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TopPato

0xbbb4…0060polymarket ↗last active 21m ago
All-time PnL
-$1.43k
Win rate
41.3%
41 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$19.05
30d PnL
-$1.43k
30d trades
100
30d wins
31
31.0%
30d volume
$9.78k
Category edge
Sports
37.8%
-8.9pp
n=45

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
41.3% (31 wins / 44 misses)
Cumulative PnL · 4-day series
$0.00
-$1.43k
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 98%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 98% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +1.00 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.51Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $105Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.23 (consistent)Stakes are uniform — systematic, flat-sizing behaviour.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 51¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $105.00 · p90 $105.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Wed 12:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·21m ago·0xbbb4…0060why? →
JD Gaming on LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
218.75 @ 0.470
BUY·22m ago·0xbbb4…0060why? →
Luminosity on Counter-Strike: Luminosity vs BBL (BO3) - Logitech G Play Connect Playoffs
161.53 @ 0.650
BUY·32m ago·0xbbb4…0060why? →
FURIA on Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
250 @ 0.420
BUY·59m ago·0xbbb4…0060why? →
Under on Bowling Green vs. Iowa State: O/U 43.5
214.28 @ 0.490
BUY·1h ago·0xbbb4…0060why? →
Houston on Spread: Texas Tech (-7.5)
210 @ 0.500
BUY·1h ago·0xbbb4…0060why? →
MIBR on Counter-Strike: MIBR vs NRG (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
169.35 @ 0.620
BUY·2h agoageing·0xbbb4…0060why? →
JD Gaming on LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
238.63 @ 0.440
BUY·2h agoageing·0xbbb4…0060why? →
JD Gaming on LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
214.28 @ 0.490
BUY·2h agoageing·0xbbb4…0060why? →
Over on Toronto Blue Jays vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 7.5
214.28 @ 0.480
BUY·5h agoageing·0xbbb4…0060why? →
Over on Chicago Cubs vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5
256.08 @ 0.410
BUY·6h agoageing·0xbbb4…0060why? →
Under on FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 4.5
-$105.00 · 269.23 @ 0.390
BUY·6h agoageing·0xbbb4…0060why? →
Turma do Pagode on Map Handicap: SHIN (-1.5) vs Turma do Pagode (+1.5)
184.21 @ 0.570
BUY·7h agoageing·0xbbb4…0060why? →
No on Will Club Independiente Petrolero win on 2026-09-18?
26.5 @ 0.460
BUY·8h agoageing·0xbbb4…0060why? →
Under on Toulouse FC vs. Le Havre AC: O/U 2.5
238.63 @ 0.438
BUY·8h agoageing·0xbbb4…0060why? →
Under on Kansas City Royals vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5
198.11 @ 0.530
BUY·8h agoageing·0xbbb4…0060why? →
BESTIA on Counter-Strike: Imperial vs BESTIA (BO3) - Circuit X Curitiba Playoffs
338.7 @ 0.310
BUY·8h agoageing·0xbbb4…0060why? →
Under on Bristol City FC vs. Watford FC: O/U 2.5
+$2.75 · 5 @ 0.450
BUY·9h agoageing·0xbbb4…0060why? →
Over on Eintracht Frankfurt vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 3.5
59 @ 0.450
BUY·9h agoageing·0xbbb4…0060why? →
Under on New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 9.5
161.53 @ 0.650
BUY·9h agoageing·0xbbb4…0060why? →
Athletics on Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)
201.92 @ 0.520
BUY·10h agoageing·0xbbb4…0060why? →
Over on New York Yankees vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 8.5
130.77 @ 0.450
BUY·10h agoageing·0xbbb4…0060why? →
Under on FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: FC Bayern München 1st Half O/U 1.5
-$3.80 · 10 @ 0.380
BUY·12h agoageing·0xbbb4…0060why? →
No on Will Bandirmaspor win on 2026-09-18?
+$113.75 · 218.75 @ 0.480
BUY·12h agoageing·0xbbb4…0060why? →
No on Will FC Adhyaksa Bekasi win on 2026-09-18?
