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GA

gamst

0xa41d…5c93polymarket ↗last active 25m ago
All-time PnL
-$194.13
Win rate
27.3%
17 of 61
Total trades
61
Avg PnL / trade
-$3.53
30d PnL
$0.00
30d trades
4
30d wins
0
0.0%
30d volume
$289.07
Category edge
Sports
29.8%
-21.3pp
n=57

vs cohort baseline per category · observed record only · not financial advice

Signal hit rate
29.8% (17 wins / 40 misses)
⚠ Possible wash trade
opposite positions detected on 1 market — verify independently
Cumulative PnL · 14-day series
$0.00
-$202.72
Trading pattern
Sports Specialistbuy-heavysmall-sizecategory-focusedBuy-leaning · Sports 100%
Why Sports Specialisthigh confidence · 61 trades
Category focus: Sports 100% of categorized trades≥60% concentrated in one category → a Sports specialist.
Directional bias: +0.97 (buy-heavy)Mostly buys outcomes — leans into positions rather than fading them.
Entry pricing: avg 0.33Enters around mid-priced outcomes — no strong odds tilt.
Typical position size: median $10Small typical stake (<$500).
Sizing consistency: CV 1.02 (varied)Stakes vary widely — opportunistic or conviction-weighted sizing.

Observed behaviour — descriptive, not predictive. NFA.

Entry price
0–10¢90–100¢
avg 33¢ · 61 trades
Position sizing
<$100$10k+
median $10.00 · p90 $48.70
Activity · UTC
SunMonTueWedThuFriSat
00h12h23h
peak Sun 15:00 · 61 trades

Descriptive analytics of this trader’s observed public activity — not a prediction or recommendation. Not financial advice.

