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IW

Iwillwin10B

0xa90d…8e7bpolymarket ↗last active 12m ago
All-time PnL
$250.96
Win rate
35.7%
36 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$8.96
30d PnL
$250.96
30d trades
100
30d wins
10
10.0%
30d volume
$878.03
Category edge
Crypto
29.0%
-27.3pp
n=100

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
29.0% (29 wins / 71 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 12 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 1-day series
Not enough data to chart yet.
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizelongshot-huntercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.72 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.25Enters at long-odds prices (<0.30) — a longshot-hunter pattern.
Typical position size: median $2Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 2.19 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 25¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $2.04 · p90 $10.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Thu 05:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
SELL·12m ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
-$10.37 · 94.41 @ 0.890
BUY·13m ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
+$50.56 · 55.555554 @ 0.090
BUY·16m ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
+$17.73 · 22.727271 @ 0.220
BUY·16m ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
+$11.13 · 16.129031 @ 0.310
BUY·18m ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
-$2.00 · 50 @ 0.040
BUY·18m ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
-$2.00 · 16.666665 @ 0.120
BUY·19m ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
-$2.00 · 16.666665 @ 0.120
BUY·19m ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
-$2.00 · 9.090908 @ 0.220
BUY·19m ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
-$2.00 · 7.407406 @ 0.270
BUY·1h ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
-$2.00 · 10.526314 @ 0.190
BUY·1h ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
-$2.00 · 5.555554 @ 0.360
BUY·1h ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET
-$5.00 · 10.638296 @ 0.470
BUY·1h ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
-$2.00 · 66.666665 @ 0.030
BUY·1h ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
-$2.00 · 28.571427 @ 0.070
BUY·1h ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
-$2.00 · 19.091817 @ 0.105
SELL·1h ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
-$11.00 · 100 @ 0.890
SELL·1h ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
-$10.77 · 48.94 @ 0.780
BUY·1h ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
+$48.00 · 50 @ 0.040
BUY·1h ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
+$48.00 · 50 @ 0.040
BUY·1h ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
+$7.52 · 9.523808 @ 0.210
BUY·1h ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
+$5.69 · 7.692306 @ 0.260
BUY·1h ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
+$14.23 · 19.230768 @ 0.260
BUY·1h ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
+$7.50 · 12.5 @ 0.400
BUY·1h ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
-$2.00 · 33.333332 @ 0.060
BUY·1h ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
-$2.00 · 25 @ 0.080
BUY·1h ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
-$2.00 · 16.666665 @ 0.120
BUY·1h ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
-$2.00 · 12.5 @ 0.160
BUY·1h ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
-$2.00 · 8.333332 @ 0.240
BUY·1h ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
-$2.00 · 6.89655 @ 0.290
BUY·1h ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
-$5.00 · 14.285713 @ 0.350
BUY·1h ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
-$2.00 · 18.181817 @ 0.110
BUY·1h ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
-$2.00 · 14.285713 @ 0.140
BUY·1h ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
-$2.00 · 10.526314 @ 0.190
BUY·1h ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
-$2.00 · 6.89655 @ 0.290
BUY·1h ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
-$2.00 · 6.25 @ 0.320
BUY·1h ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
-$5.00 · 15.151514 @ 0.330
SELL·1h ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
+$0.63 · 12.5 @ 0.050
BUY·1h ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
-$2.00 · 12.5 @ 0.160
SELL·1h ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
+$10.31 · 31.25 @ 0.330
BUY·1h ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET
-$10.00 · 31.25 @ 0.320
SELL·1h ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
+$2.08 · 41.55 @ 0.050
BUY·1h ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
-$2.00 · 18.181817 @ 0.110
BUY·1h ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
-$2.00 · 9.090908 @ 0.220
BUY·1h ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
-$5.00 · 14.285713 @ 0.350
SELL·1h ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
+$3.59 · 15.38 @ 0.233
BUY·1h ago·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
-$2.00 · 15.384614 @ 0.130
SELL·2h agoageing·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
+$12.38 · 14.28 @ 0.867
BUY·2h agoageing·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
-$2.00 · 28.571427 @ 0.070
BUY·2h agoageing·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
-$2.00 · 14.285713 @ 0.140
SELL·2h agoageing·0xa90d…8e7bwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
-$3.22 · 40.22 @ 0.920
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.