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SA

Saber-greed

0xbc56…8f28polymarket ↗last active 19m ago
All-time PnL
-$3.00k
Win rate
42.4%
42 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$90.97
30d PnL
-$3.00k
30d trades
100
30d wins
14
14.0%
30d volume
$25.1k
Category edge
Sports
43.1%
-3.4pp
n=51

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
43.1% (22 wins / 29 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 2 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 2-day series
$519.89
-$4.43k
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.94 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.55Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $120Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.05 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 55¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $119.51 · p90 $672.76
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sat 12:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·19m ago·0xbc56…8f28why? →
Under on Marshall vs. Missouri State: O/U 53.5
849.05 @ 0.530
BUY·20m ago·0xbc56…8f28why? →
Florida International on Spread: Florida Atlantic (-6.5)
1442.3 @ 0.520
BUY·21m ago·0xbc56…8f28why? →
No on Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20?
465.72 @ 0.520
BUY·22m ago·0xbc56…8f28why? →
No on Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20?
645.19 @ 0.520
BUY·22m ago·0xbc56…8f28why? →
No on Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20?
524.61 @ 0.520
BUY·24m ago·0xbc56…8f28why? →
No on Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20?
273.16 @ 0.510
BUY·24m ago·0xbc56…8f28why? →
No on Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20?
319.26 @ 0.510
BUY·25m ago·0xbc56…8f28why? →
Under on Athletic Club vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 0.5
92.85 @ 0.680
BUY·38m ago·0xbc56…8f28why? →
Under on Athletic Club vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 0.5
269.37 @ 0.440
BUY·57m ago·0xbc56…8f28why? →
No on Will Hapoel Jerusalem FC win on 2026-09-19?
84.31 @ 0.720
BUY·1h ago·0xbc56…8f28why? →
Yes on Will Sabah Masazir win on 2026-09-19?
61.14 @ 0.900
BUY·1h ago·0xbc56…8f28why? →
Over on Eintracht Frankfurt vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 5.5
-$61.00 · 145.23 @ 0.420
BUY·1h ago·0xbc56…8f28why? →
Under on Eintracht Frankfurt vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 5.5
+$58.63 · 114.96 @ 0.490
BUY·1h ago·0xbc56…8f28why? →
Under on Eintracht Frankfurt vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 5.5
+$181.46 · 355.8 @ 0.490
BUY·1h ago·0xbc56…8f28why? →
No on Will CA Boston River win on 2026-09-19?
207.41 @ 0.537
BUY·1h ago·0xbc56…8f28why? →
M80 on Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs M80 (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs
1201.35 @ 0.560
BUY·1h ago·0xbc56…8f28why? →
MOUZ on Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
-$100.00 · 172.41 @ 0.580
BUY·2h agoageing·0xbc56…8f28why? →
No on Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19?
243.9 @ 0.820
BUY·2h agoageing·0xbc56…8f28why? →
No on Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19?
370.37 @ 0.810
BUY·2h agoageing·0xbc56…8f28why? →
No on Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19?
864.19 @ 0.810
BUY·2h agoageing·0xbc56…8f28why? →
Under on Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5
-$248.86 · 641.02 @ 0.388
BUY·2h agoageing·0xbc56…8f28why? →
MOUZ on Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner
+$6.82 · 56.81 @ 0.880
BUY·2h agoageing·0xbc56…8f28why? →
Under on Hamburger SV vs. 1. FC Köln: O/U 2.5
-$81.91 · 148.92 @ 0.550
BUY·2h agoageing·0xbc56…8f28why? →
No on Will Lille OSC win on 2026-09-20?
998.63 @ 0.538
BUY·2h agoageing·0xbc56…8f28why? →
Sunderland AFC on Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
56.71 @ 0.510
BUY·2h agoageing·0xbc56…8f28why? →
No on Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-09-19?
+$224.64 · 724.63 @ 0.690
BUY·2h agoageing·0xbc56…8f28why? →
No on Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20?
762.44 @ 0.250
BUY·2h agoageing·0xbc56…8f28why? →
San Diego State on Spread: San Diego State (-1.5)
1320.75 @ 0.530
BUY·2h agoageing·0xbc56…8f28why? →
Yes on Will NK Varaždin win on 2026-09-19?
128.48 @ 0.510
BUY·2h agoageing·0xbc56…8f28why? →
Under on Athletic Club vs. Deportivo Alavés: O/U 2.5
1686.3 @ 0.510
BUY·3h agoageing·0xbc56…8f28why? →
Under on Udinese Calcio vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 2.5
+$44.72 · 154.22 @ 0.710
BUY·3h agoageing·0xbc56…8f28why? →
Ole Miss on LSU vs. Ole Miss
1744.18 @ 0.430
BUY·3h agoageing·0xbc56…8f28why? →
Ole Miss on Spread: LSU (-3.5)
1339.28 @ 0.560
BUY·3h agoageing·0xbc56…8f28why? →
Sunderland AFC on Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)
1503.22 @ 0.510
BUY·3h agoageing·0xbc56…8f28why? →
Yes on Will Hibernian FC win on 2026-09-19?
99.89 @ 0.540
BUY·3h agoageing·0xbc56…8f28why? →
Under on Virginia Tech vs. Maryland: O/U 53.5
849.05 @ 0.530
BUY·3h agoageing·0xbc56…8f28why? →
Over on James Madison vs. San Diego State: O/U 46.5
286.39 @ 0.510
BUY·3h agoageing·0xbc56…8f28why? →
MOUZ on Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner
+$161.29 · 403.22 @ 0.600
BUY·3h agoageing·0xbc56…8f28why? →
Under on US Boulogne Côte d'Opale vs. FC Nantes: O/U 2.5
-$500.00 · 574.71 @ 0.870
BUY·3h agoageing·0xbc56…8f28why? →
Under on Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5
-$7.90 · 10 @ 0.790
BUY·3h agoageing·0xbc56…8f28why? →
Under on SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5
-$50.39 · 89.98 @ 0.560
BUY·3h agoageing·0xbc56…8f28why? →
Under on SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5
-$78.66 · 140.46 @ 0.560
BUY·3h agoageing·0xbc56…8f28why? →
Under on CA Osasuna vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5
+$58.33 · 135.64 @ 0.570
BUY·3h agoageing·0xbc56…8f28why? →
Under on CA Osasuna vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5
+$56.74 · 131.96 @ 0.570
BUY·3h agoageing·0xbc56…8f28why? →
Under on SV Werder Bremen vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 3.5
-$189.22 · 337.89 @ 0.560
BUY·3h agoageing·0xbc56…8f28why? →
Over on Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
218.84 @ 0.490
BUY·3h agoageing·0xbc56…8f28why? →
Over on Olympique Lyonnais vs. Stade Rennais FC 1901: O/U 10.5 Total Corners
437.68 @ 0.490
SELL·4h agoageing·0xbc56…8f28why? →
Over on Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5
-$2.59k · 3586.39 @ 0.276
SELL·4h agoageing·0xbc56…8f28why? →
Yes on Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-09-19?
+$1.41k · 3059.58 @ 0.460
BUY·4h agoageing·0xbc56…8f28why? →
Under on Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5
-$200.00 · 240.96 @ 0.830
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.