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MU

mucus-man

0xb777…7a49polymarket ↗last active 18m ago
All-time PnL
-$9.48
Win rate
51.9%
52 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$0.41
30d PnL
-$22.09
30d trades
100
30d wins
28
28.0%
30d volume
$1.49k
Category edge
Crypto
38.8%
-11.1pp
n=98

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
38.8% (38 wins / 60 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 16 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 2-day series
$0.00
-$58.88
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.68 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.48Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $5Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.97 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 48¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $5.00 · p90 $30.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Fri 23:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
SELL·18m ago·0xb777…7a49why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
198.56 @ 0.610
BUY·21m ago·0xb777…7a49why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
198.563637 @ 0.546
SELL·21m ago·0xb777…7a49why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
+$23.42 · 68.88 @ 0.340
BUY·23m ago·0xb777…7a49why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
-$10.00 · 25 @ 0.400
BUY·24m ago·0xb777…7a49why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
-$18.00 · 34.272265 @ 0.525
BUY·25m ago·0xb777…7a49why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET
-$5.00 · 9.615385 @ 0.520
BUY·26m ago·0xb777…7a49why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
-$2.00 · 3.174602 @ 0.630
SELL·28m ago·0xb777…7a49why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
+$47.19 · 76.12 @ 0.620
BUY·28m ago·0xb777…7a49why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
-$20.00 · 39.215687 @ 0.510
BUY·31m ago·0xb777…7a49why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET
-$20.00 · 36.909091 @ 0.542
BUY·34m ago·0xb777…7a49why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET
+$73.70 · 161.781817 @ 0.544
SELL·36m ago·0xb777…7a49why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
+$44.84 · 144.64 @ 0.310
BUY·38m ago·0xb777…7a49why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
-$50.00 · 100 @ 0.500
BUY·39m ago·0xb777…7a49why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET
-$25.00 · 44.642856 @ 0.560
BUY·40m ago·0xb777…7a49why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET
-$1.00 · 3.571429 @ 0.280
BUY·1h ago·0xb777…7a49why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET
-$1.00 · 2.5 @ 0.400
SELL·1h ago·0xb777…7a49why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
-$20.09 · 49.01 @ 0.590
BUY·1h ago·0xb777…7a49why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
+$23.06 · 47.058824 @ 0.510
BUY·1h ago·0xb777…7a49why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET
+$0.96 · 1.960785 @ 0.510
SELL·1h ago·0xb777…7a49why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
-$0.18 · 5.88 @ 0.970
BUY·1h ago·0xb777…7a49why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET
+$2.88 · 5.882353 @ 0.510
BUY·1h ago·0xb777…7a49why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
-$2.00 · 100 @ 0.020
BUY·1h ago·0xb777…7a49why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
-$5.00 · 14.285715 @ 0.350
BUY·1h ago·0xb777…7a49why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET
-$2.00 · 3.773585 @ 0.530
BUY·1h ago·0xb777…7a49why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
-$1.00 · 1.886793 @ 0.530
SELL·1h ago·0xb777…7a49why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
+$24.75 · 41.25 @ 0.600
BUY·1h ago·0xb777…7a49why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
-$5.00 · 10.638298 @ 0.470
BUY·1h ago·0xb777…7a49why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET
-$15.00 · 30.612245 @ 0.490
SELL·1h ago·0xb777…7a49why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
-$12.52 · 43.18 @ 0.710
BUY·1h ago·0xb777…7a49why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
+$13.00 · 25 @ 0.480
BUY·1h ago·0xb777…7a49why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET
+$8.18 · 18.181817 @ 0.550
BUY·1h ago·0xb777…7a49why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
-$20.00 · 50.375 @ 0.397
BUY·1h ago·0xb777…7a49why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
-$10.00 · 21.739131 @ 0.460
BUY·1h ago·0xb777…7a49why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET
-$15.00 · 30.612245 @ 0.490
SELL·1h ago·0xb777…7a49why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
+$20.20 · 117.64 @ 0.172
BUY·1h ago·0xb777…7a49why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
-$20.00 · 58.82353 @ 0.340
BUY·1h ago·0xb777…7a49why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET
-$30.00 · 58.82353 @ 0.510
BUY·1h ago·0xb777…7a49why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
-$5.00 · 16.666667 @ 0.300
BUY·1h ago·0xb777…7a49why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET
-$8.00 · 15.686275 @ 0.510
BUY·1h ago·0xb777…7a49why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET
-$2.00 · 5.555556 @ 0.360
BUY·1h ago·0xb777…7a49why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
-$2.00 · 11.111112 @ 0.180
BUY·1h ago·0xb777…7a49why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
-$2.00 · 8.333334 @ 0.240
BUY·1h ago·0xb777…7a49why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
-$3.00 · 9.375 @ 0.320
BUY·1h ago·0xb777…7a49why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET
-$5.00 · 10 @ 0.500
BUY·2h agoageing·0xb777…7a49why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
-$5.00 · 14.285715 @ 0.350
SELL·2h agoageing·0xb777…7a49why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
-$11.38 · 36.7 @ 0.690
BUY·2h agoageing·0xb777…7a49why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
+$22.78 · 27.777778 @ 0.180
BUY·2h agoageing·0xb777…7a49why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
+$3.93 · 8.928572 @ 0.560
SELL·2h agoageing·0xb777…7a49why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
-$10.89 · 24.75 @ 0.560
BUY·2h agoageing·0xb777…7a49why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
+$14.76 · 24.756098 @ 0.404
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.