Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
— 375.723147 @ 0.532
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KA
kakadu12
All-time PnL
$874.46
Win rate
65.8%
66 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$23.01
30d PnL
$874.46
30d trades
100
30d wins
25
25.0%
30d volume
$27.5k
Category edge
Crypto
62.2%
+7.9pp
n=82
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
62.7% (52 wins / 31 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 6 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 3-day series
$1.32k
-$312.23
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 91%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 91% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.82 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.65 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $200 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.09 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 65¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $200.00 · p90 $400.00
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Fri 12:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
— 392.156863 @ 0.510
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
— 395.256079 @ 0.506
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
— 404.9384 @ 0.494
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
— 408.585307 @ 0.489
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET
— 419.723542 @ 0.477
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
— -$200.00 · 245.289511 @ 0.815
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
— -$200.00 · 210.97894 @ 0.948
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET
— -$200.00 · 214.148933 @ 0.934
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET
— +$22.22 · 222.22222 @ 0.900
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET
— -$45.33 · 146.22 @ 0.310
Yes on US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
— 310 @ 0.430
Yes on Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs. 1. FC Magdeburg end in a draw?
— +$21.45 · 97.51 @ 0.780
Yes on Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
— 200 @ 0.780
on FC Bayern München vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: Both Teams to Score AND Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Score AND Will Brentford FC win on 2026-09-18? AND Will SpVgg Greuther Fürth win on 2026-09-18?
— 266.652906 @ 0.180
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
— +$266.38 · 666.378197 @ 0.600
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET
— +$101.44 · 317 @ 0.680
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
— +$22.34 · 422.34242 @ 0.947
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
— +$29.72 · 429.721266 @ 0.931
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
— +$34.78 · 434.7826 @ 0.920
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET
— +$283.08 · 683.083729 @ 0.586
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET
— +$16.04 · 416.0436 @ 0.961
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
— +$19.97 · 142.36 @ 0.860
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
— +$368.56 · 768.562831 @ 0.520
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
— +$65.12 · 465.116278 @ 0.860
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
— +$106.33 · 506.329114 @ 0.790
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
— +$93.26 · 493.256094 @ 0.811
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET
— +$102.16 · 502.159875 @ 0.797
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
— +$17.83 · 148.62 @ 0.880
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
— +$187.35 · 587.347825 @ 0.681
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET
— +$338.88 · 738.882364 @ 0.541
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
— +$60.61 · 460.610908 @ 0.868
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
— +$60.81 · 460.8131 @ 0.868
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
— +$62.14 · 462.142407 @ 0.866
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
— -$400.00 · 422.714 @ 0.946
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
— -$400.00 · 449.4382 @ 0.890
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
— -$400.00 · 487.428311 @ 0.821
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
— -$24.74 · 2473.79 @ 0.990
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
— +$204.47 · 604.474327 @ 0.662
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
— +$190.30 · 590.304348 @ 0.678
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
— +$201.51 · 601.512687 @ 0.665
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET
— +$277.50 · 677.499667 @ 0.590
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
— -$400.00 · 546.943242 @ 0.731
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET
— +$80.30 · 180.304106 @ 0.555
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
— +$240.32 · 640.315078 @ 0.625
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
— +$88.70 · 488.698794 @ 0.819
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
— -$34.57 · 993.09 @ 0.965
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
— +$60.80 · 460.802638 @ 0.868
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
— +$132.30 · 532.29697 @ 0.751
No on Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
— 959 @ 0.700
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.