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VA

VanyaR

0xb5b5…205apolymarket ↗last active 27m ago
All-time PnL
-$1.50k
Win rate
50.0%
50 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$39.60
30d PnL
-$1.50k
30d trades
100
30d wins
19
19.0%
30d volume
$37.9k
Category edge
Sports
44.4%
-11.6pp
n=99

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
44.4% (44 wins / 55 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 1 market — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 4-day series
$346.13
-$1.70k
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.98 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.50Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $385Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.86 (moderate)Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 50¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $385.00 · p90 $700.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sun 08:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·27m ago·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
Xtreme Gaming on Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
639.7341 @ 0.938
BUY·2h agoageing·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
Team Cobra on Dota 2: PlayTime vs Team Cobra - Game 2 Winner
+$309.39 · 909.39394 @ 0.660
BUY·2h agoageing·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
Conventus Stellarum on Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner
-$20.00 · 40 @ 0.500
BUY·2h agoageing·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
Conventus Stellarum on Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner
-$580.00 · 1166.4638 @ 0.497
BUY·2h agoageing·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
Xtreme Gaming on Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winner
+$600.00 · 1200 @ 0.500
BUY·3h agoageing·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
Xtreme Gaming on Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner
-$310.00 · 1068.965518 @ 0.290
BUY·18h agoageing·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
Pipsqueak+4 on Dota 2: Aurora vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winner
-$600.00 · 1333.333334 @ 0.450
BUY·18h agoageing·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
Aurora on Dota 2: Aurora vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winner
+$39.29 · 89.285715 @ 0.560
BUY·18h agoageing·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
Aurora on Dota 2: Aurora vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winner
+$383.33 · 833.333334 @ 0.540
BUY·18h agoageing·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
Pipsqueak+4 on Dota 2: Aurora vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 2 Winner
-$400.00 · 930.232559 @ 0.430
BUY·19h agoageing·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
LGD Gaming on Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 2 Winner
+$240.31 · 1240.23 @ 0.806
BUY·20h agoageing·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
LGD Gaming on Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner
-$890.00 · 1634.044211 @ 0.545
BUY·20h agoageing·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
Yakult Brothers on Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Yakult Brothers - Game 1 Winner
+$1.15k · 1547.5 @ 0.258
BUY·21h agoageing·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
PlayTime on Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
-$600.00 · 1089.188215 @ 0.551
BUY·21h agoageing·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
PlayTime on Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
-$600.00 · 1333.333334 @ 0.450
BUY·22h agoageing·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
Conventus Stellarum on Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner
-$300.00 · 555.555556 @ 0.540
BUY·22h agoageing·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
PlayTime on Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner
+$1.02k · 1621.621622 @ 0.370
BUY·23h agoageing·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
PlayTime on Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner
+$411.99 · 538.989584 @ 0.236
BUY·23h agoageing·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
Conventus Stellarum on Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner
-$400.00 · 540.540538 @ 0.740
BUY·23h agoageing·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
GamerLegion on Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Cobra - Game 1 Winner
+$16.36 · 36.363637 @ 0.550
BUY·23h agoageing·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
GamerLegion on Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Cobra - Game 1 Winner
+$448.49 · 1028.491526 @ 0.564
BUY·23h agoageing·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
Team Cobra on Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Cobra - Game 1 Winner
-$400.00 · 1049.29718 @ 0.381
BUY·23h agoageing·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
Team Cobra on Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Cobra - Game 1 Winner
-$22.00 · 47.021277 @ 0.468
BUY·23h agoageing·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
GamerLegion on Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Cobra - Game 1 Winner
+$520.00 · 1300 @ 0.600
BUY·23h agoageing·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
Team Cobra on Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Team Cobra - Game 1 Winner
-$400.00 · 1244.189697 @ 0.321
BUY·1d agostale·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
Hokori on Dota 2: Natus Vincere vs Hokori - Game 2 Winner
-$10.00 · 96.366667 @ 0.104
BUY·1d agostale·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
1win on Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
-$200.00 · 250.46775 @ 0.799
BUY·1d agostale·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
1win on Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
-$495.00 · 584.941053 @ 0.846
BUY·1d agostale·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
Team Nemesis on Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
+$1.00k · 1600.163077 @ 0.375
BUY·1d agostale·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
1win on Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
-$748.00 · 935 @ 0.800
BUY·1d agostale·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
Team Nemesis on Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
+$552.38 · 952.380953 @ 0.420
BUY·1d agostale·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
1win on Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
-$840.00 · 1172.005971 @ 0.717
BUY·1d agostale·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
Team Nemesis on Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage
+$768.62 · 1168.623143 @ 0.342
BUY·1d agostale·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
Team Nemesis on Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner
+$18.38 · 63.380282 @ 0.710
BUY·1d agostale·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
Team Nemesis on Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner
+$512.76 · 912.762273 @ 0.438
BUY·1d agostale·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
1win on Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner
-$50.00 · 92.592593 @ 0.540
BUY·1d agostale·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
1win on Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner
-$390.00 · 750 @ 0.520
BUY·1d agostale·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
Team Nemesis on Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner
+$433.33 · 833.333334 @ 0.480
BUY·1d agostale·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
1win on Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner
-$20.00 · 31.511845 @ 0.635
BUY·1d agostale·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
1win on Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner
-$537.00 · 880.327869 @ 0.610
BUY·1d agostale·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
Team Nemesis on Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 2 Winner
+$512.99 · 912.98841 @ 0.438
BUY·1d agostale·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
Team Nemesis on Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner
-$68.00 · 523.076924 @ 0.130
BUY·1d agostale·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
1win on Dota 2: 1win vs Team Nemesis - Game 1 Winner
+$135.12 · 535.116 @ 0.748
SELL·27d agostale·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
Team Spirit on Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs
-$1.15 · 1150.91 @ 0.999
BUY·27d agostale·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
Team Spirit on Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs
+$148.23 · 398.2273 @ 0.628
BUY·27d agostale·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
Team Spirit on Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs
+$173.79 · 413.793102 @ 0.580
BUY·27d agostale·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
TEAM VISION on Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs
-$250.00 · 411.790321 @ 0.607
BUY·27d agostale·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
TEAM VISION on Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs
-$82.00 · 292.857141 @ 0.280
BUY·27d agostale·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
Team Spirit on Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs
+$88.90 · 338.895732 @ 0.738
BUY·27d agostale·0xb5b5…205awhy? →
TEAM VISION on Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffs
-$1.00 · 1.923075 @ 0.520
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.