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rndm42

0xb6f1…eb10polymarket ↗last active 48m ago
All-time PnL
$156.62
Win rate
36.4%
28 of 76
Total trades
76
Avg PnL / trade
$4.75
30d PnL
$515.29
30d trades
23
30d wins
3
13.0%
30d volume
$3.69k
Category edge
Sports
31.0%
-8.6pp
n=71

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
31.0% (22 wins / 49 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 14 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 14-day series
$465.19
-$2.00k
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 76 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.61 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.48Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $196Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.97 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 48¢ · 76 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $196.08 · p90 $1000.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Mon 00:00 · 76 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·48m ago·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
on UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) AND UFC 331: Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Prelims)
933.809878 @ 0.206
BUY·50m ago·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
on UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) AND UFC 331: Patricio Pitbull vs. Dooho Choi (Featherweight, Main Card) AND UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)
294.691303 @ 0.328
BUY·10d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
No on Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-09-08?
-$8.00 · 50 @ 0.160
BUY·10d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
Yes on Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-09-08?
-$2.00 · 95.238096 @ 0.021
BUY·10d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
No on Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-09-08?
-$50.00 · 94.339623 @ 0.530
SELL·26d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
Yes on Will Racing Club vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?
-$0.37 · 370.37 @ 0.999
SELL·26d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
No on Will Racing Club win on 2026-08-23?
-$0.35 · 352.11 @ 0.999
BUY·26d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
Yes on Will Racing Club vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?
+$135.19 · 185.185184 @ 0.270
BUY·26d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
Yes on Will Racing Club vs. CA Boca Juniors end in a draw?
+$135.19 · 185.185184 @ 0.270
BUY·26d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
Yes on Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-23?
-$50.00 · 214.854582 @ 0.233
BUY·26d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
Yes on Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-23?
-$48.00 · 204.34 @ 0.235
BUY·26d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
Yes on Will CA Boca Juniors win on 2026-08-23?
-$100.00 · 319.659686 @ 0.313
BUY·26d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
No on Will Racing Club win on 2026-08-23?
+$102.11 · 352.112675 @ 0.710
SELL·26d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
No on Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-23?
-$1.10 · 1099.74 @ 0.999
SELL·26d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
No on Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-23?
-$180.12 · 316 @ 0.430
BUY·26d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
No on Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-23?
+$143.90 · 243.902438 @ 0.410
BUY·26d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
No on Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-23?
+$359.76 · 609.756096 @ 0.410
BUY·26d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
Yes on Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-08-23?
-$50.00 · 333.666665 @ 0.150
BUY·26d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
Yes on Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-08-23?
-$100.00 · 667.533332 @ 0.150
BUY·26d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
No on Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-23?
+$143.90 · 243.902438 @ 0.410
BUY·26d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
Frances Tiafoe on Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fils vs Frances Tiafoe
-$33.00 · 86.842104 @ 0.380
BUY·26d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
No on Will CA River Plate win on 2026-08-23?
+$178.18 · 318.181817 @ 0.440
BUY·26d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
Yes on Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2026-08-23?
-$60.00 · 375 @ 0.160
SELL·34d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
on UFC 330: Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims) AND UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) AND UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)
670.855988 @ 0.992
SELL·34d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
Islam Makhachev on UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)
-$0.68 · 675.67 @ 0.999
BUY·34d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
Islam Makhachev on UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)
+$175.68 · 675.675673 @ 0.740
SELL·34d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
Mackenzie Dern on UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)
-$0.82 · 823.26 @ 0.999
BUY·34d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
Mackenzie Dern on UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)
+$178.77 · 510.769228 @ 0.650
BUY·34d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
Kauê Fernandes on UFC 330: Jalin Turner vs. Kauê Fernandes (Lightweight, Prelims)
-$200.00 · 416.666665 @ 0.480
SELL·34d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
Dustin Stoltzfus on UFC 330: Dustin Stoltzfus vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)
-$1.25 · 125 @ 0.990
BUY·34d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
Dustin Stoltzfus on UFC 330: Dustin Stoltzfus vs. Mansur Abdul-Malik (Middleweight, Prelims)
+$105.00 · 125 @ 0.160
BUY·34d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
Edson Barboza on UFC 330: Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)
-$70.00 · 466.666665 @ 0.150
BUY·34d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
Edson Barboza on UFC 330: Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims)
-$80.00 · 533.333332 @ 0.150
BUY·34d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
Mackenzie Dern on UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)
+$112.50 · 312.5 @ 0.640
BUY·34d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
on UFC 330: Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims) AND UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card) AND UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)
670.855988 @ 0.435
BUY·34d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
Joel Álvarez on UFC 330: Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)
-$100.00 · 131.578945 @ 0.760
SELL·34d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
Charles Johnson on UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Eduardo Chapolin (Catchweight, Prelims)
-$0.20 · 200 @ 0.999
BUY·34d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
Charles Johnson on UFC 330: Charles Johnson vs. Eduardo Chapolin (Catchweight, Prelims)
+$100.00 · 200 @ 0.500
BUY·34d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
on UFC 330: Edson Barboza vs. Esteban Ribovics (Lightweight, Prelims) AND UFC 330: Chidi Njokuani vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims) AND UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)
1971.058029 @ 0.496
BUY·61d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
No on Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?
-$100.00 · 457.80199 @ 0.218
BUY·61d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
No on Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?
-$79.00 · 187.945367 @ 0.420
BUY·61d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
No on Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?
-$100.00 · 247.098764 @ 0.405
BUY·62d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
No on Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?
-$500.00 · 1214.368979 @ 0.412
BUY·62d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
No on Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?
-$112.00 · 273.838629 @ 0.409
BUY·62d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
Yes on Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
-$50.00 · 694.444443 @ 0.072
BUY·62d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
France on France vs. England: Team to Win
-$100.00 · 357.142856 @ 0.280
BUY·65d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
No on Will Argentina be eliminated in the Final of the World Cup?
-$500.00 · 1154.614527 @ 0.433
SELL·65d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
No on Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
-$6.57 · 6565.29 @ 0.999
BUY·65d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
No on Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
+$1.04k · 1437.385717 @ 0.278
BUY·66d agostale·0xb6f1…eb10why? →
No on Will Argentina be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?
+$116.45 · 216.450215 @ 0.462
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.