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Mecanics

0xbc76…23acpolymarket ↗last active 19m ago
All-time PnL
-$125.42
Win rate
70.8%
63 of 89
Total trades
89
Avg PnL / trade
$3.05
30d PnL
$73.28
30d trades
89
30d wins
17
19.1%
30d volume
$2.15k
Category edge
Crypto
77.8%
+18.3pp
n=81
Sports
40.0%
-14.6pp
n=5

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
75.6% (65 wins / 21 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 10 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 2-day series
$73.28
$0.00
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 92%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 89 trades
Category focus: Crypto 92% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.78 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.69Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $1Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 2.11 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 69¢ · 89 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $1.00 · p90 $100.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sat 01:00 · 89 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·19m ago·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
153.407726 @ 0.652
BUY·26m ago·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
-$25.00 · 31.645566 @ 0.790
SELL·30m ago·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
-$0.13 · 133.33 @ 0.999
BUY·34m ago·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
+$33.33 · 133.333332 @ 0.750
BUY·44m ago·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
+$0.35 · 1.35135 @ 0.740
BUY·44m ago·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
+$0.35 · 1.35135 @ 0.740
BUY·44m ago·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
+$0.37 · 1.369862 @ 0.730
BUY·44m ago·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
+$0.35 · 1.35135 @ 0.740
BUY·44m ago·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
+$0.35 · 1.35135 @ 0.740
BUY·44m ago·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
+$0.39 · 1.388889 @ 0.720
BUY·44m ago·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
+$0.41 · 1.408451 @ 0.710
BUY·44m ago·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
+$0.41 · 1.408451 @ 0.710
BUY·44m ago·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
+$0.41 · 1.408451 @ 0.710
BUY·44m ago·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
+$0.41 · 1.408451 @ 0.710
BUY·44m ago·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
+$0.39 · 1.388889 @ 0.720
BUY·44m ago·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
+$0.41 · 1.408451 @ 0.710
BUY·44m ago·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
+$0.41 · 1.408451 @ 0.710
BUY·44m ago·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
+$0.41 · 1.408451 @ 0.710
BUY·44m ago·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
+$0.41 · 1.408451 @ 0.710
BUY·44m ago·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
+$0.35 · 1.351352 @ 0.740
BUY·44m ago·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
+$8.78 · 33.783784 @ 0.740
BUY·44m ago·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
+$0.37 · 1.369862 @ 0.730
BUY·44m ago·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
+$0.37 · 1.369862 @ 0.730
BUY·44m ago·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
+$0.35 · 1.351352 @ 0.740
BUY·44m ago·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
+$7.89 · 32.894737 @ 0.760
BUY·44m ago·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
+$0.32 · 1.315787 @ 0.760
BUY·44m ago·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
+$0.32 · 1.315787 @ 0.760
SELL·45m ago·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Yes on Will Club Puebla win on 2026-09-18?
744.03 @ 0.110
BUY·53m ago·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Yes on Will Club Puebla win on 2026-09-18?
744.039474 @ 0.377
SELL·57m ago·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
+$3.07 · 43.85 @ 0.070
BUY·59m ago·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
-$25.00 · 43.859648 @ 0.570
BUY·1h ago·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
-$1.00 · 1.449274 @ 0.690
BUY·1h ago·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
-$1.00 · 1.449274 @ 0.690
BUY·1h ago·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
-$1.00 · 1.449274 @ 0.690
BUY·1h ago·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
-$1.00 · 1.449274 @ 0.690
BUY·1h ago·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
-$1.00 · 1.449274 @ 0.690
BUY·1h ago·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
+$33.33 · 133.333332 @ 0.750
BUY·1h ago·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET
+$33.33 · 133.333332 @ 0.750
SELL·1h ago·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Nadia Podoroska on Sao Paulo Open: Nadia Podoroska vs Suzan Lamens
-$0.25 · 254.54 @ 0.999
BUY·2h agoageing·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Nadia Podoroska on Sao Paulo Open: Nadia Podoroska vs Suzan Lamens
+$114.55 · 254.545455 @ 0.550
SELL·2h agoageing·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
+$1.39 · 69.44 @ 0.020
BUY·2h agoageing·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
-$25.00 · 69.444445 @ 0.360
SELL·3h agoageing·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
-$3.52 · 19.58 @ 0.820
BUY·3h agoageing·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
+$0.30 · 1.2987 @ 0.770
BUY·3h agoageing·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
+$0.35 · 1.35135 @ 0.740
BUY·3h agoageing·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
+$0.30 · 1.2987 @ 0.770
BUY·3h agoageing·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
+$0.30 · 1.2987 @ 0.770
BUY·3h agoageing·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
+$0.30 · 1.2987 @ 0.770
BUY·3h agoageing·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
+$0.30 · 1.2987 @ 0.770
BUY·3h agoageing·0xbc76…23acwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
+$0.30 · 1.2987 @ 0.770
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.