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AN

AncientWind

0xa7a5…c417polymarket ↗last active 15m ago
All-time PnL
$210.10
Win rate
63.6%
64 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$6.43
30d PnL
$212.05
30d trades
100
30d wins
21
21.0%
30d volume
$2.00k
Category edge
Crypto
58.9%
-8.7pp
n=95

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
58.9% (56 wins / 39 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 17 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 2-day series
$219.78
$0.00
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.38 (two-sided)Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.53Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $10Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.97 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 53¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $10.00 · p90 $25.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sun 05:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
SELL·15m ago·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
19.46 @ 0.030
SELL·16m ago·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
19 @ 0.130
BUY·16m ago·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
30.120476 @ 0.830
BUY·16m ago·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
111.23244 @ 0.899
BUY·18m ago·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET
38.461537 @ 0.130
BUY·19m ago·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET
+$7.10 · 30.86 @ 0.770
SELL·26m ago·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
-$0.76 · 19 @ 0.960
BUY·27m ago·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
+$8.33 · 33.333332 @ 0.750
BUY·27m ago·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET
+$1.17 · 6.172836 @ 0.810
BUY·30m ago·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
+$2.53 · 252.5252 @ 0.990
BUY·46m ago·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
+$20.48 · 120.481923 @ 0.830
BUY·54m ago·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET
+$0.32 · 5.319133 @ 0.940
BUY·1h ago·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
+$2.04 · 7.042251 @ 0.710
BUY·1h ago·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
+$2.66 · 12.658223 @ 0.790
SELL·1h ago·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
-$6.79 · 11.13 @ 0.390
SELL·1h ago·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
-$5.83 · 11 @ 0.470
SELL·1h ago·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
-$12.96 · 21 @ 0.383
BUY·1h ago·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
+$23.33 · 33.333332 @ 0.300
BUY·1h ago·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET
+$4.80 · 9.80392 @ 0.510
SELL·1h ago·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
+$2.05 · 12.82 @ 0.160
BUY·1h ago·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
-$5.00 · 12.820511 @ 0.390
SELL·1h ago·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
-$3.41 · 37.87 @ 0.910
BUY·1h ago·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
+$12.88 · 37.878785 @ 0.660
SELL·1h ago·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
+$4.85 · 15.15 @ 0.320
BUY·1h ago·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET
-$5.00 · 15.151514 @ 0.330
SELL·1h ago·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
-$1.65 · 164.97 @ 0.990
BUY·1h ago·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
+$78.95 · 328.947366 @ 0.760
BUY·1h ago·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
-$25.00 · 106 @ 0.236
BUY·2h agoageing·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
-$25.00 · 34.722221 @ 0.720
BUY·2h agoageing·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET
-$25.00 · 33.333332 @ 0.750
SELL·2h agoageing·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
+$1.00 · 25 @ 0.040
BUY·2h agoageing·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
+$5.49 · 30.4878 @ 0.820
BUY·2h agoageing·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
-$5.00 · 25 @ 0.200
BUY·2h agoageing·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
+$4.43 · 9.433961 @ 0.530
BUY·2h agoageing·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
+$3.20 · 8.19672 @ 0.610
BUY·2h agoageing·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET
+$1.41 · 6.410254 @ 0.780
BUY·6h agoageing·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
-$5.00 · 16.666665 @ 0.300
SELL·6h agoageing·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
+$39.17 · 63.18 @ 0.620
SELL·6h agoageing·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
+$34.65 · 63 @ 0.550
BUY·6h agoageing·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
-$10.00 · 83.333332 @ 0.120
BUY·6h agoageing·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
-$10.00 · 28.571427 @ 0.350
SELL·6h agoageing·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
-$0.18 · 4.44 @ 0.960
SELL·6h agoageing·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
-$0.16 · 4 @ 0.960
SELL·6h agoageing·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
-$0.49 · 7 @ 0.930
SELL·6h agoageing·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
-$1.96 · 14 @ 0.860
BUY·6h agoageing·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
+$7.14 · 11.9 @ 0.400
BUY·8h agoageing·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
-$10.00 · 62.5 @ 0.160
SELL·8h agoageing·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
-$1.19 · 13 @ 0.908
BUY·8h agoageing·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET
+$17.47 · 27.467566 @ 0.364
BUY·8h agoageing·0xa7a5…c417why? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
+$1.11 · 11.11111 @ 0.900
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.