 · 127.82825 @ 0.782
SELL·15h agoageing·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
-$1.07 · 106.62 @ 0.990
BUY·15h agoageing·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
+$6.63 · 106.627866 @ 0.938
SELL·15h agoageing·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
-$1.24 · 123.52 @ 0.990
BUY·15h agoageing·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
+$15.71 · 115.712638 @ 0.864
BUY·15h agoageing·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
+$2.81 · 7.8125 @ 0.640
SELL·15h agoageing·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
-$1.11 · 110.91 @ 0.990
BUY·15h agoageing·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET
+$10.91 · 110.912712 @ 0.902
SELL·17h agoageing·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
-$0.67 · 66.66 @ 0.990
BUY·17h agoageing·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
+$8.33 · 33.333332 @ 0.750
BUY·17h agoageing·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
+$8.33 · 33.333332 @ 0.750
SELL·19h agoageing·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
-$1.24 · 123.54 @ 0.990
BUY·19h agoageing·0xbde7…faf3why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
+$23.54 · 123.542922 @ 0.809
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.