Yes on Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
— 403.225807 @ 0.310
← leaderboard
HA
haimshor
All-time PnL
-$185.58
Win rate
53.8%
35 of 65
Total trades
65
Avg PnL / trade
-$7.42
30d PnL
$16.89
30d trades
9
30d wins
1
11.1%
30d volume
$1.05k
Category edge
Politics
35.7%
-18.8pp
n=28
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
34.5% (10 wins / 19 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 20 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 18-day series
$134.62
-$199.48
Trading pattern
Politics Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Politics 98%
Why Politics Specialisthigh confidence · 65 trades
Category focus: Politics 98% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Politics specialist.
Directional bias: +0.38 (two-sided) — Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.49 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $100 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.75 (moderate) — Stakes vary moderately across trades.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 49¢ · 65 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $100.00 · p90 $200.00
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Sun 10:00 · 65 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
Yes on Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
— 271.739131 @ 0.460
Yes on Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
— 243.93 @ 0.860
Yes on Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
— 220.48 @ 0.900
Yes on Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026?
— 169 @ 0.540
Yes on Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?
— 142.857143 @ 0.700
Yes on Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
— 654.79 @ 0.190
Yes on Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
— 75.85 @ 0.590
Yes on Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
— 605.01 @ 0.051
Yes on Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?
— 141.342104 @ 0.760
Yes on Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
— 188.679244 @ 0.530
Yes on Will the Republicans win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
— 175.438595 @ 0.570
Yes on Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026?
— 75.85714 @ 0.560
Argentina on Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
— -$50.00 · 121.951218 @ 0.410
Yes on Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
— 81.402438 @ 0.820
Yes on Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
— 535.64 @ 0.130
Yes on Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
— 144.122925 @ 0.814
Yes on Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
— 246.913579 @ 0.810
Yes on Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
— 57.142856 @ 0.840
Yes on Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
— 120.481926 @ 0.830
Yes on Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
— 120.481923 @ 0.830
Yes on Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
— 120.481923 @ 0.830
Yes on Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
— -$0.50 · 125 @ 0.996
Yes on Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
— -$10.00 · 384.615383 @ 0.026
Yes on Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
— -$6.00 · 193.548387 @ 0.031
Yes on Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
— -$10.00 · 169.491524 @ 0.059
Yes on Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
— 78.29 @ 0.430
Yes on Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
— -$5.00 · 68.493149 @ 0.073
Yes on Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
— +$25.00 · 125 @ 0.800
Yes on Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
— 654.793427 @ 0.305
Yes on Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
— 384.61 @ 0.298
Yes on Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
— 371.63 @ 0.550
Yes on Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
— 78.292681 @ 0.410
Yes on Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
— 123.456789 @ 0.810
Yes on Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
— 371.630369 @ 0.538
Yes on Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
— 384.615383 @ 0.260
Yes on Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
— 605.017963 @ 0.165
Yes on Will the Republicans win the North Carolina Senate race in 2026?
— 535.643 @ 0.187
Yes on Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?
— 93.92 @ 0.810
Yes on Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?
— 100 @ 0.820
Yes on Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
— 666.66 @ 0.230
Yes on Will Jason Perry win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?
— -$32.43 · 54.05 @ 0.400
Yes on Will Jason Perry win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?
— +$34.05 · 54.054053 @ 0.370
Yes on Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
— 333.333332 @ 0.150
Yes on Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
— 333.333332 @ 0.150
Yes on Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
— +$40.41 · 136.98 @ 0.295
Yes on Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
— +$100.55 · 130.59 @ 0.770
Yes on Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?
— -$100.00 · 130.593504 @ 0.766
Yes on Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
— -$30.00 · 136.9863 @ 0.219
Yes on Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
— -$48.06 · 231.16 @ 0.792
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.