No on Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on June 29?
— 601.63 @ 0.999
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0X
0xb1625Df4b56d991c0fF67A3E3d27D817c7BF9DA7-1768507922496
All-time PnL
$46.30
Win rate
100.0%
100 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$0.51
30d PnL
$46.30
30d trades
100
30d wins
90
90.0%
30d volume
$47.2k
Category edge
Weather
100.0%
+0.9pp
n=90
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
100.0% (90 wins / 0 misses)Cumulative PnL · 22-day series
$46.30
$0.00
Trading pattern
Weather Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Weather 100%
Why Weather Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Weather 100% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Weather specialist.
Directional bias: +1.00 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 1.00 — Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $387 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.72 (moderate) — Stakes vary moderately across trades.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 100¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $386.95 · p90 $1.03k
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Mon 06:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 29?
— 387.68 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 29?
— 730.98 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C or below on June 29?
— 952.12 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 29?
— 413.68 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 29?
— 187.99 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 18°C on June 29?
— 250.31 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C or below on June 29?
— 76.58 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on June 29?
— 64.75 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on June 29?
— 48.81 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 28?
— +$1.38 · 1200 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 28?
— +$1.20 · 1200 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 28?
— +$0.07 · 72.77 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 28?
— +$0.45 · 448.06 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 28?
— +$0.48 · 477.59 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 27?
— +$0.12 · 122 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 27?
— +$0.93 · 725.12 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 27?
— +$1.03 · 1030.37 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 27?
— +$0.71 · 714.96 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 26?
— +$1.20 · 1200 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 26?
— +$0.30 · 303.18 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 26?
— +$0.25 · 245.51 @ 0.999
Yes on Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 25?
— +$0.09 · 71.86 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 17°C on June 25?
— +$0.53 · 525 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 15°C or below on June 25?
— +$0.28 · 275.37 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 25?
— +$0.20 · 201.58 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 25?
— +$0.10 · 100 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 24?
— +$0.91 · 911.32 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 24?
— +$0.43 · 433.26 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 24?
— +$0.70 · 699.7 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on June 24?
— +$1.78 · 943.42 @ 0.998
No on Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 23?
— +$0.47 · 468.52 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 23?
— +$1.10 · 1100 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 23?
— +$0.21 · 205 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 23?
— +$0.24 · 243.97 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 23°C on June 22?
— +$0.35 · 346 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 22?
— +$1.01 · 1014.96 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 22?
— +$0.05 · 50 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 22?
— +$1.10 · 1100 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 22?
— +$0.05 · 47.9 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C or below on June 22?
— +$0.19 · 191.5 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 21?
— +$0.63 · 625.46 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on June 21?
— +$0.45 · 450.06 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on June 21?
— +$0.48 · 484.5 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 20°C on June 20?
— +$0.45 · 446.42 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 20?
— +$0.59 · 592.56 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on June 20?
— +$0.37 · 367.05 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 21°C on June 19?
— +$0.31 · 313 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on June 19?
— +$1.16 · 1100 @ 0.999
No on Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on June 19?
— +$0.27 · 270.93 @ 0.999
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.