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Makila10

0xb964…033epolymarket ↗last active 21m ago
All-time PnL
-$299.70
Win rate
60.0%
60 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$12.55
30d PnL
-$313.87
30d trades
100
30d wins
15
15.0%
30d volume
$8.38k
Category edge
Sports
52.3%
-2.6pp
n=65

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
52.3% (34 wins / 31 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 17 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 4-day series
$0.00
-$641.55
Trading pattern
Sports Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBalanced · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: -0.14 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.57Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $34Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.30 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 57¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $34.07 · p90 $237.11
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Wed 17:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
SELL·21m ago·0xb964…033ewhy? →
Yes on Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-20?
25.63 @ 0.580
SELL·24m ago·0xb964…033ewhy? →
No on Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-09-20?
152.4 @ 0.680
BUY·25m ago·0xb964…033ewhy? →
No on Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-09-20?
500 @ 0.600
SELL·27m ago·0xb964…033ewhy? →
Over on Inter Miami CF vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5
90.39 @ 0.580
SELL·27m ago·0xb964…033ewhy? →
Over on Inter Miami CF vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5
350 @ 0.590
SELL·28m ago·0xb964…033ewhy? →
Over on Inter Miami CF vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5
95.31 @ 0.600
SELL·28m ago·0xb964…033ewhy? →
Over on Inter Miami CF vs. San Diego FC: O/U 4.5
145.15 @ 0.300
SELL·28m ago·0xb964…033ewhy? →
Over on Inter Miami CF vs. San Diego FC: O/U 4.5
156.23 @ 0.310
SELL·35m ago·0xb964…033ewhy? →
Over on Bay FC vs. Racing Louisville FC: O/U 2.5
79.91 @ 0.620
SELL·37m ago·0xb964…033ewhy? →
Over on Bay FC vs. Racing Louisville FC: O/U 2.5
5 @ 0.690
BUY·39m ago·0xb964…033ewhy? →
Over on Bay FC vs. Racing Louisville FC: O/U 2.5
84.91 @ 0.690
SELL·39m ago·0xb964…033ewhy? →
No on Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-09-20?
81.05 @ 0.660
BUY·45m ago·0xb964…033ewhy? →
Yes on Will Bay FC win on 2026-09-20?
5 @ 0.750
BUY·46m ago·0xb964…033ewhy? →
Yes on Will Bay FC win on 2026-09-20?
5 @ 0.710
SELL·1h ago·0xb964…033ewhy? →
Over on Inter Miami CF vs. San Diego FC: O/U 4.5
115.16 @ 0.590
SELL·1h ago·0xb964…033ewhy? →
Over on Inter Miami CF vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5
68.22 @ 0.820
SELL·1h ago·0xb964…033ewhy? →
Over on Inter Miami CF vs. San Diego FC: O/U 5.5
93.37 @ 0.370
BUY·1h ago·0xb964…033ewhy? →
No on Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-20?
298.5 @ 0.325
BUY·1h ago·0xb964…033ewhy? →
Over on Inter Miami CF vs. San Diego FC: O/U 3.5
20 @ 0.800
SELL·1h ago·0xb964…033ewhy? →
No on Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-20?
66.14 @ 0.480
SELL·1h ago·0xb964…033ewhy? →
Over on Inter Miami CF vs. San Diego FC: O/U 4.5
209.95 @ 0.490
SELL·1h ago·0xb964…033ewhy? →
Over on Inter Miami CF vs. San Diego FC: O/U 4.5
100 @ 0.500
BUY·1h ago·0xb964…033ewhy? →
No on Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-09-20?
277.01 @ 0.450
SELL·2h agoageing·0xb964…033ewhy? →
Over on Indy Eleven vs. Oakland Roots SC: O/U 2.5
12 @ 0.310
BUY·2h agoageing·0xb964…033ewhy? →
Under on Indy Eleven vs. Oakland Roots SC: O/U 0.5
68.69 @ 0.140
SELL·2h agoageing·0xb964…033ewhy? →
Yes on Will Washington Spirit win on 2026-09-20?
131.46 @ 0.940
SELL·2h agoageing·0xb964…033ewhy? →
Yes on Will Washington Spirit win on 2026-09-20?
285 @ 0.940
SELL·3h agoageing·0xb964…033ewhy? →
No on Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-09-20?
+$16.47 · 411.65 @ 0.040
BUY·3h agoageing·0xb964…033ewhy? →
Yes on Will CA Newell's Old Boys win on 2026-09-20?
+$0.40 · 5 @ 0.920
SELL·3h agoageing·0xb964…033ewhy? →
Yes on Will Washington Spirit win on 2026-09-20?
284.5 @ 0.940
SELL·3h agoageing·0xb964…033ewhy? →
Yes on Will Washington Spirit win on 2026-09-20?
10 @ 0.950
BUY·3h agoageing·0xb964…033ewhy? →
Yes on Will Washington Spirit win on 2026-09-20?
160 @ 0.910
BUY·3h agoageing·0xb964…033ewhy? →
Yes on Will Washington Spirit win on 2026-09-20?
11 @ 0.875
BUY·3h agoageing·0xb964…033ewhy? →
Yes on Will Washington Spirit win on 2026-09-20?
5 @ 0.860
SELL·3h agoageing·0xb964…033ewhy? →
Yes on Will Washington Spirit win on 2026-09-20?
307 @ 0.870
BUY·3h agoageing·0xb964…033ewhy? →
Yes on Will Washington Spirit win on 2026-09-20?
32 @ 0.840
BUY·3h agoageing·0xb964…033ewhy? →
Yes on Will Washington Spirit win on 2026-09-20?
21 @ 0.870
SELL·4h agoageing·0xb964…033ewhy? →
Under on FC Porto vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 4.5
-$11.24 · 16.77 @ 0.330
SELL·4h agoageing·0xb964…033ewhy? →
Over on FC Porto vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5
-$5.61 · 21.56 @ 0.740
SELL·4h agoageing·0xb964…033ewhy? →
Under on Valencia CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5
+$6.80 · 10 @ 0.680
BUY·4h agoageing·0xb964…033ewhy? →
Under on Valencia CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 4.5
-$10.30 · 11.98 @ 0.860
BUY·4h agoageing·0xb964…033ewhy? →
Under on Valencia CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5
-$85.49 · 280.73 @ 0.305
BUY·4h agoageing·0xb964…033ewhy? →
Under on Valencia CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5
-$6.14 · 20.24 @ 0.304
BUY·4h agoageing·0xb964…033ewhy? →
No on Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-09-20?
-$185.10 · 225.73 @ 0.820
SELL·4h agoageing·0xb964…033ewhy? →
Yes on Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?
-$8.33 · 208.33 @ 0.960
BUY·4h agoageing·0xb964…033ewhy? →
Yes on Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?
+$10.53 · 210.52 @ 0.950
SELL·4h agoageing·0xb964…033ewhy? →
Over on Valencia CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5
-$32.64 · 64 @ 0.490
SELL·4h agoageing·0xb964…033ewhy? →
No on Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-20?
+$12.63 · 210.52 @ 0.060
SELL·4h agoageing·0xb964…033ewhy? →
No on Will FC Porto win on 2026-09-20?
+$107.42 · 537.12 @ 0.200
BUY·4h agoageing·0xb964…033ewhy? →
No on Will FC Porto win on 2026-09-20?
-$57.89 · 263.15 @ 0.220
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.