Yes on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
— 1025.641024 @ 0.195
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FU
FuckKhamenei
All-time PnL
-$822.50
Win rate
40.9%
41 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$46.53
30d PnL
-$1.02k
30d trades
100
30d wins
9
9.0%
30d volume
$14.3k
Category edge
Sports
34.5%
-14.6pp
n=58
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
35.0% (21 wins / 39 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 17 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 12-day series
$0.00
-$1.82k
Trading pattern
Sports-Leaningtwo-sidedsmall-sizeBuy-leaning · Sports 58%
Why Sports-Leaninghigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 58% of categorized trades — a lean toward Sports without full specialization.
Directional bias: +0.36 (two-sided) — Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.40 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $100 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.89 (moderate) — Stakes vary moderately across trades.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 40¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $100.00 · p90 $280.48
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Mon 01:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
— 258.62 @ 0.525
No on Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
— 258.620688 @ 0.580
Yes on Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
— 200 @ 0.150
Yes on Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
— 54.473683 @ 0.184
No on Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
— 245.26 @ 0.790
No on Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?
— 245.267781 @ 0.477
No on Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?
— +$117.28 · 205.76 @ 0.570
No on Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in July?
— -$120.00 · 205.762709 @ 0.583
No on Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
— -$0.45 · 223.89 @ 0.998
No on Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?
— +$101.24 · 223.890508 @ 0.548
Yes on Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
— 242.857141 @ 0.280
No on Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
— 116.66 @ 0.590
Yes on Iran Nuke before 2027?
— 879.310343 @ 0.058
Yes on Iran Nuke before 2027?
— 867.296378 @ 0.058
Yes on Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
— 185.185184 @ 0.270
Yes on Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
— 181.48148 @ 0.270
No on Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
— 116.666665 @ 0.540
Yes on Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
— 584.59 @ 0.460
Yes on Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
— 113.9375 @ 0.480
Yes on Iran Nuke before 2027?
— 1071.13 @ 0.052
Yes on Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?
— 470.658296 @ 0.461
Yes on Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
— 292.98 @ 0.771
Yes on Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
— 292.974682 @ 0.788
Yes on Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
— 627.72 @ 0.860
Yes on Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
— 95.297296 @ 0.740
Yes on Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
— 100 @ 0.730
Yes on Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
— 140.625 @ 0.640
Yes on Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?
— 491.803276 @ 0.610
Yes on Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
— 392.291665 @ 0.240
Yes on Iran Nuke before 2027?
— 1071.135613 @ 0.056
Yes on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
— 828.47 @ 0.072
Argentina on Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
— -$120.00 · 290.909089 @ 0.412
Argentina on Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
— -$256.00 · 624.390242 @ 0.410
Yes on Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— -$287.90 · 702.2 @ 0.590
Yes on Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— +$287.20 · 702.19966 @ 0.591
Yes on Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— -$288.10 · 702.68 @ 0.590
Yes on Will Lamine Yamal win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— -$4.00 · 200 @ 0.020
France on France vs. England: Team to Win
— -$26.00 · 106.995883 @ 0.243
England on France vs. England: Team to Win
— -$14.58 · 416.66 @ 0.965
England on France vs. England: Team to Win
— +$216.67 · 416.666665 @ 0.480
France on France vs. England: Team to Win
— +$338.35 · 650.68 @ 0.520
France on France vs. England: Team to Win
— -$68.29 · 121.946427 @ 0.560
France on France vs. England: Team to Win
— -$98.59 · 138.859151 @ 0.710
France on France vs. England: Team to Win
— -$166.80 · 245.294115 @ 0.680
France on France vs. England: Team to Win
— -$98.32 · 144.588234 @ 0.680
Yes on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
— 828.461537 @ 0.039
Yes on Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— -$25.26 · 60 @ 0.579
Yes on Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in July?
— 254.137931 @ 0.029
Yes on Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
— 36.32 @ 0.218
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.