Recent trades

EXPORT
BUY·25m ago·0xa41d…5c93why? →
on UFC 331: Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) AND UFC 331: Patricio Pitbull vs. Dooho Choi (Featherweight, Main Card)
96.852623 @ 0.504
BUY·25m ago·0xa41d…5c93why? →
on UFC 331: Michael Aswell vs. JooSang Yoo (Featherweight, Prelims) AND UFC 331: Patricio Pitbull vs. Dooho Choi (Featherweight, Main Card)
104.78448 @ 0.465
BUY·26m ago·0xa41d…5c93why? →
on UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) AND UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)
602.944056 @ 0.159
BUY·27m ago·0xa41d…5c93why? →
on UFC 331: Alonzo Menifield vs. Iwo Baraniewski (Light Heavyweight, Main Card) AND UFC 331: Alexandre Pantoja vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card) AND UFC 331: Patricio Pitbull vs. Dooho Choi (Featherweight, Main Card) AND UFC 331: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)
1152.154657 @ 0.083
BUY·61d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Argentina on Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
-$40.00 · 134.45378 @ 0.297
BUY·62d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Seokhyeon Ko on UFC Fight Night: Jean-Paul Lebosnoyani vs. Seokhyeon Ko (Welterweight, Prelims)
-$47.49 · 77.852458 @ 0.610
BUY·62d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
England on France vs. England: Team to Win
+$84.83 · 126.606059 @ 0.330
BUY·74d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Yes on Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?
+$21.25 · 31.25 @ 0.320
BUY·74d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Yes on Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?
-$10.00 · 30.303029 @ 0.330
BUY·75d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Yes on Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?
-$10.00 · 35.714284 @ 0.280
BUY·75d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Yes on Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?
-$10.00 · 35.714284 @ 0.280
BUY·76d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Yes on Will Mexico vs. England end in a draw?
-$10.00 · 32.258063 @ 0.310
BUY·76d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Yes on Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?
-$10.00 · 37.037036 @ 0.270
BUY·79d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Yes on Will Switzerland vs. Algeria end in a draw?
-$10.00 · 34.482757 @ 0.290
BUY·79d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Yes on Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw?
-$10.00 · 38.83495 @ 0.257
BUY·79d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Yes on Will Spain vs. Austria end in a draw?
-$10.00 · 58.823528 @ 0.170
SELL·79d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Yes on Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?
-$30.33 · 33.33 @ 0.090
BUY·80d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Yes on Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?
-$10.00 · 50 @ 0.200
BUY·80d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Yes on Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?
+$23.33 · 33.333332 @ 0.300
BUY·80d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Yes on Will England vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
-$10.00 · 52.631577 @ 0.190
BUY·83d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Yes on Will Mexico vs. Ecuador end in a draw?
-$10.00 · 30.303029 @ 0.330
BUY·83d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Yes on Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?
-$10.00 · 37.037036 @ 0.270
BUY·83d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Yes on Will France vs. Sweden end in a draw?
-$5.00 · 31.25 @ 0.160
BUY·83d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Yes on Will Netherlands vs. Morocco end in a draw?
+$22.26 · 32.258063 @ 0.310
BUY·83d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Yes on Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?
+$21.32 · 26.315788 @ 0.190
BUY·83d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Yes on Will Brazil vs. Japan end in a draw?
-$10.00 · 38.461537 @ 0.260
BUY·83d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Yes on Will South Africa vs. Canada end in a draw?
-$10.00 · 38.461537 @ 0.260
BUY·84d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Yes on Will New Zealand vs. Belgium end in a draw?
-$10.00 · 83.333332 @ 0.120
BUY·84d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Yes on Will Egypt vs. IR Iran end in a draw?
+$17.03 · 27.027026 @ 0.370
BUY·84d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Yes on Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?
+$24.48 · 34.482757 @ 0.290
BUY·84d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Yes on Will Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia end in a draw?
+$24.48 · 34.482757 @ 0.290
BUY·84d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Yes on Will Uruguay vs. Spain end in a draw?
-$10.00 · 37.037036 @ 0.270
BUY·85d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Yes on Will Paraguay vs. Australia end in a draw?
+$13.26 · 23.255812 @ 0.430
BUY·85d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Yes on Will Türkiye vs. United States end in a draw?
-$10.00 · 43.478259 @ 0.230
BUY·85d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Yes on Will Tunisia vs. Netherlands end in a draw?
-$10.00 · 111.11111 @ 0.090
BUY·85d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Yes on Will Japan vs. Sweden end in a draw?
+$25.59 · 35.587187 @ 0.281
BUY·85d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Yes on Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw?
-$10.00 · 85.470084 @ 0.117
BUY·85d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Yes on Will Ecuador vs. Germany end in a draw?
-$10.00 · 50 @ 0.200
BUY·87d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Yes on Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-24?
-$50.00 · 80.64516 @ 0.620
BUY·87d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Yes on Will Czechia vs. Mexico end in a draw?
-$10.00 · 40 @ 0.250
BUY·87d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Yes on Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?
-$10.00 · 83.333332 @ 0.120
BUY·87d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Yes on Will Scotland vs. Brazil end in a draw?
-$10.00 · 58.823528 @ 0.170
BUY·87d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Yes on Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar end in a draw?
-$20.00 · 111.11111 @ 0.180
BUY·87d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Yes on Will Canada win on 2026-06-24?
-$20.00 · 66.666665 @ 0.300
BUY·87d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Yes on Will Brazil win on 2026-06-24?
+$18.49 · 68.493148 @ 0.730
BUY·88d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Yes on Will Colombia win on 2026-06-23?
+$28.13 · 78.125 @ 0.640
BUY·88d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Yes on Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?
-$10.00 · 43.478259 @ 0.230
BUY·88d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Yes on Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
+$26.51 · 46.511626 @ 0.430
BUY·88d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Over on France vs. Iraq: Iraq O/U 0.5
-$5.00 · 13.157893 @ 0.380
BUY·88d agostale·0xa41d…5c93why? →
Over on France vs. Iraq: O/U 2.5
+$3.51 · 13.513511 @ 0.740
Integrity indicators

No anomalies detected for this trader.

Anomaly indicators reflect statistical patterns only. May have innocent explanations.