Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
— +$2.47 · 82.4742 @ 0.970
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KA
Kaiji-ThePredictionMarketAnalyst
All-time PnL
-$82.66
Win rate
95.9%
96 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$0.84
30d PnL
-$82.66
30d trades
100
30d wins
94
94.0%
30d volume
$7.36k
Category edge
Crypto
95.0%
+23.0pp
n=100
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
95.0% (95 wins / 5 misses)Cumulative PnL · 2-day series
$47.78
-$82.66
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +1.00 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.96 — Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $80 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.24 (consistent) — Stakes are uniform — systematic, flat-sizing behaviour.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 96¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $80.00 · p90 $80.00
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Sun 00:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
— +$1.63 · 81.63265 @ 0.980
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
— +$2.47 · 82.4742 @ 0.970
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
— +$1.25 · 81.2463 @ 0.985
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET
— -$80.00 · 83.333325 @ 0.960
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
— +$2.61 · 32.597825 @ 0.920
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
— +$4.35 · 49.868475 @ 0.913
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
— -$80.00 · 82.4742 @ 0.970
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET
— +$2.47 · 82.4742 @ 0.970
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
— +$2.47 · 82.4742 @ 0.970
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
— +$2.47 · 82.4742 @ 0.970
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET
— +$1.78 · 44.458325 @ 0.960
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
— +$2.47 · 82.4742 @ 0.970
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET
— +$2.47 · 82.4742 @ 0.970
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET
— +$0.81 · 80.7979 @ 0.990
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET
— +$1.63 · 81.622449 @ 0.980
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
— +$0.81 · 80.7979 @ 0.990
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET
— +$1.63 · 81.63265 @ 0.980
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET
— +$1.63 · 81.63265 @ 0.980
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET
— +$3.33 · 83.333325 @ 0.960
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
— +$4.21 · 84.21052 @ 0.950
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET
— +$2.47 · 82.4742 @ 0.970
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET
— +$0.81 · 80.7979 @ 0.990
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET
— +$0.03 · 5 @ 0.995
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
— +$1.51 · 81.5053 @ 0.982
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET
— +$4.21 · 84.21052 @ 0.950
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
— +$2.47 · 82.4742 @ 0.970
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET
— +$0.81 · 80.7979 @ 0.990
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET
— +$0.81 · 80.7979 @ 0.990
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET
— +$1.63 · 81.63265 @ 0.980
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
— +$1.63 · 81.63265 @ 0.980
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
— -$24.70 · 52.708086 @ 0.469
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
— -$21.61 · 44.102041 @ 0.490
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
— +$4.21 · 84.21052 @ 0.950
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
— +$2.47 · 82.4742 @ 0.970
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
— +$1.63 · 81.63265 @ 0.980
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
— +$1.63 · 81.63265 @ 0.980
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET
— +$0.81 · 80.7979 @ 0.990
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET
— +$1.63 · 81.63265 @ 0.980
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
— +$2.47 · 82.474227 @ 0.970
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
— +$1.63 · 81.63265 @ 0.980
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
— +$1.63 · 81.63265 @ 0.980
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
— +$0.81 · 80.7979 @ 0.990
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
— +$4.21 · 84.21052 @ 0.950
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
— +$4.21 · 84.21052 @ 0.950
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
— +$4.21 · 84.210527 @ 0.950
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET
— +$2.47 · 82.4742 @ 0.970
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET
— +$2.47 · 82.4742 @ 0.970
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
— +$1.08 · 27 @ 0.960
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
— +$5.28 · 85.2842 @ 0.938
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.