Alan Magadan on Los Cabos Open, Qualification: Alex Hernandez vs Alan Magadan
— 1177.35294 @ 0.170
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LU
lufei88888
All-time PnL
$3.18k
Win rate
30.8%
31 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$48.88
30d PnL
$1.01k
30d trades
38
30d wins
6
15.8%
30d volume
$6.23k
Category edge
Sports
31.0%
-27.2pp
n=42
World
30.0%
-24.2pp
n=10
Politics
28.6%
-7.8pp
n=7
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
31.8% (21 wins / 45 misses)Cumulative PnL · 18-day series
$3.39k
-$563.81
Trading pattern
Sports-Leaningbuy-heavysmall-sizelongshot-hunterBuy-leaning · Sports 47%
Why Sports-Leaninghigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 47% of categorized trades — a lean toward Sports without full specialization.
Directional bias: +1.00 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.25 — Enters at long-odds prices (<0.30) — a longshot-hunter pattern.
Typical position size: median $100 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.40 (consistent) — Stakes are uniform — systematic, flat-sizing behaviour.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 25¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $100.00 · p90 $200.00
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Sun 06:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
Yes on Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?
— 1000 @ 0.198
Yes on Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?
— 100 @ 0.200
Yes on Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in July?
— 784.085602 @ 0.255
Yes on Andrew Tate released from custody by December 31, 2026?
— 89.16 @ 0.200
Yes on Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?
— 909.090908 @ 0.220
No on US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by August 31?
— 666.666665 @ 0.300
No on Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?
— 645.161289 @ 0.310
Yes on Will Ralph Norman be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?
— 953.380951 @ 0.210
Yes on Will Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2027 NBA Finals?
— 909.090908 @ 0.220
Yes on US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?
— 588.235293 @ 0.340
England on France vs. England: Team to Win
— +$388.24 · 588.235293 @ 0.340
Yes on Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
— 685.616437 @ 0.292
Karmine Corp on LoL: T1 vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner
— -$200.00 · 833.333332 @ 0.240
Yes on Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?
— 1111.11111 @ 0.180
Yes on US x Iran diplomatic meeting by July 31, 2026?
— 1000 @ 0.200
Yes on Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?
— -$200.00 · 678.814665 @ 0.295
FURIA Esports on LoL: G2 Esports vs FURIA Esports (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A
— -$200.00 · 909.090908 @ 0.220
Daniel Rincon on Braunschweig: Laslo Djere vs Daniel Rincon
— +$474.81 · 674.812 @ 0.296
No on Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?
— +$384.80 · 584.79532 @ 0.342
Yes on Will Alexander Zverev be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
— -$200.00 · 825.730201 @ 0.242
Yes on Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?
— 734.64542 @ 0.272
Yes on Will Shenna Bellows be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?
— 608.849695 @ 0.328
Colorado Rockies on Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giants
— -$200.00 · 869.565216 @ 0.230
San Diego Padres on Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Diego Padres
— -$96.24 · 357.2 @ 0.269
Elsa Jacquemot on Wimbledon WTA: Elsa Jacquemot vs Naomi Osaka
— -$100.00 · 588.235293 @ 0.170
Anastasia Zakharova on Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Anastasia Zakharova
— -$100.00 · 625 @ 0.160
Mickael Kaouk on Troyes: Dali Blanch vs Mickael Kaouk
— +$426.32 · 526.315788 @ 0.190
Aleksandar Vukic on Wimbledon ATP: Aleksandar Vukic vs Jenson Brooksby
— -$2.04 · 12 @ 0.170
Marco Trungelliti on Wimbledon ATP: Marco Trungelliti vs Martin Damm
— -$100.00 · 526.315788 @ 0.190
Yes on Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?
— 1000 @ 0.200
India on ICC T20 World Cup, Women: Australia vs India
— -$100.00 · 312.5 @ 0.320
Yes on Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC end in a draw?
— -$100.00 · 416.666665 @ 0.240
Zizou Bergs on Lexus Eastbourne Open: Zizou Bergs vs Ugo Humbert
— +$332.73 · 432.732915 @ 0.231
Yes on Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
— -$200.00 · 864.354165 @ 0.231
Yes on Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
— +$800.00 · 1000 @ 0.200
Yes on Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
— 740.740739 @ 0.270
Yes on US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
— 952.380951 @ 0.210
Daniel Evans on Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Daniel Evans vs Tristan Schoolkate
— -$100.00 · 491.043635 @ 0.204
Tom Gentzsch on Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Max Basing vs Tom Gentzsch
— -$100.00 · 434.782607 @ 0.230
Thiago Agustin Tirante on Lexus Eastbourne Open: Toby Samuel vs Thiago Agustin Tirante
— -$2.64 · 22 @ 0.120
Duje Ajdukovic on Targu Mures: Radu Albot vs Duje Ajdukovic
— +$306.36 · 406.360322 @ 0.246
Duje Ajdukovic on Targu Mures: Radu Albot vs Duje Ajdukovic
— +$9.81 · 13 @ 0.245
Yeon-Woo Ku on Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Yeon-Woo Ku vs Teodora Kostovic
— -$100.00 · 476.190475 @ 0.210
Hannah Klugman on Lexus Eastbourne Open: Hannah Klugman vs Tereza Valentova
— -$200.00 · 869.565216 @ 0.230
Yes on Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
— +$569.23 · 769.230768 @ 0.260
No on Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
— 769.230768 @ 0.260
Yes on US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
— 800 @ 0.250
REKONIX on Dota 2: REKONIX vs OG (BO3) - The International Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs
— -$200.00 · 1086.005788 @ 0.184
Houston Astros on Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros
— -$200.00 · 1036.75 @ 0.193
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.