No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 28?
— 19.423075 @ 0.515
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SH
shduxvs
All-time PnL
-$517.43
Win rate
28.6%
29 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$44.63
30d PnL
-$312.44
30d trades
100
30d wins
2
2.0%
30d volume
$4.28k
Category edge
Weather
52.3%
-37.8pp
n=44
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
52.3% (23 wins / 21 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 8 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 3-day series
$0.00
-$1.82k
Trading pattern
Weather Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Weather 100%
Why Weather Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Weather 100% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Weather specialist.
Directional bias: +0.76 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.57 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $20 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.78 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 57¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $20.00 · p90 $100.00
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Tue 03:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 28?
— 19.423075 @ 0.515
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 28?
— 19.423075 @ 0.515
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 28?
— 19.423075 @ 0.515
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 28?
— 19.607842 @ 0.510
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 28?
— 19.607842 @ 0.510
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 28?
— 19.389037 @ 0.516
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 28?
— 19.764704 @ 0.506
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 28?
— 19.960783 @ 0.501
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 28?
— 20 @ 0.500
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28?
— 12.315265 @ 0.812
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28?
— 12.269935 @ 0.815
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28?
— 12.269937 @ 0.815
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28?
— 12.360937 @ 0.809
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28?
— 12.300122 @ 0.813
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28?
— 12.34297 @ 0.810
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28?
— 12.345678 @ 0.810
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28?
— 12.360938 @ 0.809
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28?
— 24.7258 @ 0.809
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 28?
— 171.88 @ 0.494
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 28?
— 171.87 @ 0.477
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28?
— 167.57 @ 0.785
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28?
— 167.57 @ 0.812
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 28?
— 501.38 @ 0.005
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 28?
— 178.49 @ 0.058
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 28?
— 343.75 @ 0.465
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 28?
— 147.15 @ 0.136
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28?
— 23.186554 @ 0.863
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28?
— 23.014954 @ 0.869
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28?
— 23.042549 @ 0.868
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28?
— 23.093885 @ 0.866
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 28?
— 143.168665 @ 0.140
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 28?
— 241.21 @ 0.083
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 28?
— 426.886665 @ 0.059
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 28?
— 70.58904 @ 0.708
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 28?
— 71.677 @ 0.698
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 28?
— 74.480293 @ 0.671
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 28?
— 75.217163 @ 0.665
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 28?
— 77.076922 @ 0.649
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 28?
— 77.787876 @ 0.643
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 28?
— 334.666665 @ 0.030
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 28?
— 15.908729 @ 0.629
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 28?
— 32.741934 @ 0.611
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 28?
— 32.929507 @ 0.607
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28?
— 21.784543 @ 0.918
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 28?
— 33.333332 @ 0.600
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 28?
— 33 @ 0.606
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 28?
— 33.114753 @ 0.604
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 28?
— 33.333332 @ 0.600
No on Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 28?
— 21.311065 @ 0.938
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.