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mmanta

0xb03a…e2cbpolymarket ↗last active 18m ago
All-time PnL
$2.18
Win rate
92.3%
55 of 60
Total trades
60
Avg PnL / trade
$0.04
30d PnL
-$1.22
30d trades
55
30d wins
45
81.8%
30d volume
$3.80k
Category edge
Crypto
93.3%
+23.2pp
n=60

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
93.3% (56 wins / 4 misses)
Cumulative PnL · 13-day series
$73.84
$0.00
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 60 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.93 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.90Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $92Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.61 (moderate)Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 90¢ · 60 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $91.90 · p90 $99.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Tue 22:00 · 60 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·18m ago·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
+$0.20 · 100 @ 0.998
BUY·1h ago·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 28, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET
+$1.00 · 100 @ 0.990
BUY·17h agoageing·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET
+$0.08 · 4 @ 0.980
BUY·17h agoageing·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET
+$3.34 · 100 @ 0.967
BUY·22h agoageing·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
+$1.05 · 34.96 @ 0.970
BUY·1d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
+$0.27 · 29.99 @ 0.991
BUY·1d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
+$4.00 · 100 @ 0.960
BUY·1d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
+$3.00 · 100 @ 0.970
BUY·1d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
-$85.79 · 100 @ 0.858
BUY·1d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
-$7.18 · 100 @ 0.072
BUY·1d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET
+$9.00 · 100 @ 0.910
BUY·1d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
+$2.87 · 95.66 @ 0.970
BUY·1d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
+$1.00 · 100 @ 0.990
BUY·1d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
+$2.00 · 100 @ 0.980
BUY·1d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
+$1.00 · 100 @ 0.990
BUY·1d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET
+$0.21 · 10.28 @ 0.980
BUY·2d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
+$1.11 · 20 @ 0.944
BUY·2d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
+$0.65 · 32.51 @ 0.980
BUY·2d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
+$1.00 · 100 @ 0.990
BUY·2d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
+$1.93 · 96.64 @ 0.980
BUY·3d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
+$1.00 · 100 @ 0.990
BUY·3d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
+$1.40 · 70 @ 0.980
BUY·3d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
+$0.20 · 10 @ 0.980
BUY·3d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 25, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
+$0.40 · 20 @ 0.980
BUY·3d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
+$0.32 · 10.66 @ 0.970
BUY·3d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET
+$4.00 · 100 @ 0.960
BUY·3d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET
+$1.02 · 34 @ 0.970
BUY·3d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
+$3.00 · 100 @ 0.970
BUY·3d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
+$3.08 · 100 @ 0.969
BUY·3d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
+$0.09 · 10 @ 0.991
BUY·3d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 24, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET
+$1.65 · 86.92 @ 0.981
BUY·4d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET
+$1.00 · 100 @ 0.990
BUY·4d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
+$1.00 · 100 @ 0.990
BUY·4d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 23, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET
+$3.00 · 100 @ 0.970
BUY·5d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
+$0.59 · 29.67 @ 0.980
BUY·5d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET
+$4.00 · 100 @ 0.960
BUY·5d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET
+$1.00 · 100 @ 0.990
BUY·5d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET
+$0.90 · 100 @ 0.991
BUY·5d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET
+$3.00 · 100 @ 0.970
BUY·5d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET
+$0.80 · 100 @ 0.992
BUY·6d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET
+$1.93 · 96.57 @ 0.980
BUY·6d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
+$1.30 · 100 @ 0.987
BUY·6d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET
-$1.92 · 16 @ 0.120
BUY·6d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
-$1.00 · 100 @ 0.010
BUY·6d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
+$0.49 · 49 @ 0.990
BUY·6d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET
+$1.00 · 100 @ 0.990
BUY·6d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
+$2.00 · 100 @ 0.980
BUY·6d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET
+$10.00 · 100 @ 0.900
BUY·7d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET
+$5.00 · 100 @ 0.950
BUY·7d agostale·0xb03a…e2cbwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET
+$2.00 · 100 @ 0.980
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.