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Dragua9

0xa8bd…b7aapolymarket ↗last active 18m ago
All-time PnL
$20.7k
Win rate
55.0%
55 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$345.64
30d PnL
$16.8k
30d trades
27
30d wins
8
29.6%
30d volume
$51.3k
Category edge
Sports
59.8%
+2.2pp
n=97

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
59.8% (58 wins / 39 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 8 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 42-day series
$40.2k
-$4.85k
Trading pattern
Sports Specialisttwo-sidedmid-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.36 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.43Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $800Mid-sized typical stake.
Sizing consistency: CV 1.73 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 43¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $800.00 · p90 $3.60k
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sun 18:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
SELL·18m ago·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
Yes on Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-09-20?
6000 @ 0.130
SELL·23m ago·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
No on Will OGC Nice win on 2026-09-20?
5999.97 @ 0.090
BUY·1d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
Yes on Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-18?
+$11.2k · 18000 @ 0.380
SELL·4d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
Under on Deportivo Alavés vs. Valencia CF: O/U 0.5
+$0.93 · 930.36 @ 0.001
BUY·4d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
Under on Deportivo Alavés vs. Valencia CF: O/U 0.5
-$139.79 · 280 @ 0.499
BUY·5d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
Cincinnati Reds on Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds
-$2.26k · 9000 @ 0.252
BUY·6d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
Under on San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 7.5
-$3.06k · 6000 @ 0.510
SELL·6d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
Ben Shelton on US Open ATP: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Shelton
+$540.00 · 6000 @ 0.090
BUY·7d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
Over on Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5
+$3.00k · 6000 @ 0.500
BUY·7d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
Arizona Diamondbacks on Texas Rangers vs. Arizona Diamondbacks
-$3.30k · 6000 @ 0.550
SELL·7d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
Waldo Cortes Acosta on Noche UFC: Curtis Blaydes vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)
+$1.34k · 8099.94 @ 0.165
BUY·7d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
Waldo Cortes Acosta on Noche UFC: Curtis Blaydes vs. Waldo Cortes Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)
-$486.64 · 784.9 @ 0.620
BUY·7d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
Édgar Cháirez on Noche UFC: Tim Elliott vs. Édgar Cháirez (Flyweight, Prelims)
-$5.04k · 8000 @ 0.630
BUY·8d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
San Diego Padres on San Diego Padres vs. San Francisco Giants
+$2.40k · 6000 @ 0.600
BUY·8d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
Yes on Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-09-11?
+$2.17k · 3813.99 @ 0.430
BUY·14d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
Cleveland Guardians on Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians
+$2.57k · 6600 @ 0.610
BUY·14d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
Lucio Ratti on Tulln: Lucio Ratti vs Lukas Pokorny
-$3.00k · 6000 @ 0.500
BUY·17d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
Over on Grasshopper Club Zurich vs. FC St. Gallen 1879: O/U 3.5
-$236.12 · 491.91 @ 0.480
SELL·20d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
Adrian Mannarino on US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino
-$63.70 · 796.2 @ 0.920
BUY·20d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
Adrian Mannarino on US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino
+$1.71k · 3000 @ 0.430
BUY·21d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
No on Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-29?
+$4.40k · 8000 @ 0.450
BUY·21d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
No on Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-29?
+$2.70k · 5000 @ 0.460
BUY·21d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
No on Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-29?
+$861.28 · 1538 @ 0.440
BUY·21d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
No on Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-29?
+$3.15k · 5345.21 @ 0.410
BUY·24d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
Legacy on Counter-Strike: Legacy vs FUT Esports (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B
+$112.00 · 200 @ 0.440
SELL·27d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
Yes on Will Venezia FC win on 2026-08-23?
+$582.00 · 9699.99 @ 0.060
SELL·29d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
No on Will Everton FC win on 2026-08-22?
+$13.23 · 264.66 @ 0.050
BUY·30d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
No on Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-08-20?
-$14.1k · 23926.79 @ 0.590
SELL·31d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
No on Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-19?
+$81.00 · 674.98 @ 0.120
SELL·31d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
No on Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Málaga CF end in a draw?
-$2.43k · 10124.61 @ 0.760
SELL·33d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
No on Will RC Deportivo A Coruña win on 2026-08-17?
-$652.66 · 947.99 @ 0.312
SELL·34d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
No on Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-08-16?
+$408.57 · 13449.14 @ 0.030
SELL·34d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
No on Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD end in a draw?
-$0.59 · 15.52 @ 0.962
SELL·34d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
No on Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-08-16?
+$262.83 · 8617.21 @ 0.031
SELL·34d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
No on Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-08-16?
+$17.16 · 343.27 @ 0.050
SELL·34d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
No on Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Levante UD end in a draw?
-$107.58 · 2151.69 @ 0.950
BUY·35d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
Ian Machado Garry on UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)
-$64.80 · 240 @ 0.270
SELL·42d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
No on Will Manchester City win on 2026-08-09?
+$1.34k · 12795.6 @ 0.105
SELL·42d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
No on Will Manchester City win on 2026-08-09?
+$392.95 · 2455.95 @ 0.160
BUY·44d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
No on Will Chicago Fire FC win on 2026-08-06?
-$1.85 · 5 @ 0.370
SELL·47d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
No on Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?
+$1.20 · 100 @ 0.012
SELL·47d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
No on Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2026-08-03?
+$1.20 · 100 @ 0.012
SELL·50d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
No on Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-07-31?
-$740.37 · 1213.72 @ 0.390
BUY·58d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
Detroit Tigers on Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers
+$11.25 · 15 @ 0.250
BUY·62d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
No on Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score
+$249.60 · 480 @ 0.480
SELL·63d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
No on Will England win on 2026-07-18?
+$75.00 · 750 @ 0.100
SELL·65d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
Under on Games Total: O/U 2.5
-$8.30 · 17.65 @ 0.530
SELL·65d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
Over on Games Total: O/U 2.5
-$49.17 · 100.34 @ 0.510
BUY·70d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
No on Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
-$3.73k · 8664.95 @ 0.430
BUY·70d agostale·0xa8bd…b7aawhy? →
No on Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
-$18.6k · 43335.04 @ 0.430
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.