Yes on Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
— 200 @ 0.890
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ZC
zcakd59
All-time PnL
-$47.98
Win rate
77.8%
21 of 27
Total trades
27
Avg PnL / trade
-$16.98
30d PnL
$87.14
30d trades
16
30d wins
2
12.5%
30d volume
$2.61k
Category edge
Sports
62.5%
+4.4pp
n=8
vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice
Signal hit rate
60.0% (6 wins / 4 misses)⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 5 markets — verify independentlyCumulative PnL · 8-day series
$0.00
-$250.00
Trading pattern
Science & Tech-Leaningbuy-heavysmall-sizefavorite-backerBuy-leaning · Science & Tech 44%
Why Science & Tech-Leaningmedium confidence · 27 trades
Category focus: Science & Tech 44% of categorized trades — a lean toward Science & Tech without full specialization.
Directional bias: +0.56 (buy-heavy) — Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.83 — Enters at favorite prices (>0.70) — backs likely outcomes.
Typical position size: median $48 — Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.09 (varied) — Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.
⚠ Based on 27 trades — a moderate sample.
Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.
Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 83¢ · 27 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $48.00 · p90 $315.00
Activity · UTC
00h12h23h
peak Sat 14:00 · 27 trades
Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.
Recent trades
EXPORT
Yes on Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
— 207.22 @ 0.870
Yes on Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
— 60 @ 0.800
Yes on Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
— 340 @ 0.742
Yes on Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
— 308.48 @ 0.991
Yes on Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
— 200 @ 0.742
Yes on Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
— 100 @ 0.731
Yes on Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
— 50 @ 0.745
Yes on Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?
— 24.8 @ 0.840
Yes on Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
— 75 @ 0.850
Yes on Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
— 30 @ 0.840
Yes on Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?
— 20 @ 0.840
Yes on Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
— 350 @ 0.900
Yes on Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
— 350 @ 0.770
Yes on Will Jannik Sinner be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner?
— +$86.40 · 480 @ 0.820
Yes on Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
— 296.38 @ 0.940
Yes on Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
— 574.001925 @ 0.871
Yes on Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
— -$0.00 · 2.02 @ 0.999
Yes on Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?
— +$0.02 · 2.02429 @ 0.988
Yes on Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?
— 30.864196 @ 0.810
Yes on Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open?
— +$1.32 · 21.321951 @ 0.938
Yes on Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
— -$2.37 · 12.32 @ 0.808
Yes on Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
— +$3.33 · 12.328766 @ 0.730
Jannik Sinner on Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jannik Sinner vs Casper Ruud
— +$0.81 · 5.81395 @ 0.860
Yes on Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
— +$6.95 · 16.949151 @ 0.590
No on Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
— -$30.00 · 39.113427 @ 0.767
Yes on Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
— -$220.00 · 301.369862 @ 0.730
Integrity indicators
No anomalies detected for this trader.
Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.