Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET
— 200 @ 0.896
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OF
Office Lover
All-time PnL
-$1.67k
Win rate
26.0%
26 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
-$33.46
30d PnL
-$1.67k
30d trades
100
30d wins
13
13.0%
30d volume
$11.5k
Category edge
Crypto
55.2%
-6.3pp
n=96
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
55.2% (53 wins / 43 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 38 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 1-day series
Not enough data to chart yet.
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialisttwo-sidedsmall-sizecategory-focusedBalanced · Crypto 98%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 98% of categorized trades — ≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.08 (two-sided) — Trades both sides fairly evenly — no strong directional lean.
Entry pricing: avg 0.43 — Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $100 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.72 (moderate) — Stakes vary moderately across trades.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 43¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $100.00 · p90 $204.00
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Tue 18:00 · 100 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
No on Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
— 500 @ 0.940
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
— -$100.00 · 200 @ 0.500
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
— +$7.25 · 100 @ 0.072
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
— -$65.00 · 100 @ 0.650
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
— +$10.08 · 200 @ 0.050
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
— -$108.00 · 200 @ 0.540
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
— +$30.00 · 200 @ 0.850
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
— +$34.14 · 189.68 @ 0.180
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
— +$54.06 · 399.99 @ 0.135
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
— -$184.06 · 361.69 @ 0.509
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
— +$46.00 · 200 @ 0.230
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
— -$116.00 · 200 @ 0.580
No on Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?
— 500 @ 0.976
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
— +$18.90 · 200 @ 0.094
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
— -$88.00 · 200 @ 0.440
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
— +$8.00 · 400 @ 0.020
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET
— -$161.39 · 400 @ 0.403
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
— -$344.00 · 400 @ 0.140
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET
— +$201.76 · 400 @ 0.496
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
— +$40.69 · 400 @ 0.102
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET
— -$200.00 · 400 @ 0.500
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
— +$147.93 · 400 @ 0.370
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
— -$212.00 · 400 @ 0.530
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
— +$168.00 · 400 @ 0.420
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
— -$204.00 · 400 @ 0.510
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
— +$140.00 · 400 @ 0.350
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
— -$19.14 · 38.29 @ 0.500
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
— +$68.79 · 400 @ 0.172
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET
— -$204.00 · 400 @ 0.510
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
— +$32.00 · 199.99 @ 0.160
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
— -$100.67 · 200 @ 0.497
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
— +$100.00 · 200 @ 0.500
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
— -$188.00 · 200 @ 0.060
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
— +$110.00 · 200 @ 0.450
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
— +$110.00 · 200 @ 0.450
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
— -$12.00 · 200 @ 0.940
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
— +$8.00 · 200 @ 0.040
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
— -$54.00 · 200 @ 0.270
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
— +$152.00 · 200 @ 0.760
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
— -$92.00 · 200 @ 0.460
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
— -$44.49 · 200 @ 0.778
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
— +$106.00 · 200 @ 0.470
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET
— +$102.29 · 200 @ 0.489
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET
— -$100.83 · 200 @ 0.504
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET
— +$73.50 · 150 @ 0.510
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
— +$54.00 · 300 @ 0.180
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
— -$75.00 · 300 @ 0.250
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
— +$74.00 · 200 @ 0.630
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
— +$104.00 · 200 @ 0.480
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.