No on Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
— 2.64 @ 0.991
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A9
0xa996…34b5
All-time PnL
$0.00
Win rate
0.0%
0 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$0.00
30d PnL
$0.00
30d trades
100
30d wins
0
0.0%
30d volume
$1.59k
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 19 markets — verify independentlyTrading pattern
Politics-Leaningtwo-sidedsmall-sizefavorite-backerSell-leaning · Politics 51%
Why Politics-Leaninghigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Politics 51% of categorized trades — a lean toward Politics without full specialization.
Directional bias: -0.26 (two-sided) — Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.99 — Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $1 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 2.49 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 99¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $1.42 · p90 $110.08
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Mon 04:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
— 1.04 @ 0.995
No on Will Laurent Wauquiez win the 2027 French presidential election?
— 0.18 @ 0.992
No on Will Alpine be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
— 1.24 @ 0.995
No on Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
— 0.17 @ 0.995
No on Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
— 1.139 @ 0.992
No on Will Josh Hawley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
— 0.86 @ 0.991
No on Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
— 2.43 @ 0.991
No on Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
— 2.038 @ 0.996
No on Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?
— 123.78 @ 0.993
No on Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
— 1.641428 @ 0.993
No on Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
— 1.774125 @ 0.992
No on Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
— 1.354 @ 0.997
No on Will Valérie Pécresse win the 2027 French presidential election?
— 123.782666 @ 0.994
No on Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
— 0.14 @ 0.998
No on Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
— 0.5 @ 0.993
No on Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
— 1.92 @ 0.998
No on Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
— 0.4 @ 0.991
No on Will Kim Kardashian win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
— 0.99 @ 0.993
No on Will Nicole Shanahan win the California Governor Election in 2026?
— 1.63 @ 0.998
No on Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
— 1.72 @ 0.998
No on Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
— 2.05 @ 0.991
No on Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
— 1.3 @ 0.991
No on Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
— 1 @ 0.995
No on Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
— 0.18 @ 0.992
No on Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— 2.14 @ 0.995
No on Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
— 2.22775 @ 0.992
No on Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
— 2.192191 @ 0.999
No on Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
— 1.02 @ 0.992
No on Will Arvid Lindblad be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
— 1.633 @ 0.998
No on Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
— 0.09 @ 0.991
No on Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
— 0.87 @ 0.993
No on Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
— 2.098888 @ 0.991
No on Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
— 2.094571 @ 0.993
No on Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
— 1.059444 @ 0.991
No on Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
— 2.75 @ 0.997
No on Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— 127.7 @ 0.996
No on Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
— 1.543 @ 0.998
No on Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— 127.703 @ 0.997
No on Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— 1.24475 @ 0.996
No on Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
— 1.4225 @ 0.998
No on Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
— 1.169353 @ 0.992
No on Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?
— 125.97 @ 0.997
No on Xi Jinping out by June 30?
— 1.46 @ 0.997
No on Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?
— 0.28 @ 0.997
No on Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election?
— 0.17 @ 0.993
No on Will Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?
— 2.31 @ 0.995
No on Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
— 1.028125 @ 0.992
No on Xi Jinping out by June 30?
— 1.761 @ 0.999
No on Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by June 30?
— 125.9715 @ 0.998
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.