No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 27?
— 47.96 @ 0.910
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0X
0xB65Fe7b9D1547c91f19c12B674Edf920240eFff1-1776539317526
All-time PnL
-$93.62
Win rate
79.6%
80 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$1.91
30d PnL
-$89.89
30d trades
75
30d wins
31
41.3%
30d volume
$3.34k
Category edge
Weather
68.8%
-5.8pp
n=93
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
68.8% (64 wins / 29 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 18 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 29-day series
$29.71
-$114.52
Trading pattern
Weather Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Weather 100%
Why Weather Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Weather 100% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Weather specialist.
Directional bias: +0.30 (two-sided) — Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.80 — Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $19 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.23 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 80¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $19.48 · p90 $99.70
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Mon 04:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 27?
— 30 @ 0.920
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 27?
— 38 @ 0.920
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 27?
— 30 @ 0.930
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 27?
— 15 @ 0.930
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 27?
— 15 @ 0.940
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 27?
— 73.64 @ 0.960
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 25?
— -$0.02 · 20 @ 0.999
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 26?
— +$16.07 · 36.53 @ 0.560
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 26?
— +$1.08 · 36 @ 0.970
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C or below on July 25?
— +$0.38 · 190 @ 0.998
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 25?
— -$73.60 · 80 @ 0.920
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 24?
— +$0.03 · 13.35 @ 0.998
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 24?
— +$0.20 · 50 @ 0.996
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 24?
— +$0.23 · 113.02 @ 0.998
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 24?
— +$2.05 · 18.62 @ 0.890
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 23?
— +$4.42 · 147.2 @ 0.970
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 23?
— +$1.92 · 48.04 @ 0.960
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 23?
— +$0.61 · 6 @ 0.899
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 23?
— +$0.59 · 5.24 @ 0.888
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 35°C on July 23?
— +$1.00 · 8.92 @ 0.888
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 22?
— +$0.59 · 66.03 @ 0.991
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 22?
— +$1.36 · 135.5 @ 0.990
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 21?
— +$0.67 · 167 @ 0.996
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 21?
— +$0.20 · 40.01 @ 0.995
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 21?
— +$1.42 · 56.9 @ 0.975
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 21?
— +$0.46 · 20 @ 0.977
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 21?
— +$0.81 · 35 @ 0.977
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 21?
— +$0.18 · 8 @ 0.977
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 21?
— +$2.20 · 100 @ 0.978
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 20?
— +$11.55 · 231 @ 0.950
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 20?
— +$0.25 · 125 @ 0.998
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 19?
— -$0.13 · 125 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 20?
— +$0.09 · 47.42 @ 0.998
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 19?
— +$0.02 · 19 @ 0.001
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 19?
— +$3.84 · 127.31 @ 0.970
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 18?
— -$0.05 · 45.28 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 18?
— +$2.10 · 30 @ 0.930
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 18?
— +$0.10 · 25 @ 0.996
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 18?
— +$0.30 · 100 @ 0.997
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 18?
— +$0.10 · 25 @ 0.996
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 17?
— +$0.28 · 11 @ 0.975
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 17?
— +$0.63 · 25 @ 0.975
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 17?
— +$0.05 · 46.9 @ 0.001
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 15?
— +$6.55 · 131 @ 0.950
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 13?
— +$3.52 · 35 @ 0.100
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 13?
— -$5.60 · 35 @ 0.160
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 10?
— +$0.10 · 101 @ 0.001
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 10?
— -$43.02 · 75 @ 0.574
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 10?
— -$49.92 · 96 @ 0.480
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.