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DO

Do-Not-Redeem

0xad89…f6e1polymarket ↗last active 25m ago
All-time PnL
-$8.23k
Win rate
36.4%
36 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$396.07
30d PnL
-$8.71k
30d trades
97
30d wins
8
8.2%
30d volume
$279.6k
Category edge
Sports
52.5%
+1.8pp
n=59

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
49.2% (32 wins / 33 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 16 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 14-day series
$0.00
-$8.14k
Trading pattern
Sports Specialisttwo-sidedmid-sizecategory-focusedBalanced · Sports 84%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 84% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.04 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.42Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $600Mid-sized typical stake.
Sizing consistency: CV 2.98 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 42¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $599.65 · p90 $4.91k
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Wed 05:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
SELL·25m ago·0xad89…f6e1why? →
Yes on Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
607.9 @ 0.520
SELL·26m ago·0xad89…f6e1why? →
Yes on Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
952.35 @ 0.534
SELL·31m ago·0xad89…f6e1why? →
Yes on Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
2250.51 @ 0.550
BUY·9h agoageing·0xad89…f6e1why? →
Yes on Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?
41186.19 @ 0.550
SELL·20h agoageing·0xad89…f6e1why? →
Yes on Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?
500 @ 0.590
SELL·3d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
Yes on Will Hull City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?
440 @ 0.500
BUY·5d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
Yes on Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
7802.21 @ 0.270
SELL·5d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
Yes on Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
2457.66 @ 0.580
BUY·5d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
Yes on Will Manchester City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
10825.7 @ 0.260
SELL·6d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
Arthur Weber on Phan Thiet 3: Arthur Weber vs Ilia Simakin
+$302.39 · 1439.93 @ 0.210
SELL·6d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
Arthur Weber on Phan Thiet 3: Arthur Weber vs Ilia Simakin
+$159.02 · 722.8 @ 0.220
BUY·6d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
Yes on Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
11297.86 @ 0.557
SELL·6d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
Arthur Weber on Phan Thiet 3: Arthur Weber vs Ilia Simakin
+$3.00k · 14242.08 @ 0.211
BUY·6d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
Arthur Weber on Phan Thiet 3: Arthur Weber vs Ilia Simakin
-$4.45k · 18948.32 @ 0.235
BUY·6d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
Yes on Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
15.35 @ 0.530
SELL·6d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
Yes on Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
5856 @ 0.530
SELL·6d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
Yes on Will Coventry City be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?
195.91 @ 0.648
BUY·6d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
No on Will Ipswich Town be relegated from the 2026-27 Premier League?
3172 @ 0.499
BUY·9d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
Karen Khachanov on US Open ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Alexander Blockx
+$15.37 · 331 @ 0.954
SELL·9d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
Over on FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5
-$441.89 · 2008.57 @ 0.780
SELL·9d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
Over on FC Barcelona vs. Feyenoord Rotterdam: O/U 3.5
-$562.58 · 2678.93 @ 0.790
BUY·10d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
Carlos Alcaraz on US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
-$1.86k · 3000 @ 0.620
BUY·10d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
Carlos Alcaraz on US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
-$1.09k · 1846.15 @ 0.590
BUY·10d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
Yes on Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
-$560.23 · 2154.72 @ 0.260
SELL·10d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
Carlos Alcaraz on US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
+$1.40k · 3776.88 @ 0.370
BUY·10d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
Carlos Alcaraz on US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
-$802.63 · 1638.03 @ 0.490
BUY·10d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
Carlos Alcaraz on US Open ATP: Ben Shelton vs Carlos Alcaraz
-$900.00 · 2000 @ 0.450
SELL·10d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
Yes on Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
+$21.89 · 59.98 @ 0.365
SELL·10d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
Yes on Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
+$1.37k · 3471.99 @ 0.393
SELL·10d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
Yes on Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
+$1.14k · 2784.8 @ 0.411
SELL·10d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
Yes on Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
+$255.00 · 500 @ 0.510
SELL·10d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
Yes on Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
+$990.52 · 1980.83 @ 0.500
SELL·10d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
Yes on Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
+$169.89 · 300.97 @ 0.564
SELL·10d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
Yes on Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?
+$414.34 · 699 @ 0.593
SELL·11d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
Francisco Cerundolo on US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx
+$1.23k · 1620.78 @ 0.760
BUY·11d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
Francisco Cerundolo on US Open ATP: Francisco Cerundolo vs Alexander Blockx
-$1.46k · 2746.7 @ 0.530
SELL·12d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
Yes on Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026?
137.92 @ 0.271
BUY·12d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
Yes on Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
19794.24 @ 0.500
BUY·12d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
Yes on Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
9140.39 @ 0.490
SELL·12d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
No on Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
2446.14 @ 0.510
BUY·12d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
No on Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship?
2446.14 @ 0.520
BUY·13d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
Yes on Will Doug Mason win The Bachelorette Season 22?
165.11 @ 0.052
SELL·13d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
Yes on Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
10007.61 @ 0.351
BUY·14d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
No on Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-04?
+$2.04k · 4241 @ 0.520
BUY·15d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
Inaki Montes on Manacor: Inaki Montes vs Jack Pinnington Jones
+$600.00 · 10000 @ 0.940
BUY·15d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
Inaki Montes on Manacor: Inaki Montes vs Jack Pinnington Jones
+$914.31 · 15238.55 @ 0.940
BUY·15d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
No on Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
-$639.08 · 800 @ 0.799
BUY·15d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
No on Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's US Open?
-$4.12k · 5185.09 @ 0.795
BUY·15d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
on Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-09-04? AND Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-09-04? AND Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-09-04?
299.643437 @ 0.323
SELL·15d agostale·0xad89…f6e1why? →
Jessica Bouzas Maneiro on US Open WTA: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Elena Rybakina
+$2.01k · 11809.07 @ 0.170
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.