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JA

Jacobbaum

0xbdc2…b720polymarket ↗last active 9m ago
All-time PnL
$1.21k
Win rate
42.4%
42 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$12.26
30d PnL
$1.21k
30d trades
100
30d wins
42
42.0%
30d volume
$26.6k
Category edge
Sports
11.8%
-46.4pp
n=17
Crypto
48.8%
-14.2pp
n=82

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
42.4% (42 wins / 57 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 28 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 1-day series
Not enough data to chart yet.
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 83%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 83% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.30 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.51Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $250Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.85 (moderate)Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 51¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $250.00 · p90 $523.34
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sun 06:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·9m ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
1072.90375 @ 0.373
BUY·11m ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
+$213.57 · 613.569694 @ 0.652
SELL·12m ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
+$276.61 · 1009.48 @ 0.274
BUY·14m ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
-$400.00 · 1009.481706 @ 0.396
SELL·18m ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
-$43.24 · 540.52 @ 0.920
BUY·19m ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
+$290.53 · 540.528509 @ 0.463
SELL·19m ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
+$120.57 · 1507.07 @ 0.080
BUY·22m ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
+$100.13 · 350.130692 @ 0.714
BUY·22m ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
-$266.86 · 836.47 @ 0.319
BUY·22m ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
-$233.14 · 670.600276 @ 0.348
SELL·28m ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
-$278.69 · 1055.39 @ 0.736
BUY·29m ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
+$555.39 · 1055.392652 @ 0.474
SELL·31m ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
-$443.89 · 1134.78 @ 0.609
BUY·33m ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
+$634.79 · 1134.78739 @ 0.441
BUY·35m ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
+$125.34 · 625.336461 @ 0.800
SELL·37m ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
-$40.31 · 103.37 @ 0.610
SELL·37m ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
-$299.62 · 840.54 @ 0.644
SELL·38m ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
-$7.93 · 793.25 @ 0.990
BUY·39m ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
+$459.80 · 943.91611 @ 0.513
SELL·39m ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
+$18.95 · 631.8 @ 0.030
BUY·42m ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
+$293.50 · 793.25 @ 0.630
BUY·42m ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
-$250.00 · 694.444443 @ 0.360
SELL·45m ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
+$8.64 · 864.24 @ 0.010
BUY·47m ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
-$250.00 · 864.240966 @ 0.289
SELL·49m ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
-$11.46 · 1145.72 @ 0.990
BUY·53m ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
+$645.73 · 1145.726665 @ 0.436
SELL·54m ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
-$5.56 · 556.03 @ 0.990
BUY·54m ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
+$306.03 · 556.029554 @ 0.450
SELL·54m ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
+$168.26 · 303.36 @ 0.555
SELL·55m ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
-$306.66 · 666.66 @ 0.540
BUY·56m ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
-$149.74 · 303.36 @ 0.494
BUY·59m ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET
+$366.67 · 666.666665 @ 0.450
BUY·1h ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET
-$300.00 · 693.274443 @ 0.433
BUY·1h ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
+$51.37 · 308.96 @ 0.834
SELL·1h ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
+$392.38 · 555.55 @ 0.706
BUY·1h ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
-$250.00 · 555.555554 @ 0.450
BUY·1h ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
-$500.00 · 992.698268 @ 0.504
SELL·1h ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
+$163.37 · 869.69 @ 0.188
BUY·1h ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
-$400.00 · 869.691913 @ 0.460
BUY·1h ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
+$229.07 · 629.066561 @ 0.636
SELL·1h ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
+$412.35 · 944.6 @ 0.437
BUY·1h ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
-$400.00 · 944.60651 @ 0.423
SELL·1h ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
+$27.96 · 816.1 @ 0.034
SELL·1h ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
-$3.61 · 361.09 @ 0.990
BUY·1h ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
-$399.99 · 816.1 @ 0.490
BUY·1h ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
+$111.10 · 361.09957 @ 0.692
SELL·1h ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
+$156.84 · 487.93 @ 0.321
BUY·1h ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
-$400.00 · 869.565216 @ 0.460
SELL·1h ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
-$136.89 · 908.85 @ 0.849
BUY·1h ago·0xbdc2…b720why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
+$509.09 · 909.090908 @ 0.440
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.