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deron

0xae2b…9cc3polymarket ↗last active 22m ago
All-time PnL
$10.0k
Win rate
58.5%
59 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$244.60
30d PnL
$10.0k
30d trades
100
30d wins
24
24.0%
30d volume
$57.8k
Category edge
Sports
58.8%
+13.5pp
n=97

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
58.8% (57 wins / 40 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 10 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 18-day series
$10.3k
-$944.04
Trading pattern
Sports Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBalanced · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.00 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.48Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $153Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.82 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 48¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $152.91 · p90 $1.64k
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Fri 10:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·22m ago·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
JD Gaming on LoL: Invictus Gaming vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
2271 @ 0.490
BUY·13h agoageing·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
MOUZ on Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FURIA (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
171.92 @ 0.590
SELL·17h agoageing·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
Natus Vincere on LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI - Game 3 Winner
+$716.66 · 1936.91 @ 0.370
SELL·19h agoageing·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
MIBR on Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
-$93.04 · 281.93 @ 0.670
BUY·21h agoageing·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
magic on Counter-Strike: magic vs MIBR - Map 1 Winner
-$14.60 · 37.43 @ 0.390
SELL·22h agoageing·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
JD Gaming on LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
-$1.95 · 1949 @ 0.999
SELL·22h agoageing·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
Natus Vincere on Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner
+$14.00 · 50 @ 0.280
SELL·22h agoageing·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
Natus Vincere on Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner
+$7.36 · 16 @ 0.460
BUY·23h agoageing·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
MOUZ on Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 Winner
+$349.04 · 969.55 @ 0.640
SELL·23h agoageing·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
MOUZ on Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
-$195.22 · 325.37 @ 0.400
SELL·1d agostale·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
Natus Vincere on Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner
-$322.73 · 547 @ 0.410
BUY·1d agostale·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
MOUZ on Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
+$2.29k · 6177 @ 0.630
BUY·1d agostale·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
No on Will MOUZ Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026?
5000 @ 0.930
BUY·1d agostale·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
No on Will Natus Vincere Win the StarLadder StarSeries Fall 2026?
+$104.33 · 3260.46 @ 0.968
BUY·1d agostale·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
Aurora Gaming on Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
+$44.32 · 142.96 @ 0.690
BUY·1d agostale·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
NRG on Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs NRG (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Playoffs
+$2.37k · 3000 @ 0.210
SELL·1d agostale·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
Invictus Gaming on LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Regional Finals Playoffs
+$131.39 · 486.64 @ 0.270
BUY·1d agostale·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
Top Esports on LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winner
+$342.73 · 729.21 @ 0.530
SELL·2d agostale·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
NRG on Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs NRG - Map 1 Winner
-$1.02k · 1264 @ 0.190
SELL·2d agostale·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
Invictus Gaming on LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winner
+$562.85 · 1061.98 @ 0.530
SELL·5d agostale·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
Dplus KIA Challengers on LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs
+$36.13 · 62.29 @ 0.580
BUY·5d agostale·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
Bilibili Gaming on LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
-$4.56 · 9.51 @ 0.480
BUY·6d agostale·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
Legacy on Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy (BO5) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs
+$117.74 · 336.41 @ 0.650
SELL·6d agostale·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
Gen.G on LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - LCK Playoffs
-$7.98 · 14 @ 0.430
SELL·6d agostale·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
Invictus Gaming on LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
+$97.52 · 195.03 @ 0.500
SELL·7d agostale·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
MIBR on Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Playoffs
+$1.43 · 11 @ 0.130
BUY·7d agostale·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
T1 on LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner
-$113.74 · 242 @ 0.470
BUY·7d agostale·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
FURIA on Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 - Map 2 Winner
-$573.29 · 895.77 @ 0.640
BUY·7d agostale·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
FURIA on Counter-Strike: FURIA vs G2 - Map 2 Winner
-$1.09k · 1703.99 @ 0.640
BUY·8d agostale·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
G2 on Counter-Strike: G2 vs 5star (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
+$173.00 · 3460.02 @ 0.950
BUY·8d agostale·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
magic on Counter-Strike: Alliance vs magic - Map 2 Winner
-$99.20 · 190.76 @ 0.520
SELL·9d agostale·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
Dplus KIA Challengers on LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs
+$7.61 · 31.49 @ 0.242
SELL·9d agostale·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
Dplus KIA Challengers on LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs
+$13.20 · 30 @ 0.440
BUY·9d agostale·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
Dplus KIA Challengers on LoL: T1 Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Playoffs
-$11.00 · 25 @ 0.440
SELL·9d agostale·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
Legacy on Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner
-$299.38 · 534.61 @ 0.440
BUY·9d agostale·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
Legacy on Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner
+$385.00 · 700 @ 0.450
SELL·9d agostale·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
FURIA on Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FURIA (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B
+$1.36k · 2232.78 @ 0.610
BUY·9d agostale·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
5star on Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 5star - Map 1 Winner
+$13.95 · 99.64 @ 0.860
BUY·9d agostale·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
5star on Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 5star - Map 1 Winner
+$12.15 · 15 @ 0.190
SELL·10d agostale·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
GamerLegion on Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner
+$284.76 · 677.99 @ 0.420
SELL·10d agostale·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
FURIA on Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FURIA (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B
-$428.44 · 856.89 @ 0.500
SELL·10d agostale·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
GamerLegion on Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner
+$96.41 · 300 @ 0.321
SELL·10d agostale·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
FURIA on Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FURIA (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group B
-$108.12 · 270.31 @ 0.600
BUY·10d agostale·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
FURIA on Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner
-$10.00 · 500 @ 0.020
BUY·11d agostale·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
LGD Gaming on LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner
-$247.92 · 619.81 @ 0.400
BUY·11d agostale·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
LGD Gaming on LoL: Invictus Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner
-$8.00 · 200 @ 0.040
BUY·11d agostale·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
BetBoom Team on Counter-Strike: BIG vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - FISSURE PLAYGROUND Group A
+$1.22k · 2600 @ 0.530
BUY·11d agostale·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
BIG on Counter-Strike: BIG vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner
-$352.65 · 851.75 @ 0.414
BUY·11d agostale·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
Alliance on Counter-Strike: Alliance vs FaZe - Map 1 Winner
+$9.60 · 15 @ 0.360
SELL·12d agostale·0xae2b…9cc3why? →
Anyones Legend on LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs
+$77.97 · 779.72 @ 0.100
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.