+$147.50 · 250 @ 0.410
BUY·12h agoageing·0xbbb4…0060why? →
Under on FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 5.5
-$105.00 · 177.96 @ 0.590
BUY·12h agoageing·0xbbb4…0060why? →
No on Will Kasımpaşa SK vs. Konyaspor end in a draw?
-$105.00 · 150 @ 0.700
BUY·13h agoageing·0xbbb4…0060why? →
No on Will FC Irtysh Pavlodar win on 2026-09-18?
-$105.00 · 210 @ 0.500
BUY·14h agoageing·0xbbb4…0060why? →
Suzan Lamens on Sao Paulo Open: Nadia Podoroska vs Suzan Lamens
228.26 @ 0.456
BUY·14h agoageing·0xbbb4…0060why? →
Alina Charaeva on Sao Paulo Open: Anna Blinkova vs Alina Charaeva
-$104.50 · 269.23 @ 0.388
BUY·14h agoageing·0xbbb4…0060why? →
Movistar KOI on LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 1 Winner
-$105.00 · 177.96 @ 0.590
BUY·14h agoageing·0xbbb4…0060why? →
Infinite on Counter-Strike: Infinite vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B
-$104.99 · 256.08 @ 0.410
BUY·14h agoageing·0xbbb4…0060why? →
Natus Vincere on Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)
-$105.00 · 194.44 @ 0.540
BUY·15h agoageing·0xbbb4…0060why? →
1. FC Union Berlin on Spread: FC Bayern München (-3.5)
-$105.00 · 218.75 @ 0.480
BUY·15h agoageing·0xbbb4…0060why? →
No on Will RKC Waalwijk win on 2026-09-18?
-$105.00 · 238.63 @ 0.440
BUY·19h agoageing·0xbbb4…0060why? →
No on Will Lyngby BK win on 2026-09-18?
+$100.88 · 205.88 @ 0.510
BUY·19h agoageing·0xbbb4…0060why? →
Under on SS Juve Stabia vs. Cesena FC: O/U 2.5
+$96.92 · 201.92 @ 0.520
BUY·20h agoageing·0xbbb4…0060why? →
Aurora Gaming on Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)
+$118.40 · 223.4 @ 0.470
BUY·20h agoageing·0xbbb4…0060why? →
magic on Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
-$105.00 · 338.7 @ 0.310
BUY·20h agoageing·0xbbb4…0060why? →
magic on Map Handicap: MIBR (-1.5) vs magic (+1.5)
+$76.03 · 181.03 @ 0.580
BUY·21h agoageing·0xbbb4…0060why? →
Texans on Bengals vs. Texans
181.03 @ 0.580
BUY·1d agostale·0xbbb4…0060why? →
Under on Montevideo City Torque vs. CS Cienciano: O/U 2.5
-$49.20 · 109.34 @ 0.450
BUY·1d agostale·0xbbb4…0060why? →
BBL on Counter-Strike: BBL vs Infinite (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B
+$85.91 · 190.9 @ 0.550
BUY·1d agostale·0xbbb4…0060why? →
3DMAX on Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX (BO1) - Logitech G Play Connect Group B
-$105.00 · 223.4 @ 0.470
BUY·1d agostale·0xbbb4…0060why? →
JD Gaming on LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
+$64.35 · 169.35 @ 0.620
BUY·1d agostale·0xbbb4…0060why? →
Under on Games Total: O/U 3.5
-$101.82 · 318.18 @ 0.320
BUY·1d agostale·0xbbb4…0060why? →
JD Gaming on Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)
+$139.18 · 244.18 @ 0.430
BUY·1d agostale·0xbbb4…0060why? →
NYG on Spread: LA (-9.5)
50 @ 0.540
BUY·1d agostale·0xbbb4…0060why? →
Kansas City Royals on Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros
-$105.00 · 254.85 @ 0.412
BUY·1d agostale·0xbbb4…0060why? →
Pittsburgh on Spread: Pittsburgh (-10.5)
+$105.00 · 210 @ 0.500
BUY·1d agostale·0xbbb4…0060why? →
Yes on Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-20?
210 @ 0.500
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.