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IK

Ikigaicapital

0xa596…081dpolymarket ↗last active 10m ago
All-time PnL
$54.16
Win rate
94.3%
94 of 100
Total trades
100
Avg PnL / trade
$1.36
30d PnL
$47.48
30d trades
100
30d wins
33
33.0%
30d volume
$1.74k
Category edge
Crypto
94.7%
+39.4pp
n=94

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
94.7% (89 wins / 5 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 3 markets — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 1-day series
Not enough data to chart yet.
Trading pattern
Crypto Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizefavorite-backercategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Crypto 100%
Why Crypto Specialisthigh confidence · 100 trades
Category focus: Crypto 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Crypto specialist.
Directional bias: +0.94 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.92Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $16Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 0.58 (moderate)Stakes vary moderately across trades.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 92¢ · 100 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $16.00 · p90 $18.00
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Mon 06:00 · 100 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·10m ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
20.454541 @ 0.880
SELL·11m ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3AM ET
81.76 @ 0.999
BUY·14m ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
+$0.47 · 18.46935 @ 0.975
BUY·14m ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
+$0.75 · 18.75 @ 0.960
BUY·14m ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
+$0.75 · 18.75 @ 0.960
BUY·14m ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
+$0.37 · 18.3673 @ 0.980
BUY·15m ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
+$1.15 · 19.148933 @ 0.940
BUY·19m ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
-$18.00 · 19.354828 @ 0.930
BUY·20m ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
-$18.00 · 20.454541 @ 0.880
BUY·20m ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
-$18.00 · 20.689653 @ 0.870
BUY·23m ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
+$0.37 · 18.3673 @ 0.980
BUY·26m ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
+$2.00 · 20 @ 0.900
BUY·28m ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3AM ET
18.947367 @ 0.950
BUY·29m ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
+$0.37 · 18.3673 @ 0.980
BUY·32m ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3AM ET
26.04165 @ 0.960
BUY·34m ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3AM ET
17.021266 @ 0.940
BUY·35m ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
+$0.33 · 16.3265 @ 0.980
BUY·35m ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
+$2.60 · 18.60465 @ 0.860
BUY·35m ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET
+$0.33 · 16.3265 @ 0.980
BUY·40m ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
+$0.33 · 16.3265 @ 0.980
BUY·41m ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3AM ET
19.753084 @ 0.810
BUY·42m ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
+$1.02 · 17.021266 @ 0.940
BUY·42m ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
+$1.58 · 17.582411 @ 0.910
BUY·43m ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
+$0.67 · 16.666665 @ 0.960
BUY·43m ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
+$0.79 · 16.78875 @ 0.953
BUY·44m ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
+$1.02 · 17.021266 @ 0.940
BUY·45m ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
+$2.82 · 18.82 @ 0.850
BUY·49m ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
+$1.25 · 17.245685 @ 0.928
BUY·49m ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
+$2.92 · 18.917173 @ 0.846
BUY·1h ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
+$1.58 · 17.582411 @ 0.910
BUY·1h ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
+$1.20 · 17.2043 @ 0.930
BUY·1h ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
+$1.20 · 17.2043 @ 0.930
BUY·1h ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
+$3.28 · 19.277105 @ 0.830
BUY·1h ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
+$0.33 · 16.3265 @ 0.980
BUY·1h ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
+$0.49 · 16.494833 @ 0.970
BUY·1h ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
+$0.49 · 16.494833 @ 0.970
BUY·1h ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
+$0.49 · 16.494833 @ 0.970
BUY·1h ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
+$0.67 · 16.66665 @ 0.960
BUY·1h ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
+$1.20 · 17.2043 @ 0.930
BUY·1h ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
+$3.51 · 19.512194 @ 0.820
BUY·1h ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
+$1.39 · 17.3913 @ 0.920
BUY·1h ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
+$0.67 · 16.66665 @ 0.960
BUY·1h ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET
+$0.67 · 16.66665 @ 0.960
BUY·1h ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
+$0.16 · 16.1616 @ 0.990
BUY·1h ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
+$0.33 · 16.3265 @ 0.980
BUY·1h ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
+$0.64 · 16.636266 @ 0.962
BUY·1h ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
+$0.67 · 16.66665 @ 0.960
BUY·1h ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Down on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET
+$0.84 · 16.8421 @ 0.950
SELL·1h ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
-$10.54 · 35.14 @ 0.700
BUY·1h ago·0xa596…081dwhy? →
Up on Bitcoin Up or Down - July 27, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET
+$1.58 · 17.582416 @ 0.910
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.